NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	86		Excitement	4.5 [938]		MVP	Chris Paul (LAC): +19.7%
Los Angeles Clippers	105		Comeback	1.0 [520]		LVP	Tim Duncan (SAS): -13.3%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David West	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.04	-0.01	6	80%	0.14	2	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Patty Mills	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.01	-0.04	10	45%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boban Marjanovic	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	0.00	0.04	2	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Rasual Butler	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	7	57%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ray McCallum	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Boris Diaw	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Anderson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	6	67%	0.08	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	12	36%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Tony Parker	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	13	50%	0.03	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Jonathon Simmons	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	-0.01	-0.04	5	42%	0.00	4	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Danny Green	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	9	22%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.12	-0.02	-0.01	6	17%	-0.07	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.14,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.14	0.06	-0.00	18	65%	0.22	2	-0.02	7	100%	0.03
JJ Redick	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.01	-0.01	13	61%	0.11	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Cole Aldrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	5	67%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.00	9	60%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
CJ Wilcox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	67%	0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	6	64%	0.07	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.05	0.05	-0.01	15	59%	0.12	7	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Branden Dawson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	6	42%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	6	42%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.8	29.2	17.6	28.3	3.4	28.5	134.4
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +44.0%

LAC +3.8%

LAC +4.1%

SAS -2.4%

LAC +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	LAC	NBA	SAS	LAC	NBA
this game	14.7	15.0	14.9	89.6	107.1	105.1
season	15.7	14.8		109.0	106.6
opponent	14.9	14.7		102.1	97.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	16.5	14.4	13.8	14.0	14.7
LAC	14.2	14.4	15.0	16.5	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Boban Marjanovic	18	20	0.19	-0.69	0.89	-0.16	12	-31	43	10.7	15.6	-4.84	16.9	14.6	2.35
David West	39	40	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.21	9	-28	37	13.1	15.8	-2.70	14.7	15.3	-0.60
Patty Mills	55	54	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.12	5	-24	29	13.3	16.5	-3.24	15.1	14.9	0.22
Ray McCallum	14	14	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.15	-7	-12	5	14.6	14.7	-0.02	19.1	14.3	4.80
Boris Diaw	24	23	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.03	-5	-14	9	15.7	14.3	1.35	13.9	15.4	-1.52
Jonathon Simmons	37	39	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.02	-6	-13	7	13.4	15.4	-1.99	15.0	15.1	-0.09
Rasual Butler	40	40	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.16	-12	-7	-5	14.5	14.8	-0.27	15.9	14.4	1.43
Kyle Anderson	53	57	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.02	-13	-6	-7	14.9	14.3	0.60	15.1	15.0	0.05
Tony Parker	54	55	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.10	-17	-2	-15	15.9	13.0	2.90	14.7	15.4	-0.73
Tim Duncan	40	41	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.10	-18	-1	-17	15.9	13.7	2.22	14.2	15.6	-1.44
LaMarcus Aldridge	49	49	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.20	-23	4	-27	16.0	13.3	2.70	15.1	15.0	0.14
Danny Green	57	58	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	0.00	-20	1	-21	15.3	13.7	1.62	14.3	16.1	-1.85

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeAndre Jordan	73	72	0.67	-0.17	0.85	-0.15	28	-9	37	15.3	14.1	1.22	15.3	12.7	2.54
Chris Paul	73	72	0.56	-0.06	0.63	-0.17	25	-6	31	14.9	15.3	-0.33	16.0	10.7	5.26
JJ Redick	62	62	0.54	-0.04	0.59	-0.13	23	-4	27	15.2	14.7	0.44	15.2	13.7	1.47
Luc Mbah a Moute	37	36	0.40	0.10	0.29	-0.04	15	4	11	14.9	15.1	-0.22	15.5	14.1	1.35
Paul Pierce	48	47	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.05	8	11	-3	14.1	15.9	-1.82	15.6	13.7	1.92
Jamal Crawford	62	60	0.15	0.35	-0.21	-0.03	6	13	-7	15.4	14.4	0.93	13.9	15.9	-2.06
Wesley Johnson	66	66	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.01	2	17	-15	15.1	14.9	0.23	13.8	16.6	-2.78
Branden Dawson	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	18	-17	16.0	15.0	1.01	7.7	14.9	-7.22
CJ Wilcox	21	19	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.05	-3	22	-25	15.5	14.9	0.57	11.5	15.4	-3.97
Cole Aldrich	44	43	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	0.15	-10	29	-39	14.7	15.3	-0.67	13.2	15.9	-2.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.67,0.7,0.61,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.72,0.73,0.74,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.85,0.74,0.82,0.8,0.91,0.89,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 104, NYK 114	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.71,0.76,0.7,0.67,0.73,0.65,0.74,0.85,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.96,0.94,0.91,0.95,0.9,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.95,1,1,1,1	95.2%
ORL 81, CHI 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.64,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.77,0.86,0.89,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.86,0.85,0.94,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
PHI 68, ORL 79	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.54,0.48,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.73,0.66,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.7,0.75,0.79,0.8,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.93,0.92,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.82,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%