NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	117		Excitement	3.4 [1155]		MVP	Jeremy Lamb (CHA): +12.0%
Indiana Pacers	95		Comeback	1.3 [511]		LVP	Myles Turner (IND): -6.1%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeremy Lamb	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.16	0.00	0.04	8	100%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lin	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.01	9	70%	0.09	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Marvin Williams	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	-0.00	-0.02	7	57%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.01	4	80%	0.08	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Kemba Walker	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.00	-0.03	21	51%	0.07	3	-0.03	7	71%	0.01
Cody Zeller	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.00	0.03	7	65%	0.04	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Nicolas Batum	0.01	0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	12	46%	0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Troy Daniels	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Roberts	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	80%	0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	0.00
PJ Hairston	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Hansbrough	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Frank Kaminsky	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	11	45%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jordan Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	3	71%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Solomon Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lavoy Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	0.00	0.04	3	87%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Monta Ellis	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.03	9	56%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Hill	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	-0.00	-0.04	12	46%	0.02	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Chase Budinger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul George	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	18	55%	0.06	4	-0.07	4	100%	0.01
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	8	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Glenn Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	7	36%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.09	-0.00	-0.04	11	29%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Joe Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	3	12%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Myles Turner	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	0.02	11	42%	-0.05	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	2.3	25.7	15.6	24.3	2.5	30.5	124.4
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +39.3%

CHA +7.1%

CHA +5.9%

IND -2.3%

IND -0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	IND	NBA	CHA	IND	NBA
this game	15.9	13.5	14.9	119.4	96.9	105.1
season	15.1	14.6		105.5	103.2
opponent	14.9	14.8		101.6	103.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	14.4	15.3	16.8	17.0	15.9
IND	14.4	13.5	13.2	13.0	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nicolas Batum	79	78	0.52	-0.02	0.55	-0.21	25	-3	28	15.9	15.8	0.10	13.4	14.1	-0.73
Frank Kaminsky	62	63	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.13	20	2	18	14.7	17.8	-3.06	13.4	13.8	-0.43
Jeremy Lamb	29	29	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.09	15	7	8	15.9	15.9	0.04	14.1	13.3	0.78
Kemba Walker	79	80	0.29	0.21	0.09	-0.12	14	8	6	16.4	13.6	2.84	13.6	13.2	0.43
Cody Zeller	46	48	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.00	9	13	-4	15.9	15.8	0.13	13.7	13.4	0.29
Spencer Hawes	48	46	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.14	13	9	4	16.2	15.6	0.63	13.7	13.4	0.25
Jeremy Lin	56	55	0.22	0.28	-0.05	-0.01	8	14	-6	16.6	14.9	1.68	13.8	13.2	0.55
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	39	40	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.01	4	18	-14	15.1	16.4	-1.31	13.9	13.3	0.64
Marvin Williams	36	35	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.02	2	20	-18	17.8	14.7	3.06	13.8	13.4	0.43
Troy Daniels	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	22	-22	11.2	16.1	-4.81	10.2	13.7	-3.41
Brian Roberts	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	22	-22	11.2	16.1	-4.81	10.2	13.7	-3.41
PJ Hairston	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	22	-22	11.2	16.1	-4.81	10.2	13.7	-3.41
Tyler Hansbrough	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	22	-22	11.2	16.1	-4.81	10.2	13.7	-3.41

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chase Budinger	16	17	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	0.11	-4	-18	14	12.2	13.8	-1.59	16.4	15.8	0.59
Solomon Hill	31	33	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.03	-2	-20	18	13.1	13.7	-0.67	16.5	15.6	0.89
Joe Young	17	19	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.13	-9	-13	4	13.4	13.5	-0.13	14.7	16.1	-1.40
George Hill	65	65	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.05	-3	-19	16	13.8	12.9	0.92	16.0	15.5	0.53
Paul George	67	66	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.01	-5	-17	12	13.6	13.3	0.29	16.1	15.3	0.82
Lavoy Allen	35	36	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.07	-8	-14	6	13.2	13.7	-0.50	15.4	16.1	-0.67
Ian Mahinmi	53	53	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.05	-4	-18	14	13.2	13.8	-0.60	16.5	15.1	1.44
Jordan Hill	17	17	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.08	-11	-11	0	15.5	13.1	2.36	14.3	16.2	-1.90
Glenn Robinson	31	32	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.15	-17	-5	-12	13.3	13.6	-0.29	15.3	16.1	-0.82
Monta Ellis	77	75	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.01	-12	-10	-2	13.5	13.6	-0.06	16.2	14.7	1.47
CJ Miles	31	30	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.13	-17	-5	-12	13.6	13.5	0.09	16.1	15.8	0.34
Myles Turner	50	47	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.13	-18	-4	-14	13.7	13.3	0.37	14.9	16.7	-1.79

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.53,0.5,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.27,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.22,0.13,0.15,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.12,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 112, WAS 91	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.35,0.24,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.17,0.13,0.16,0.11,0.1,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.4%
POR 99, CHI 89	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.43,0.42,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.4,0.31,0.23,0.28,0.28,0.25,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.12,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.2%
NOK 107, CHA 92	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.31,0.3,0.21,0.2,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%