NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	102		Excitement	8.7 [174]		MVP	D'Angelo Russell (LAL): +19.9%
San Antonio Spurs	106		Comeback	2.4 [977]		LVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): -18.9%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
D'Angelo Russell	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.06	0.14	-0.00	7	67%	0.22	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Lou Williams	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.05	0.12	0.00	9	58%	0.19	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.03
Jordan Clarkson	0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.12	0.02	0.01	14	70%	0.17	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Tarik Black	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	4	40%	0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Roy Hibbert	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Sacre	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	2	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Nick Young	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	4	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.02	-0.06	-0.00	5	33%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Julius Randle	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.15	-0.04	-0.12	-0.00	12	50%	-0.03	3	-0.12	6	83%	-0.06
Kobe Bryant	-0.19	0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.12,-0.15,-0.19,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.17,-0.14,-0.07,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.14,0.01,-0.05,-0.14,-0.19	-0.04	-0.13	0.02	28	42%	-0.14	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.02

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Green	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.2,0.2,0.19	0.19	0.04	0.15	-0.01	8	69%	0.29	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18	0.18	0.13	0.05	-0.00	18	63%	0.21	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.03
Tony Parker	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.18,0.18	0.18	-0.02	0.19	-0.01	13	54%	0.25	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Boban Marjanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.05	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
David West	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.02	-0.01	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Jonathon Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	10	41%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	15	43%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	0.00	0.04	13	49%	-0.01	1	-0.02	15	80%	0.00
Kyle Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.4	30.5	15.5	23.9	0.6	32.4	128.7
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +50.1%

LAL -5.1%

LAL -1.3%

SAS +5.0%

SAS +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	SAS	NBA	LAL	SAS	NBA
this game	14.9	16.0	14.9	108.5	115.2	105.1
season	15.2	15.7		100.1	109.0
opponent	14.7	14.5		97.9	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	15.5	12.8	15.5	16.1	14.9
SAS	13.2	17.2	14.5	19.9	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tarik Black	31	31	0.12	-0.62	0.74	0.09	1	-5	6	16.0	14.4	1.52	18.0	15.0	3.02
Robert Sacre	29	30	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.07	1	-5	6	12.6	16.0	-3.41	14.5	16.8	-2.32
Nick Young	30	29	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.02	-3	-1	-2	13.6	15.6	-2.03	18.9	14.7	4.23
Roy Hibbert	17	15	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.07	-7	3	-10	17.6	14.4	3.22	13.6	16.5	-2.91
D'Angelo Russell	41	41	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.09	-2	-2	0	16.7	13.6	3.08	17.0	15.3	1.75
Jordan Clarkson	74	72	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.23	2	-6	8	14.3	17.2	-2.93	15.0	19.7	-4.75
Brandon Bass	46	46	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.41	2	-6	8	15.5	14.4	1.04	17.9	14.2	3.76
Kobe Bryant	66	64	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.40	-2	-2	0	15.1	14.5	0.64	14.9	18.5	-3.60
Julius Randle	63	61	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.42	-4	0	-4	14.9	15.1	-0.18	14.7	18.6	-3.84
Lou Williams	73	71	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.45	-8	4	-12	14.6	16.1	-1.54	16.5	14.4	2.14

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Parker	49	52	0.83	-0.33	1.15	0.53	10	-6	16	15.4	16.8	-1.42	15.0	14.9	0.08
David West	57	58	0.81	-0.31	1.11	0.45	12	-8	20	15.8	16.4	-0.55	15.3	14.3	1.04
Danny Green	54	57	0.77	-0.27	1.03	0.44	11	-7	18	16.4	15.6	0.77	15.1	14.8	0.27
LaMarcus Aldridge	63	65	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.46	2	2	0	15.8	16.6	-0.76	15.8	13.1	2.67
Kawhi Leonard	66	67	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.41	2	2	0	15.2	18.2	-3.06	15.2	14.3	0.96
Kyle Anderson	19	19	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.05	1	3	-2	16.7	15.9	0.82	12.6	15.5	-2.90
Boris Diaw	45	46	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	-0.18	1	3	-2	16.1	15.9	0.20	14.9	15.0	-0.15
Boban Marjanovic	18	18	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.01	-7	11	-18	16.5	15.9	0.58	11.7	15.7	-3.99
Jonathon Simmons	46	46	-0.30	0.80	-1.09	-0.12	-6	10	-16	16.9	15.1	1.80	15.0	14.9	0.19
Patty Mills	43	42	-0.33	0.83	-1.15	-0.15	-6	10	-16	16.8	15.4	1.42	14.9	15.0	-0.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.42,0.43,0.29,0.43,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.39,0.68,0.55,0.56,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 102, NOK 107	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.73,0.68,0.65,0.61,0.69,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.5,0.58,0.54,0.66,0.73,0.7,0.65,0.71,0.72,0.63,0.6,0.48,0.46,0.34,0.48,0.57,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.54,0.69,0.71,0.67,0.92,1	92.3%
PHI 97, ORL 102	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.6,0.55,0.62,0.7,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.69,0.75,0.67,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.46,0.31,0.46,0.68,0.84,1	91.5%
LAL 116, DEN 125	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.62,0.57,0.55,0.64,0.68,0.76,0.76,0.75,0.65,0.6,0.51,0.61,0.73,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.54,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.7,0.65,0.71,0.65,0.56,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.3,0.33,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.35,0.39,0.69,0.85,0.67,0.92,1	91.2%