NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	104		Excitement	8.3 [216]		MVP	Jeremy Lin (CHA): +23.4%
Charlotte Hornets	108		Comeback	10.0 [245]		LVP	Ramon Sessions (WAS): -10.9%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bradley Beal	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.12,0.18,0.12,0.07,0.16,0.19	0.14	0.04	-0.01	13	73%	0.33	1	-0.14	4	75%	-0.01
Drew Gooden	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.04	0.06	-0.00	4	75%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Wall	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.05	0.06	0.04	0.05	17	55%	0.09	2	-0.04	8	87%	0.04
Marcin Gortat	0.03	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	9	50%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Jared Dudley	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.02	8	62%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Otto Porter	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0,0,0,-0.02	0.09	-0.10	0.01	14	59%	0.08	1	-0.10	6	67%	-0.01
Kelly Oubre	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Garrett Temple	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Gary Neal	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	7	14%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	10	36%	-0.06	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeremy Lin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,0.23	0.23	0.01	0.22	-0.01	5	70%	0.30	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.09	0.12	0.00	6	78%	0.24	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.03
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1	0.10	0.13	-0.00	0.02	6	93%	0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Cody Zeller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.05	0.01	6	57%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jeremy Lamb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.03	-0.01	6	23%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Nicolas Batum	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.02	20	57%	0.13	6	-0.14	6	83%	-0.00
Frank Kaminsky	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kemba Walker	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.04,-0.05	-0.05	0.05	-0.06	0.04	20	52%	0.05	1	-0.10	4	75%	0.01
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	7	50%	0.03	2	-0.11	4	75%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.3	2.4	29.5	15.4	23.5	2.5	39.2	133.9
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +39.3%

CHA +9.6%

CHA +16.2%

WAS -11.6%

WAS -3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	CHA	NBA	WAS	CHA	NBA
this game	14.6	14.2	14.9	105.1	106.9	105.1
season	13.8	15.1		104.1	105.5
opponent	14.8	15.1		103.6	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	13.0	13.1	19.6	13.5	14.6
CHA	14.7	14.0	14.0	14.2	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Drew Gooden	26	27	0.11	-0.61	0.71	-0.16	9	-13	22	14.9	14.5	0.47	14.6	14.1	0.55
Ramon Sessions	46	48	0.07	-0.57	0.63	-0.14	7	-11	18	14.6	14.5	0.10	13.8	14.6	-0.83
Kelly Oubre	8	8	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.02	2	-6	8	17.0	14.4	2.64	15.2	14.1	1.11
Gary Neal	30	31	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.13	4	-8	12	15.3	14.2	1.09	14.0	14.3	-0.28
Bradley Beal	44	44	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.42	13	-17	30	13.3	15.6	-2.35	14.3	14.2	0.16
Otto Porter	80	80	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.31	3	-7	10	14.6	14.5	0.06	15.1	11.0	4.01
Jared Dudley	54	56	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.04	-19	15	-34	15.4	13.6	1.83	13.5	15.2	-1.71
Garrett Temple	51	53	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.27	-10	6	-16	13.9	15.3	-1.43	14.4	14.0	0.35
Marcin Gortat	73	74	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	-0.23	-13	9	-22	14.5	14.9	-0.47	14.1	14.6	-0.55
John Wall	83	84	-0.75	0.25	-1.01	-0.28	-16	12	-28	14.6	14.4	0.16	14.0	15.3	-1.28

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cody Zeller	64	64	0.97	-0.47	1.45	0.30	23	-19	42	13.9	14.8	-0.83	14.1	15.5	-1.41
Kemba Walker	75	73	0.71	-0.21	0.93	0.36	12	-8	20	14.1	14.5	-0.37	14.4	15.2	-0.78
Jeremy Lin	46	47	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.41	2	2	0	14.7	13.9	0.82	15.0	14.2	0.85
Frank Kaminsky	39	38	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.12	5	-1	6	14.1	14.3	-0.16	16.4	13.4	2.95
Nicolas Batum	93	91	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.29	-1	5	-6	14.2	14.6	-0.43	14.6	14.5	0.08
Marvin Williams	62	61	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.26	-1	5	-6	14.3	14.1	0.16	13.4	16.4	-2.95
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	61	58	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.10	8	-4	12	13.7	15.1	-1.44	14.1	15.3	-1.18
Jeremy Lamb	28	28	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.19	-9	13	-22	15.1	13.9	1.22	15.4	14.3	1.09
Spencer Hawes	37	35	-0.47	0.97	-1.45	0.08	-19	23	-42	14.8	13.9	0.83	15.5	14.1	1.41

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.26,0.28,0.21,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.12,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.25,0.21,0.23,0.35,0.38,0.56,0.67,0.78,0.62,0.74,0.66,0.63,0.58,0.79,0.8,0.73,0.38,0.64,0.69,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 103, HOU 106	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.3,0.34,0.35,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.24,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.22,0.23,0.31,0.39,0.36,0.24,0.29,0.32,0.44,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.74,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.53,0.7,0.9,0.96,1	89.6%
ATL 107, DET 115	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.33,0.32,0.31,0.27,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.2,0.31,0.33,0.27,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.76,0.68,0.74,0.59,0.67,0.74,0.55,0.57,0.98,1	89.5%
PHX 99, DEN 105	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.6,0.53,0.57,0.49,0.36,0.31,0.3,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.13,0.17,0.15,0.18,0.16,0.09,0.14,0.1,0.07,0.14,0.26,0.25,0.34,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.59,0.76,0.6,0.45,0.63,0.76,0.85,1	89.3%