NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	81		Excitement	7.7 [325]		MVP	Rudy Gobert (UTA): +18.3%
Utah Jazz	84		Comeback	2.6 [743]		LVP	Khris Middleton (MIL): -46.9%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Greg Monroe	0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.01	0.12	-0.00	9	58%	0.19	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.00
Jerryd Bayless	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.15,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.12	-0.02	0.00	8	88%	0.13	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Miles Plumlee	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	8	58%	0.10	3	-0.10	8	62%	-0.01
Tyler Ennis	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rashad Vaughn	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Johnny O'Bryant	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.00	5	20%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jabari Parker	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	6	17%	-0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Michael Carter-Williams	-0.14	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.14,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.10	-0.03	0.01	14	34%	-0.06	3	-0.08	1	0%	-0.04
Khris Middleton	-0.47	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.17,-0.22,-0.17,-0.22,-0.28,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.37,-0.43,-0.43,-0.47	-0.15	-0.28	0.04	16	49%	-0.08	9	-0.39	5	100%	0.02

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.12	0.07	0.01	7	83%	0.18	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Rodney Hood	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.10	0.05	-0.00	18	61%	0.19	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.05	0.10	-0.01	14	58%	0.26	6	-0.20	3	100%	0.02
Raul Neto	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.06	-0.01	8	44%	0.08	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00
Erick Green	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Ingles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.04	0.00	3	37%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	0.04
Trey Burke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	2	37%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Trey Lyles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	5	30%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Booker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.15,-0.2	-0.20	-0.13	-0.08	-0.01	15	31%	-0.14	2	-0.06	6	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	2.5	29.5	15.3	26.5	2.4	38.5	137.2
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +21.0%

UTA +4.9%

UTA +6.5%

UTA +14.6%

UTA +3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	UTA	NBA	MIL	UTA	NBA
this game	14.3	16.8	14.9	89.0	89.4	105.1
season	14.8	16.3		102.8	104.6
opponent	15.0	15.3		102.8	107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	14.7	15.4	12.8	14.2	14.3
UTA	15.3	15.9	18.5	17.7	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Miles Plumlee	25	27	0.17	-0.67	0.85	-0.09	9	-12	21	16.5	13.4	3.11	15.7	17.3	-1.63
Tyler Ennis	15	15	0.16	-0.66	0.83	-0.04	7	-10	17	17.8	13.6	4.23	13.9	17.4	-3.45
Rashad Vaughn	19	19	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.00	2	-5	7	16.4	13.7	2.66	18.2	16.5	1.66
Johnny O'Bryant	29	30	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.06	1	-4	5	16.3	13.3	2.95	14.1	18.1	-4.01
Jerryd Bayless	48	51	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.30	-1	-2	1	15.3	13.1	2.13	15.2	18.7	-3.49
Michael Carter-Williams	54	55	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.11	-8	5	-13	13.9	14.8	-0.83	17.4	16.1	1.33
Jabari Parker	61	63	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.37	-2	-1	-1	13.3	16.2	-2.84	18.3	13.8	4.51
Khris Middleton	77	79	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.41	-4	1	-5	13.7	17.4	-3.66	16.6	18.0	-1.39
Giannis Antetokounmpo	62	65	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.38	-7	4	-11	13.1	16.8	-3.76	17.7	14.8	2.90
Greg Monroe	65	66	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.29	-12	9	-21	13.3	16.7	-3.40	17.6	15.1	2.45

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Raul Neto	65	63	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.32	9	-6	15	17.4	15.4	2.00	13.9	15.2	-1.32
Gordon Hayward	76	74	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.37	6	-3	9	16.7	17.3	-0.55	13.7	16.9	-3.22
Rodney Hood	81	79	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.26	8	-5	13	17.1	14.8	2.30	13.9	16.3	-2.38
Rudy Gobert	73	71	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.30	6	-3	9	17.3	15.3	1.93	14.0	15.2	-1.26
Derrick Favors	66	64	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.34	2	1	1	16.8	17.0	-0.24	13.6	15.7	-2.10
Erick Green	6	6	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.03	3	0	3	12.8	17.1	-4.27	12.5	14.4	-1.89
Trevor Booker	24	22	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.09	1	2	-1	16.5	16.9	-0.39	17.4	13.3	4.09
Joe Ingles	29	29	-0.01	0.52	-0.53	0.16	-6	9	-15	17.2	16.7	0.55	15.7	13.6	2.04
Trey Burke	7	5	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.01	-1	4	-5	12.0	17.2	-5.22	17.8	14.1	3.74
Trey Lyles	24	24	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.06	-3	6	-9	16.7	16.9	-0.16	13.6	14.5	-0.87
Chris Johnson	19	18	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.12	-10	13	-23	15.4	17.2	-1.83	17.3	13.5	3.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.51,0.58,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.3,0.39,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.45,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.69,0.6,0.47,0.61,0.79,0.95,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 106, CHH 112	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.49,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.34,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.45,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.38,0.44,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.57,0.43,0.52,0.63,0.59,0.84,0.54,0.75,0.84,0.94,0.84,1	93.1%
LAL 100, MEM 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.27,0.29,0.31,0.36,0.42,0.39,0.31,0.35,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.47,0.39,0.53,0.71,0.91,0.99,1	93.0%
DET 92, SAC 97	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.5,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.41,0.4,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.59,0.47,0.75,0.72,0.75,0.96,1	92.4%