NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	78		Excitement	6.8 [472]		MVP	Dwight Powell (DAL): +16.5%
Dallas Mavericks	91		Comeback	3.0 [691]		LVP	Archie Goodwin (PHX): -23.4%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alex Len	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tyson Chandler	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.01	8	63%	0.07	1	-0.04	3	0%	-0.05
Devin Booker	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	15	54%	0.14	4	-0.15	5	100%	0.03
Sonny Weems	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	6	42%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Markieff Morris	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	0.03	-0.00	13	43%	0.09	3	-0.12	4	75%	0.01
Jordan McRae	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	3	50%	0.02	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.02
Mirza Teletovic	-0.13	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.01	-0.10	0.02	11	50%	-0.04	2	-0.10	6	100%	0.04
PJ Tucker	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.09	-0.05	0.00	5	20%	-0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Archie Goodwin	-0.23	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.20	-0.07	-0.03	11	12%	-0.16	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dwight Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.06	0.11	0.00	2	100%	0.17	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
JaVale McGee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.04	0.00	2	100%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.05	-0.00	10	50%	0.10	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0	0.00	0.07	-0.03	0.04	19	63%	0.14	4	-0.14	5	100%	0.04
Salah Mejri	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	0.04	8	45%	-0.03	0	0.00	6	100%	0.02
Charlie Villanueva	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	7	50%	0.01	3	-0.07	4	75%	0.01
Chandler Parsons	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.05	0.03	14	47%	-0.06	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	12	27%	-0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.4	29.3	15.7	26.2	2.5	31.3	132.7
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +7.3%

DAL +8.2%

DAL +2.7%

DAL +30.9%

DAL +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	DAL	NBA	PHX	DAL	NBA
this game	15.0	16.8	14.9	84.8	102.2	105.1
season	14.4	15.5		100.9	105.0
opponent	14.7	14.4		106.5	107.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	15.2	14.3	14.5	16.2	15.0
DAL	13.5	17.0	16.8	20.8	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jordan McRae	27	26	0.25	-0.75	1.01	0.02	8	-21	29	14.7	15.2	-0.45	15.7	17.3	-1.66
Markieff Morris	49	47	0.08	-0.58	0.65	-0.01	3	-16	19	14.9	15.2	-0.26	18.1	15.4	2.70
Alex Len	27	27	0.08	-0.58	0.65	-0.07	5	-18	23	16.3	14.5	1.75	17.4	16.6	0.88
Sonny Weems	23	23	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.08	-12	-1	-11	13.3	15.6	-2.35	18.7	16.2	2.57
Devin Booker	78	77	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.12	-6	-7	1	15.1	14.4	0.70	16.7	17.4	-0.68
Mirza Teletovic	41	39	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.11	-14	1	-15	15.4	14.7	0.75	14.9	18.4	-3.49
PJ Tucker	81	78	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.11	-15	2	-17	14.9	16.0	-1.11	16.8	16.7	0.12
Tyson Chandler	65	62	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.05	-18	5	-23	14.5	16.3	-1.75	16.6	17.4	-0.88
Archie Goodwin	69	66	-0.70	0.20	-0.89	-0.23	-16	3	-19	15.6	13.3	2.35	17.0	16.4	0.53

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Deron Williams	65	68	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.15	20	-7	27	16.8	16.8	0.05	15.2	14.6	0.54
Chandler Parsons	67	69	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.11	20	-7	27	15.9	19.7	-3.85	15.3	14.2	1.13
Raymond Felton	67	69	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.13	17	-4	21	16.7	17.1	-0.34	15.1	14.7	0.38
Dwight Powell	19	20	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.13	12	1	11	21.2	15.6	5.57	16.2	14.7	1.57
Zaza Pachulia	68	71	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.06	11	2	9	17.0	16.4	0.59	14.5	16.8	-2.32
JaVale McGee	13	13	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.04	5	8	-3	18.2	16.6	1.55	18.7	14.4	4.27
Wesley Matthews	63	65	0.11	0.39	-0.29	-0.01	4	9	-5	16.7	17.1	-0.40	14.9	15.2	-0.28
Justin Anderson	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.03	1	12	-11	16.4	16.9	-0.44	17.3	14.8	2.45
Salah Mejri	8	8	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.02	-3	16	-19	13.5	17.2	-3.66	13.7	15.1	-1.39
Jose Juan Barea	47	48	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	-0.03	-8	21	-29	16.7	16.9	-0.18	14.4	15.7	-1.22
Charlie Villanueva	21	22	-0.39	0.89	-1.28	0.02	-14	27	-41	16.8	16.8	-0.03	13.1	15.6	-2.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.57,0.59,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.67,0.61,0.54,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.52,0.37,0.33,0.48,0.46,0.34,0.25,0.28,0.32,0.47,0.53,0.66,0.86,0.96,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 95, NJN 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.57,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.53,0.54,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.65,0.72,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.6,0.56,0.5,0.38,0.29,0.33,0.37,0.47,0.54,0.67,0.85,0.79,0.85,0.96,1	91.9%
NJN 77, CLE 81	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.53,0.47,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.51,0.44,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.5,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.67,0.85,0.94,0.91,0.92,1	91.7%
GSW 100, NJN 107	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.63,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.32,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.53,0.73,0.81,0.96,0.98,0.99,1	91.6%