inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Brooklyn Nets 86 Excitement3.9 [1063] MVPKent Bazemore (ATL): +15.3%
Atlanta Hawks 114 Comeback1.1 [1214] LVPDonald Sloan (BKN): -14.0%


Brooklyn Nets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Thaddeus Young0.070,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.020.031264%0.081-0.01450%-0.02
Joe Johnson0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.08-0.020.01974%0.091-0.041100%0.00
Markel Brown0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04-0.080.00-0.12533%0.043-0.00250%0.00
Sergey Karasev0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.000100%0.0200.002100%0.01
Andrea Bargnani0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.03-0.010.00560%0.0100.0000%0.00
Willie Reed0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.02237%0.0000.00425%-0.00
Wayne Ellington-0.020,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.00-0.03-0.00950%0.011-0.0300%0.00
Brook Lopez-0.030,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.04-0.01-0.011043%-0.012-0.02367%0.00
Thomas Robinson-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.090.00-0.04633%-0.033-0.0200%0.00
Shane Larkin-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.040.000.01736%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Bojan Bogdanovic-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.06-0.010.01841%-0.052-0.021100%0.00
Donald Sloan-0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.09-0.050.01533%-0.063-0.082100%0.01

Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kent Bazemore0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.130.030.00983%0.1500.0000%0.00
Tiago Splitter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.080.030.00583%0.1100.002100%0.01
Dennis Schroder0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.100.010.06979%0.071-0.021100%0.00
Thabo Sefolosha0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.000.00370%0.0400.00475%-0.00
Jeff Teague0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.030.000.01860%0.041-0.01475%-0.00
Paul Millsap0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.06-0.020.011366%0.083-0.06667%-0.03
Justin Holiday0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Mike Muscala0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Shelvin Mack0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.02360%0.0000.00450%0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.040.000.05580%-0.0110.0000%0.00
Al Horford0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.02-0.01956%0.012-0.0300%0.00
Mike Scott0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.01-0.00542%-0.032-0.022100%0.01
Kyle Korver0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.05-0.020.01623%-0.0800.001100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.61.625.415.421.42.328.3122.1
league avg24.52.329.515.826.72.333.5136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ATL +26.9%
ATL +3.7%
ATL +7.8%
ATL +10.5%
ATL +1.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsBKNATLNBABKNATLNBA
this game16.913.614.990.5121.3105.1
season15.014.2101.9104.1
opponent15.114.8100.3109.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
BKN16.017.016.518.216.9
ATL13.313.013.514.513.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Willie Reed2222-0.03-0.470.440.32-12-16418.216.51.7214.513.31.24
Sergey Karasev66-0.05-0.450.40-0.02-1-272611.217.3-6.139.813.8-3.97
Thaddeus Young5352-0.13-0.370.23-0.10-1-272616.417.6-1.1914.312.71.60
Donald Sloan5049-0.14-0.360.22-0.02-4-242016.517.4-0.8614.312.71.57
Markel Brown2928-0.15-0.350.200.38-18-10-818.316.32.0213.513.6-0.13
Joe Johnson5253-0.18-0.320.14-0.15-1-272616.317.7-1.3614.512.32.24
Thomas Robinson3031-0.21-0.290.090.21-14-14018.416.22.1811.714.4-2.70
Brook Lopez6262-0.23-0.270.040.15-13-15216.118.4-2.2314.212.22.02
Wayne Ellington6060-0.30-0.20-0.11-0.04-9-191016.817.1-0.2914.012.81.14
Bojan Bogdanovic4341-0.32-0.18-0.140.47-27-1-2617.716.31.3612.314.5-2.24
Shane Larkin4545-0.36-0.14-0.220.34-24-4-2017.416.50.8612.714.3-1.57
Andrea Bargnani2321-0.40-0.10-0.300.07-16-12-417.016.90.1211.414.2-2.74

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tiago Splitter33310.51-0.010.52-0.021810812.214.3-2.1117.916.41.53
Dennis Schroder39410.460.040.41-0.362802812.114.6-2.5217.816.31.50
Thabo Sefolosha36390.380.120.27-0.151810812.114.4-2.2917.116.80.29
Tim Hardaway Jr.45450.360.140.22-0.352442013.313.8-0.5518.015.92.04
Mike Scott41440.310.190.12-0.342261612.414.5-2.0616.817.0-0.20
Kent Bazemore54550.190.31-0.12-0.161216-413.613.50.0116.217.8-1.59
Paul Millsap54540.150.35-0.19-0.141018-814.811.92.8316.717.2-0.47
Kyle Korver41410.090.41-0.310.04226-2414.712.62.0916.017.6-1.59
Jeff Teague44430.040.46-0.410.10-230-3214.712.52.2516.217.5-1.31
Al Horford44450.000.50-0.49-0.09325-2214.213.01.1816.117.6-1.47
Mike Muscala15140.000.50-0.50-0.09325-2214.013.50.5319.016.52.46
Justin Holiday13120.000.50-0.500.00028-2814.213.40.7917.616.80.78
Shelvin Mack11110.000.50-0.50-0.06226-2414.013.50.5116.517.0-0.41


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.78,0.75,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.59,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.81,0.87,0.84,0.93,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
LAC 78, DEN 920.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.69,0.66,0.72,0.67,0.7,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.75,0.63,0.6,0.57,0.54,0.64,0.71,0.65,0.71,0.75,0.8,0.83,0.82,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,195.6%
DET 82, HOU 960.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.68,0.66,0.75,0.72,0.79,0.79,0.85,0.8,0.8,0.7,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.81,0.89,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.8%
WAS 105, TOR 1200.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.71,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.7,0.66,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.74,0.83,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.7%