inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Milwaukee Bucks 101 Excitement5.5 [724] MVPKelly Oubre (WAS): +11.9%
Washington Wizards 106 Comeback1.6 [782] LVPMichael Carter-Williams (MIL): -13.9%


Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Khris Middleton0.090,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.030.04-0.021761%0.195-0.10786%0.01
Jabari Parker0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.050.09-0.010.041371%0.133-0.08580%0.00
Rashad Vaughn-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.000.00425%-0.0300.0000%0.00
O.J. Mayo-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.00-0.00333%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo-0.040,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.001161%0.126-0.16978%0.02
Johnny O'Bryant-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.02-0.00133%-0.011-0.05450%-0.01
Greg Monroe-0.070,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.070.04-0.030.081360%-0.023-0.06956%-0.04
John Henson-0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.08-0.050.01450%0.024-0.1500%0.00
Michael Carter-Williams-0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.11-0.05-0.02633%-0.044-0.1000%0.00

Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kelly Oubre0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.010.08-0.03362%0.121-0.002100%0.02
Jared Dudley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.110.110.080.01-0.011065%0.1100.0000%0.00
Ramon Sessions0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.060.01-0.011160%0.091-0.01367%-0.00
Garrett Temple0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.080.000.01869%0.0700.0000%0.00
Nene0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.030.02-0.00771%0.103-0.05367%-0.01
Gary Neal0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.000.001150%0.0400.0000%0.00
DeJuan Blair0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.01333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Bradley Beal0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03-0.030.02-0.030.02855%-0.021-0.014100%0.01
Otto Porter0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.070.01-0.021238%-0.012-0.03250%-0.01
Drew Gooden0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.08-0.01-0.03731%-0.032-0.03250%-0.02
John Wall0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.07-0.00-0.011453%0.076-0.14875%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game21.42.329.515.426.62.337.5135.0
league avg24.52.329.515.826.72.333.5136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
WAS +21.8%
MIL -3.2%
MIL -7.7%
WAS +39.9%
MIL -0.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMILWASNBAMILWASNBA
this game13.714.314.997.1103.9105.1
season14.813.8102.8104.1
opponent15.115.3104.6107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIL15.514.314.511.013.7
WAS13.815.714.813.014.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Rashad Vaughn5554-0.03-0.470.45-0.175-101513.513.9-0.3912.815.9-3.10
Michael Carter-Williams5453-0.17-0.330.17-0.14-1-4314.213.11.0315.513.02.41
O.J. Mayo2525-0.17-0.330.16-0.02-50-514.213.50.6413.814.5-0.65
John Henson3636-0.17-0.330.16-0.02-50-514.513.21.3113.114.9-1.79
Johnny O'Bryant3231-0.22-0.280.06-0.07-50-514.913.11.7413.314.7-1.44
Khris Middleton9088-0.22-0.280.06-0.344-91313.415.3-1.8614.513.01.50
Giannis Antetokounmpo8787-0.33-0.17-0.15-0.30-1-4313.912.51.3714.512.91.67
Greg Monroe6866-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.330-5513.214.5-1.3114.913.11.79
Jabari Parker7370-0.870.37-1.25-0.37-1712-2912.815.7-2.9514.613.60.98

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Nene54580.75-0.251.000.3115-102514.114.5-0.4713.214.2-1.01
Ramon Sessions46490.65-0.150.790.0620-153513.415.0-1.6013.913.50.35
Kelly Oubre22220.52-0.020.540.269-41312.614.8-2.1712.014.1-2.18
Drew Gooden58580.380.120.250.119-41314.014.6-0.6013.713.7-0.00
Otto Porter42430.280.220.05-0.0511-61715.013.81.2014.712.91.83
John Wall81810.270.230.040.53-914-2315.210.94.2712.916.3-3.32
Jared Dudley68690.170.33-0.150.26-38-1114.513.90.5713.414.1-0.67
Gary Neal14130.140.36-0.22-0.0150515.014.20.8214.913.51.43
Bradley Beal4950-0.100.60-0.690.14-813-2113.315.2-1.9813.613.8-0.18
Garrett Temple6668-0.170.67-0.830.16-1116-2714.713.51.1814.212.71.45
DeJuan Blair109-0.390.89-1.28-0.01-1318-3114.714.20.4517.913.34.62


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.6,0.57,0.63,0.69,0.65,0.62,0.68,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.8,0.79,0.85,0.86,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.87,0.84,0.84,0.79,0.84,0.8,0.7,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.78,0.76,0.63,0.56,0.38,0.57,0.71,0.84,0.88,0.83,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.98,1
GameSimilarity Score
PHI 89, TOR 1010.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.69,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.81,0.8,0.79,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.88,0.84,0.86,0.83,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.81,0.82,0.72,0.74,0.64,0.58,0.73,0.82,0.83,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,194.0%
PHI 91, MEM 1020.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.67,0.71,0.75,0.8,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.85,0.82,0.79,0.78,0.8,0.88,0.88,0.8,0.76,0.72,0.67,0.7,0.76,0.65,0.72,0.76,0.77,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.67,0.75,0.87,0.9,0.83,0.93,0.97,1,1,1,1,193.5%
PHI 114, NOP 1210.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.72,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.79,0.75,0.8,0.84,0.92,0.93,0.9,0.88,0.82,0.78,0.76,0.81,0.87,0.85,0.82,0.86,0.8,0.72,0.58,0.57,0.75,0.83,0.77,0.83,0.88,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.96,1,193.5%