NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	111		Excitement	10.9 [38]		MVP	Jrue Holiday (NOP): +22.4%
Los Angeles Clippers	114		Comeback	2.6 [826]		LVP	Dante Cunningham (NOP): -27.7%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jrue Holiday	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.28,0.22	-0.02	0.23	-0.01	27	47%	0.30	3	-0.08	8	75%	0.22
Alexis Ajinca	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	5	69%	0.07	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Omer Asik	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	4	57%	0.03	1	-0.01	6	67%	-0.02
Toney Douglas	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alonzo Gee	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Babbitt	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Norris Cole	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	8	37%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyreke Evans	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.08	-0.00	-0.06	0.02	19	57%	0.08	5	-0.16	8	75%	0.02
Eric Gordon	-0.15	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.05	-0.10	0.01	10	35%	-0.06	1	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Anderson	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.2	-0.01	-0.17	0.01	14	50%	-0.12	2	-0.08	4	100%	0.03
Dante Cunningham	-0.28	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.25,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.28,-0.28	-0.03	-0.24	0.00	10	40%	-0.24	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luc Mbah a Moute	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.10	0.04	0.01	6	74%	0.13	0	0.00	7	29%	-0.08
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.05	0.01	18	62%	0.27	2	-0.14	4	50%	-0.02
Wesley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.11,0.11,0.08	0.08	-0.03	0.11	-0.00	13	50%	0.14	3	-0.06	4	50%	-0.04
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.09,0.09,0.08	0.08	0.07	-0.00	-0.01	16	62%	0.21	3	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
Pablo Prigioni	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	6	55%	0.04	2	-0.04	10	40%	-0.20
Austin Rivers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	-0.01	-0.03	11	45%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Cole Aldrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
JJ Redick	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.07	0.01	10	41%	-0.07	0	0.00	7	86%	0.01
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	6	25%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.2	2.5	32.5	15.4	24.4	1.8	39.2	2.3	22.2	164.6
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	2.2	17.3	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +118.5%

NOP -52.6%

NOP -16.2%

NOP -0.8%

LAC +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	LAC	NBA	NOP	LAC	NBA
this game	14.8	14.8	14.9	102.8	106.5	105.1
season	14.3	14.8		104.3	106.6
opponent	14.9	15.0		102.1	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
NOP	12.9	15.2	15.9	14.1	18.3	14.8
LAC	14.8	14.2	15.4	14.7	15.0	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luke Babbitt	10	9	0.22	-0.72	0.94	0.28	-2	-1	-1	13.5	14.9	-1.43	13.7	14.9	-1.22
Alexis Ajinca	34	32	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.10	2	-5	7	11.5	16.3	-4.81	14.5	14.9	-0.41
Alonzo Gee	12	13	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.03	-1	-2	1	16.7	14.6	2.10	12.6	15.1	-2.47
Toney Douglas	16	15	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.05	-5	2	-7	10.8	15.5	-4.68	13.8	14.9	-1.15
Norris Cole	35	34	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.12	-2	-1	-1	12.8	15.8	-2.95	13.0	15.6	-2.57
Eric Gordon	75	74	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.31	2	-5	7	14.9	14.6	0.32	16.0	12.1	3.85
Omer Asik	49	50	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.10	-7	4	-11	16.3	13.6	2.69	15.4	14.3	1.08
Tyreke Evans	78	78	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.36	0	-3	3	16.1	11.3	4.79	15.0	14.3	0.70
Dante Cunningham	71	70	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.63	9	-12	21	15.1	14.1	1.01	15.4	13.7	1.70
Jrue Holiday	76	75	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.34	-4	1	-5	14.1	16.3	-2.20	14.2	16.2	-2.05
Ryan Anderson	84	85	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.39	-7	4	-11	15.7	11.5	4.18	14.7	15.0	-0.27

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Paul	78	78	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.34	9	-6	15	14.8	14.7	0.08	15.9	12.0	3.83
DeAndre Jordan	81	81	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.18	13	-10	23	15.2	13.6	1.55	16.3	10.3	6.05
JJ Redick	69	69	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.30	7	-4	11	14.7	14.9	-0.21	16.2	12.4	3.77
Wesley Johnson	68	70	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.28	7	-4	11	14.8	14.7	0.11	14.5	15.4	-0.88
Jamal Crawford	61	64	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.09	13	-10	23	15.2	14.3	0.92	14.9	14.7	0.23
Austin Rivers	57	56	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.39	-8	11	-19	13.4	16.3	-2.92	12.5	17.2	-4.73
Luc Mbah a Moute	47	45	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.25	-4	7	-11	14.0	15.4	-1.40	15.1	14.6	0.54
Paul Pierce	24	25	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.02	-3	6	-9	16.9	14.2	2.69	15.3	14.6	0.68
Pablo Prigioni	29	30	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.07	-6	9	-15	14.7	14.8	-0.08	12.0	15.9	-3.83
Cole Aldrich	21	22	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	0.15	-13	16	-29	15.4	14.6	0.74	10.2	16.0	-5.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.71,0.71,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.67,0.64,0.74,0.74,0.72,0.77,0.84,0.85,0.81,0.82,0.93,0.92,0.81,0.79,0.88,0.93,0.81,0.78,0.67,0.73,0.54,0.47,0.64,0.67,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 80, SAS 88	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.34,0.39,0.33,0.28,0.32,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.56,0.6,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.77,0.69,0.62,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.76,0.81,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.91,0.83,0.85,0.73,0.68,0.78,0.83,0.74,0.46,0.45,0.72,0.95,0.99,1	90.4%
CHI 85, UTA 88	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.5,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.59,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.73,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.77,0.74,0.81,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.73,0.74,0.81,0.83,0.9,0.78,0.57,0.83,0.46,0.45,0.85,0.78,0.83,1	90.0%
PHI 95, UTA 98	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.45,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.32,0.36,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.6,0.67,0.61,0.61,0.68,0.71,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.9,0.91,0.87,0.81,0.89,0.78,0.84,0.54,0.38,0.54,0.45,0.69,1	89.3%