NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	95		Excitement	9.0 [104]		MVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): +28.3%
Utah Jazz	98		Comeback	2.2 [858]		LVP	Derrick Coleman (PHI): -26.1%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allen Iverson	0.28	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,0.36,0.49,0.43,0.35,0.24,0.28	-0.03	0.30	-0.01	22	50%	0.34	2	-0.06	10	90%	0.06
Terry Cummings	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Davis	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	6	67%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rex Walters	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05	0.00	-0.05	0.01	3	83%	0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jim Jackson	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.1,-0.1	-0.03	-0.09	-0.02	8	56%	-0.04	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.06,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.04	-0.07	-0.01	12	47%	-0.01	1	-0.09	6	67%	0.01
Theo Ratliff	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,-0.15,-0.15	0.01	-0.16	0.00	7	67%	0.01	2	-0.17	4	100%	0.02
Derrick Coleman	-0.26	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.19,-0.19,-0.26	-0.08	-0.19	-0.01	23	35%	-0.26	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Greg Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.01	-0.01	6	83%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Stockton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.14,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.03	0.07	-0.00	7	80%	0.25	6	-0.21	6	100%	0.09
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	7	57%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adam Keefe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.01	3	75%	0.04	1	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.04	-0.01	7	43%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Hornacek	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	16	58%	0.07	5	-0.13	4	100%	0.06
Bryon Russell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	7	44%	0.02	3	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01
Karl Malone	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.05,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.15,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	19	45%	-0.06	2	-0.03	9	100%	0.14
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18	-0.18	-0.14	-0.05	-0.00	5	17%	-0.18	0	0.00	8	37%	-0.10

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	42.2	2.3	26.2	14.7	26.3	2.4	29.3	1.6	19.1	164.1
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	1.6	18.4	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +7.9%

UTA +26.6%

PHI -0.4%

UTA +3.6%

UTA +12.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	UTA	NBA	PHI	UTA	NBA
this game	17.5	15.7	15.6	100.0	101.0	102.5
season	15.4	15.9		99.7	108.1
opponent	15.9	15.5		102.1	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
PHI	15.5	19.7	19.1	15.2	19.2	17.5
UTA	15.8	14.0	16.9	17.5	12.7	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rex Walters	29	27	0.30	-0.80	1.10	0.18	4	-7	11	15.3	18.4	-3.10	15.7	15.7	0.08
Terry Cummings	7	9	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-4	5	13.3	17.8	-4.51	13.8	15.9	-2.10
Clar. Weatherspoon	60	61	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.44	8	-11	19	16.6	18.9	-2.21	15.2	16.5	-1.30
Aaron McKie	27	29	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.08	-8	5	-13	16.9	17.7	-0.80	14.5	16.2	-1.66
Jim Jackson	70	71	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.31	-1	-2	1	18.4	14.8	3.67	15.5	16.2	-0.65
Mark Davis	57	59	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.06	-10	7	-17	17.4	17.6	-0.28	15.1	16.6	-1.43
Allen Iverson	78	81	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.40	1	-4	5	17.6	16.6	0.99	15.7	15.6	0.14
Derrick Coleman	75	76	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.35	-5	2	-7	17.9	15.9	1.92	16.0	14.6	1.35
Theo Ratliff	72	72	-0.73	0.23	-0.96	-0.58	-5	2	-7	18.2	15.3	2.91	17.1	11.7	5.39

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Ostertag	86	85	0.93	-0.43	1.37	0.61	11	-8	19	16.0	12.8	3.23	18.2	11.2	7.00
Adam Keefe	53	52	0.73	-0.23	0.97	0.50	8	-5	13	15.6	15.7	-0.09	17.5	17.4	0.12
John Stockton	77	75	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.32	3	0	3	15.4	16.7	-1.35	17.8	16.1	1.73
Jeff Hornacek	65	65	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.38	0	3	-3	15.8	15.5	0.32	16.8	18.9	-2.05
Karl Malone	77	76	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.42	-4	7	-11	15.6	15.9	-0.34	16.8	19.9	-3.11
Greg Foster	29	28	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.06	2	1	1	15.8	15.6	0.16	17.1	17.6	-0.45
Shandon Anderson	32	30	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.03	3	0	3	15.5	15.8	-0.32	18.9	16.8	2.05
Bryon Russell	45	44	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	-0.01	-5	8	-13	15.4	15.9	-0.56	17.2	17.6	-0.40
Howard Eisley	21	20	-0.35	0.85	-1.20	-0.26	-3	6	-9	16.0	15.6	0.47	16.1	17.8	-1.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.45,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.32,0.36,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.6,0.67,0.61,0.61,0.68,0.71,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.9,0.91,0.87,0.81,0.89,0.78,0.84,0.54,0.38,0.54,0.45,0.69,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 89, NOH 92	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.36,0.35,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.57,0.69,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.79,0.8,0.72,0.63,0.71,0.79,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.86,0.89,0.86,0.85,0.67,0.69,0.85,0.93,0.99,0.54,0.53,0.36,0.45,0.58,1	89.8%
MIN 112, NJN 117	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.7,0.66,0.75,0.72,0.61,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.66,0.77,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.95,0.87,0.9,0.79,0.94,0.95,0.46,0.53,0.37,0.22,0.59,1	89.6%
CLE 91, IND 98	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.44,0.36,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.65,0.72,0.8,0.89,0.75,0.85,0.9,0.9,0.92,0.88,0.79,0.8,0.73,0.81,0.71,0.78,0.74,0.46,0.69,0.54,0.77,0.99,1	89.3%