inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 99 Excitement8.6 [190] MVPReggie Jackson (DET): +31.8%
Boston Celtics 94 Comeback10.9 [64] LVPMarcus Smart (BOS): -16.0%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Reggie Jackson0.320,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.05,0.11,0.07,0.27,0.36,0.320.110.220.011563%0.341-0.02887%0.04
Andre Drummond0.140,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.050.100.01862%0.161-0.02520%-0.07
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope0.080,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.080.070.00-0.001362%0.122-0.04667%0.00
Aron Baynes0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.030.000.03-0.00375%0.082-0.052100%0.03
Anthony Tolliver0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.000.02-0.00643%0.0200.0020%-0.04
Stanley Johnson-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.21,-0.02-0.050.030.00861%0.215-0.222100%0.02
Joel Anthony-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Brandon Jennings-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.000.00450%0.013-0.07475%-0.01
Marcus Morris-0.060,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.00-0.00838%-0.012-0.05580%0.00
Ersan Ilyasova-0.120,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.10-0.020.01828%-0.072-0.0520%-0.04

Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Isaiah Thomas0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.16,-0.17,-0.24,-0.24,-0.07,0.02,0.07,0.130.13-0.060.18-0.002042%0.222-0.101369%-0.15
Evan Turner0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.050.01-0.011357%0.091-0.024100%0.02
Jared Sullinger0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.000.03-0.02750%0.071-0.032100%0.01
Jonas Jerebko0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.00260%0.011-0.031100%0.01
RJ Hunter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.030.00-0.0120%-0.0300.0000%0.00
James Young0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.0120%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Amir Johnson0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.04-0.080.001457%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Jae Crowder0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.050.05-0.100.001067%0.092-0.154100%0.03
Kelly Olynyk0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09-0.09-0.03-0.050.011142%-0.061-0.0320%-0.03
Marcus Smart0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16-0.16-0.14-0.03-0.011010%-0.141-0.0210%-0.07
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.42.530.314.831.32.339.7145.3
league avg24.52.329.515.826.72.333.5136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DET +58.1%
DET +5.8%
DET +1.3%
BOS -14.8%
BOS -0.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETBOSNBADETBOSNBA
this game14.814.714.9100.097.9105.1
season15.013.9104.9104.5
opponent15.015.1101.9105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET16.514.413.115.514.8
BOS14.113.815.715.114.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Aron Baynes39360.68-0.180.860.2415-102513.815.5-1.7015.214.40.81
Anthony Tolliver50480.61-0.110.720.2612-71914.814.9-0.1414.514.9-0.33
Marcus Morris76740.450.050.410.3732115.113.91.2814.814.40.42
Stanley Johnson50480.380.120.260.158-31113.815.9-2.0414.614.7-0.08
Brandon Jennings33320.330.170.150.0011-61714.615.0-0.3615.214.40.80
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope78750.300.200.100.3005-514.815.0-0.2514.415.8-1.44
Reggie Jackson66640.170.33-0.150.35-611-1715.014.60.3614.415.2-0.80
Joel Anthony1918-0.020.52-0.55-0.0514-314.914.80.1211.915.3-3.38
Andre Drummond4142-0.150.65-0.810.17-1116-2715.814.21.5915.414.11.32
Ersan Ilyasova4343-0.240.74-0.98-0.01-813-2115.714.21.4615.314.21.11

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
RJ Hunter17180.02-0.520.54-0.011-6715.114.60.5213.215.2-1.99
Amir Johnson61620.00-0.500.50-0.238-132114.614.8-0.1815.314.11.14
Kelly Olynyk5961-0.18-0.320.14-0.304-91314.415.2-0.8214.814.9-0.08
Jared Sullinger3132-0.20-0.300.100.03-83-1114.914.60.3714.315.1-0.75
Marcus Smart5556-0.25-0.250.01-0.22-1-4313.915.8-1.9114.415.5-1.13
James Young1213-0.29-0.21-0.09-0.09-72-914.814.70.1717.414.52.92
Isaiah Thomas7274-0.32-0.18-0.14-0.320-5514.614.9-0.3114.914.80.06
Jonas Jerebko3232-0.36-0.14-0.210.03-138-2115.714.21.5914.914.80.04
Jae Crowder7174-0.45-0.05-0.39-0.481-6714.614.9-0.2615.114.11.03
Evan Turner7073-0.48-0.02-0.46-0.19-105-1515.113.71.4214.815.1-0.31


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.68,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.59,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.7,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.76,0.84,0.88,0.82,0.92,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.74,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.47,0.22,0.15,0.46,0.22,0.27,0
GameSimilarity Score
NYK 95, BKN 900.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.66,0.62,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.71,0.71,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.51,0.59,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.77,0.7,0.73,0.81,0.77,0.78,0.84,0.85,0.83,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.86,0.62,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.28,0.25,0.16,0.06,0.1,091.9%
OKC 107, LAL 1030.5,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.54,0.53,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.76,0.74,0.71,0.66,0.72,0.64,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.85,0.84,0.79,0.9,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.95,0.87,0.84,0.79,0.67,0.58,0.64,0.34,0.4,0.46,0.46,0.09,0.16,091.5%
SAS 101, NJN 910.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.79,0.71,0.7,0.74,0.81,0.8,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.73,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.87,0.83,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.75,0.76,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.4,0.15,0.28,0.23,0.27,090.8%