NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	100		Excitement	7.1 [433]		MVP	Brook Lopez (BKN): +12.5%
Boston Celtics	97		Comeback	1.4 [269]		LVP	Jared Sullinger (BOS): -14.9%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brook Lopez	0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12	0.05	0.08	0.00	24	54%	0.24	4	-0.11	8	100%	0.05
Thaddeus Young	0.04	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.04	-0.00	0.00	-0.04	16	47%	0.10	1	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Bojan Bogdanovic	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	11	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Andrea Bargnani	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wayne Ellington	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.04	0.00	4	42%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Willie Reed	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donald Sloan	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	19	53%	0.06	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Shane Larkin	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05	-0.11	-0.01	-0.07	3	25%	-0.02	4	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jarrett Jack	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	0.00	5	17%	-0.09	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcus Smart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.05	-0.00	7	52%	0.11	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.01
Isaiah Thomas	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	22	52%	0.10	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.03	0.00	4	70%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
James Young	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Olynyk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.02	-0.02	5	70%	0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.09,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	11	46%	0.02	1	-0.06	4	100%	0.03
Jae Crowder	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.04	0.01	13	52%	0.01	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.00
Tyler Zeller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	0.00	3	30%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Avery Bradley	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	6	36%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
David Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	5	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jared Sullinger	0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.10	-0.05	-0.01	8	44%	-0.03	5	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.3	33.3	14.5	29.5	2.5	33.5	140.0
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +16.6%

BKN +10.4%

BKN +14.3%

BKN +2.5%

BKN +6.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	BOS	NBA	BKN	BOS	NBA
this game	16.9	12.3	14.9	102.0	98.0	105.1
season	15.0	13.9		101.9	104.5
opponent	15.0	14.8		101.9	109.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	15.8	16.2	17.3	18.5	16.9
BOS	11.9	12.6	13.4	11.5	12.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brook Lopez	79	80	0.86	-0.36	1.23	0.37	17	-14	31	16.7	17.8	-1.11	12.6	11.2	1.36
Thaddeus Young	65	65	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.42	7	-4	11	17.4	16.0	1.43	13.1	10.9	2.18
Bojan Bogdanovic	66	65	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.34	6	-3	9	17.2	16.5	0.62	12.2	12.5	-0.33
Joe Johnson	77	78	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.40	-1	4	-5	17.5	15.0	2.54	12.5	11.6	0.94
Jarrett Jack	46	47	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.06	10	-7	17	16.6	17.2	-0.64	13.2	11.5	1.75
Shane Larkin	49	50	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.41	-3	6	-9	17.4	16.5	0.88	11.3	13.3	-1.97
Wayne Ellington	46	49	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.05	1	2	-1	16.9	17.0	-0.11	12.3	12.3	0.03
Willie Reed	28	28	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.01	-2	5	-7	14.8	17.8	-2.98	10.7	12.9	-2.18
Andrea Bargnani	16	16	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	0.01	-9	12	-21	17.9	16.8	1.18	11.3	12.5	-1.19
Donald Sloan	18	17	-0.33	0.83	-1.16	-0.01	-11	14	-25	15.3	17.3	-1.98	11.5	12.5	-0.95

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Young	16	15	0.13	-0.63	0.75	-0.05	6	-9	15	12.2	12.3	-0.08	19.7	16.4	3.29
David Lee	21	21	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.01	0	-3	3	11.3	12.6	-1.30	16.0	17.2	-1.27
Amir Johnson	57	60	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.32	9	-12	21	12.1	12.6	-0.49	18.1	15.1	2.97
Kelly Olynyk	29	27	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.04	-2	-1	-1	12.6	12.2	0.43	14.7	17.8	-3.10
Tyler Zeller	16	15	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.04	-5	2	-7	12.9	12.2	0.74	13.6	17.6	-3.95
Avery Bradley	22	23	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.02	-5	2	-7	11.8	12.5	-0.64	16.7	17.0	-0.33
Jonas Jerebko	33	32	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.15	1	-4	5	12.2	12.4	-0.15	18.0	16.5	1.51
Marcus Smart	53	51	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.32	2	-5	7	11.8	13.0	-1.20	16.2	17.8	-1.57
Jared Sullinger	35	35	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.05	-8	5	-13	13.8	11.5	2.26	17.6	16.6	1.06
Evan Turner	77	76	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.39	0	-3	3	12.5	11.7	0.81	16.6	18.0	-1.36
Isaiah Thomas	74	74	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.41	-3	0	-3	12.2	12.6	-0.44	17.0	16.7	0.37
Jae Crowder	62	61	-0.66	0.16	-0.81	-0.36	-10	7	-17	12.4	12.2	0.11	17.4	16.3	1.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.43,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.43,0.51,0.36,0.33,0.24,0.26,0.2,0.21,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.25,0.38,0.42,0.31,0.24,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 105, NOP 99	0.5,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.57,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.41,0.44,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.43,0.33,0.28,0.29,0.23,0.32,0.25,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.27,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.23,0.07,0.1,0.08,0	93.7%
SEA 82, PHX 73	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.51,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.36,0.41,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.43,0.36,0.3,0.19,0.13,0.15,0.12,0.15,0.09,0.13,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.33,0.42,0.21,0.15,0.17,0.19,0.07,0.01,0,0	93.1%
CLE 97, MIN 86	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.17,0.16,0.09,0.1,0.15,0.19,0.22,0.12,0.11,0.27,0.29,0.2,0.17,0.25,0.11,0.01,0,0	92.5%