NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	91		Excitement	2.5 [1257]		MVP	Jose Juan Barea (DAL): +9.1%
Dallas Mavericks	114		Comeback	1.2 [528]		LVP	Draymond Green (GSW): -10.6%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrew Bogut	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.00	0.02	4	100%	0.06	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.09	0.00	0.08	7	71%	0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Marreese Speights	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.06	12	46%	0.05	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Shaun Livingston	0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.00	0.01	7	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jason Thompson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.00
James Michael McAdoo	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	50%	0.00	1	-0.00	2	50%	0.00
Ian Clark	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.13	0.00	0.14	12	81%	0.01	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Brandon Rush	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.06	7	21%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Klay Thompson	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.12	-0.01	-0.03	15	31%	-0.06	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Draymond Green	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.01	0.01	15	32%	-0.06	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.01

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.17	0.00	0.08	12	96%	0.12	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.10	0.02	0.05	6	93%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	-0.00	-0.01	8	70%	0.09	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.10	0.00	0.06	9	72%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.05	5	50%	0.03	2	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	15	53%	0.05	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Dwight Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	9	56%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chandler Parsons	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	5	50%	0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Justin Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	25%	0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Jeremy Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
JaVale McGee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	1	25%	0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
John Jenkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Villanueva	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	0.03	7	36%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.2	2.5	29.4	14.8	26.5	1.7	29.6	124.6
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +36.6%

DAL +2.1%

DAL +12.0%

GSW -0.2%

GSW -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	DAL	NBA	GSW	DAL	NBA
this game	14.3	15.8	14.9	95.8	118.8	105.1
season	13.7	15.5		112.3	105.0
opponent	14.7	15.1		106.5	102.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	15.6	14.0	12.0	15.7	14.3
DAL	16.5	14.2	17.2	15.6	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Thompson	20	20	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.16	-6	-17	11	15.7	13.9	1.75	14.5	16.2	-1.68
James Michael McAdoo	32	32	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.16	-11	-12	1	15.1	13.9	1.17	14.8	16.4	-1.58
Andrew Bogut	46	45	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.15	-13	-10	-3	14.9	13.8	1.12	16.7	15.1	1.57
Shaun Livingston	40	40	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.18	-14	-9	-5	15.5	13.5	2.00	16.3	15.5	0.76
Marreese Speights	42	45	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.16	-3	-20	17	13.6	14.8	-1.21	15.4	16.3	-0.90
Ian Clark	48	49	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.01	-9	-14	5	13.7	14.9	-1.19	15.4	16.3	-0.87
Andre Iguodala	49	48	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.03	-11	-12	1	13.6	15.0	-1.41	15.6	16.0	-0.37
Draymond Green	61	62	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.01	-11	-12	1	13.8	15.3	-1.48	16.4	14.8	1.56
Klay Thompson	67	68	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.03	-11	-12	1	13.7	15.8	-2.13	16.2	14.9	1.33
Brandon Rush	70	71	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.35	-26	3	-29	14.9	12.8	2.11	15.8	16.0	-0.23

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chandler Parsons	60	60	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.29	24	-1	25	16.6	14.6	2.00	14.3	14.3	-0.04
Dirk Nowitzki	55	55	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.29	24	-1	25	16.5	15.0	1.45	14.4	14.2	0.20
Jose Juan Barea	60	61	0.32	0.18	0.13	-0.36	23	0	23	16.2	15.2	1.02	15.0	13.1	1.96
Devin Harris	41	41	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.04	9	14	-5	16.2	15.6	0.59	13.6	14.9	-1.24
Zaza Pachulia	47	48	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.17	15	8	7	16.6	15.1	1.54	14.8	13.8	0.96
Wesley Matthews	52	51	0.26	0.24	0.01	-0.07	11	12	-1	15.7	16.0	-0.22	14.5	14.0	0.50
Dwight Powell	51	51	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.03	7	16	-9	15.8	15.8	-0.02	13.6	15.1	-1.53
Raymond Felton	42	41	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.06	9	14	-5	16.9	15.0	1.86	13.6	14.9	-1.29
Charlie Villanueva	27	25	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.02	2	21	-19	14.7	16.3	-1.57	14.6	14.2	0.33
Justin Anderson	12	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	24	-25	12.5	16.3	-3.81	14.5	14.3	0.26
Jeremy Evans	12	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	25	-27	12.5	16.3	-3.81	14.5	14.3	0.26
JaVale McGee	9	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	27	-31	11.3	16.3	-4.97	14.3	14.3	0.02
John Jenkins	12	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	25	-27	12.5	16.3	-3.81	14.5	14.3	0.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.63,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.72,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.77,0.81,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 88, NYK 108	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.59,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.8,0.85,0.86,0.87,0.76,0.81,0.78,0.82,0.88,0.87,0.93,0.93,0.91,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%
TOR 91, GSW 117	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.62,0.65,0.72,0.78,0.77,0.77,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.8,0.82,0.88,0.88,0.88,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
LAL 98, PHX 126	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.76,0.79,0.75,0.8,0.8,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.89,0.89,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%