NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	101		Excitement	7.7 [315]		MVP	TJ Warren (PHX): +20.8%
Phoenix Suns	97		Comeback	1.4 [1108]		LVP	Tyson Chandler (PHX): -18.0%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyrie Irving	0.16	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0.16	0.08	0.11	0.03	16	58%	0.23	1	-0.07	6	100%	0.03
Kevin Love	0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.01	0.01	11	70%	0.13	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
J.R. Smith	0.08	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	0.02	0.02	11	71%	0.14	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Richard Jefferson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.04	-0.00	4	70%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Tristan Thompson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	3	56%	0.04	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.03
Iman Shumpert	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.03	0.00	3	83%	0.09	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Timofey Mozgov	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matthew Dellavedova	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	4	80%	0.07	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
James Jones	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	4	37%	-0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.1	-0.01	-0.10	-0.01	10	48%	-0.05	2	-0.05	9	56%	-0.03

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
TJ Warren	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.28,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.17	0.02	-0.02	15	72%	0.21	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.04
Jon Leuer	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.01	0.01	8	70%	0.10	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.03
Brandon Knight	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.06,0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.05	-0.00	18	47%	0.13	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Devin Booker	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.01	6	83%	0.06	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Sonny Weems	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
PJ Tucker	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03	-0.03	0.04	-0.03	0.04	11	64%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Mirza Teletovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	7	36%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	4	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alex Len	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	5	36%	-0.03	2	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.18	-0.18	-0.05	-0.13	-0.00	3	43%	0.02	2	-0.20	8	50%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	1.8	25.4	15.4	27.5	2.3	38.6	133.7
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +28.4%

CLE +5.2%

CLE +6.0%

CLE +11.4%

PHX -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	PHX	NBA	CLE	PHX	NBA
this game	17.2	15.0	14.9	112.2	109.0	105.1
season	15.8	14.4		110.3	100.9
opponent	14.4	14.9		107.4	103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	16.6	16.1	16.9	19.6	17.2
PHX	15.4	16.7	11.9	16.4	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Love	48	48	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.14	15	-11	26	17.1	17.4	-0.27	14.0	16.1	-2.07
J.R. Smith	60	57	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.14	15	-11	26	17.3	17.0	0.37	13.9	16.8	-2.85
Kyrie Irving	43	45	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.23	10	-6	16	19.7	15.0	4.67	14.3	15.6	-1.35
LeBron James	67	64	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.23	3	1	2	17.6	16.2	1.33	14.7	15.7	-1.06
Tristan Thompson	61	57	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.27	-1	5	-6	17.9	15.8	2.14	14.4	16.0	-1.63
Iman Shumpert	37	38	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.37	-7	11	-18	17.6	16.9	0.70	16.1	14.1	1.92
Richard Jefferson	33	35	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.19	-4	8	-12	16.9	17.4	-0.52	16.3	14.1	2.15
Timofey Mozgov	29	31	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.06	0	4	-4	15.8	17.9	-2.14	16.2	14.3	1.90
Matthew Dellavedova	48	45	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.16	-6	10	-16	14.7	20.1	-5.41	15.4	14.5	0.99
James Jones	24	25	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.12	-5	9	-14	16.7	17.4	-0.69	16.5	14.3	2.18

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sonny Weems	21	21	0.10	-0.60	0.70	0.04	2	-6	8	16.1	14.6	1.55	14.1	18.2	-4.06
Mirza Teletovic	23	23	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.19	8	-12	20	16.0	14.6	1.41	15.1	17.9	-2.79
Ronnie Price	26	25	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.10	2	-6	8	16.0	14.5	1.42	17.0	17.3	-0.29
Jon Leuer	46	48	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.06	-4	0	-4	14.3	15.6	-1.26	17.3	17.1	0.26
Alex Len	44	45	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.10	-3	-1	-2	14.6	15.3	-0.72	18.3	16.1	2.20
TJ Warren	51	51	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.46	7	-11	18	15.4	14.3	1.12	17.2	17.3	-0.08
Tyson Chandler	42	42	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.21	-3	-1	-2	15.0	14.9	0.09	16.1	18.1	-2.00
Devin Booker	53	52	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.24	-7	3	-10	14.7	15.3	-0.54	18.6	15.3	3.37
Brandon Knight	69	69	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.30	-8	4	-12	14.7	15.8	-1.15	17.8	15.3	2.45
PJ Tucker	70	74	-0.70	0.20	-0.89	-0.29	-14	10	-24	14.6	16.4	-1.86	17.2	17.4	-0.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.47,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.23,0.28,0.38,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.16,0.15,0.24,0.16,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.14,0.21,0.24,0.28,0
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 89, BOS 84	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.46,0.38,0.37,0.31,0.27,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.22,0.25,0.19,0.16,0.25,0.17,0.19,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.1,0.15,0.1,0.26,0	92.7%
IND 82, CLE 78	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.33,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.28,0.34,0.4,0.32,0.15,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.19,0.36,0.23,0.16,0	92.5%
ORL 90, NOH 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.47,0.38,0.45,0.4,0.48,0.49,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.28,0.2,0.27,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.52,0.4,0.32,0.26,0.22,0.12,0.14,0.1,0.21,0.12,0.09,0.11,0.15,0.03,0.26,0	92.3%