NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	108		Excitement	3.4 [1156]		MVP	Jamal Crawford (LAC): +10.1%
Washington Wizards	91		Comeback	1.0 [672]		LVP	Garrett Temple (WAS): -7.6%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Crawford	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.15	0.00	0.05	12	87%	0.12	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Johnson	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.00	-0.00	8	70%	0.08	1	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Chris Paul	0.06	0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.00	-0.03	20	52%	0.09	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
DeAndre Jordan	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.01	6	83%	0.10	3	-0.04	6	50%	-0.02
Cole Aldrich	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.01	-0.04	9	50%	0.06	1	0.00	8	87%	0.01
Paul Pierce	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	7	64%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
JJ Redick	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	8	44%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Austin Rivers	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	4	36%	0.00	3	-0.00	3	67%	0.00
Pablo Prigioni	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Branden Dawson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lance Stephenson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	1	0%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Otto Porter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.14	0.00	0.07	12	75%	0.09	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Jarell Eddie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.02	7	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
DeJuan Blair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	13	43%	-0.00	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kelly Oubre	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.00	6	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.00	10	44%	-0.02	2	-0.02	7	57%	-0.02
John Wall	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.12	0.00	-0.07	23	47%	0.03	6	-0.07	3	67%	-0.01
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	4	40%	-0.02	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Garrett Temple	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.11	-0.00	-0.04	9	27%	-0.06	2	-0.02	4	50%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	1.8	30.3	15.4	23.3	2.4	29.6	129.7
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +40.5%

LAC +12.1%

WAS -2.3%

LAC +4.5%

WAS -4.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	WAS	NBA	LAC	WAS	NBA
this game	14.8	14.0	14.9	106.9	91.9	105.1
season	14.8	13.8		106.6	104.1
opponent	15.1	14.9		104.6	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	13.2	14.9	15.8	15.4	14.8
WAS	15.0	13.3	14.8	12.9	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
JJ Redick	47	48	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.14	18	-1	19	15.8	14.0	1.82	15.6	12.5	3.11
Paul Pierce	32	31	0.30	0.20	0.11	-0.11	14	3	11	17.1	13.8	3.34	15.7	13.2	2.57
Chris Paul	54	54	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.00	10	7	3	15.3	14.3	1.04	15.3	12.4	2.94
DeAndre Jordan	56	56	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.05	8	9	-1	15.0	14.6	0.42	15.2	12.3	2.92
Jamal Crawford	59	56	0.26	0.24	0.01	-0.18	15	2	13	14.5	15.2	-0.65	13.5	14.6	-1.10
Cole Aldrich	45	43	0.21	0.29	-0.07	-0.05	9	8	1	14.6	15.0	-0.42	12.3	15.2	-2.92
Luc Mbah a Moute	39	38	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.03	6	11	-5	14.3	15.1	-0.82	14.8	13.5	1.27
Pablo Prigioni	47	45	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.00	7	10	-3	14.3	15.3	-1.04	12.4	15.3	-2.94
Wesley Johnson	69	68	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.11	3	14	-11	13.8	17.1	-3.34	13.2	15.7	-2.57
Austin Rivers	43	40	0.15	0.35	-0.21	-0.21	12	5	7	14.0	15.4	-1.49	13.3	14.4	-1.06
Branden Dawson	6	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.23	-8	25	-33	17.2	14.7	2.50	11.0	14.2	-3.21
Lance Stephenson	8	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.26	-9	26	-35	16.4	14.7	1.70	10.2	14.4	-4.13

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeJuan Blair	9	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.26	9	-26	35	10.2	14.4	-4.13	16.4	14.7	1.70
Ramon Sessions	59	60	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.36	9	-26	35	13.4	14.9	-1.54	13.8	16.2	-2.37
Jarell Eddie	39	39	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.03	-6	-11	5	12.9	14.7	-1.79	14.3	15.1	-0.86
Kris Humphries	20	22	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.06	-7	-10	3	14.1	13.9	0.21	12.7	15.4	-2.67
Otto Porter	68	72	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.06	-9	-8	-1	13.6	14.7	-1.06	14.3	16.2	-1.91
John Wall	74	76	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.08	-13	-4	-9	14.4	12.8	1.63	14.9	14.5	0.39
Marcin Gortat	70	71	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.16	-17	0	-17	14.4	12.9	1.48	15.3	13.7	1.58
Jared Dudley	27	25	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.29	-23	6	-29	16.7	12.9	3.80	15.3	14.7	0.62
Kelly Oubre	49	49	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.03	-16	-1	-15	14.5	13.5	1.05	15.9	13.8	2.03
Garrett Temple	80	83	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.10	-12	-5	-7	13.6	15.5	-1.91	15.4	12.2	3.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.34,0.32,0.26,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.23,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.17,0.13,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.17,0.14,0.06,0.1,0.19,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.12,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 104, CHA 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.28,0.31,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.17,0.12,0.11,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0	96.5%
MEM 97, MIA 82	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.29,0.28,0.26,0.3,0.25,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.13,0.19,0.14,0.15,0.17,0.16,0.07,0.11,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.3%
LAL 106, UTA 95	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.26,0.25,0.26,0.21,0.17,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	96.0%