NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	85		Excitement	4.4 [956]		MVP	Klay Thompson (GSW): +10.7%
Golden State Warriors	103		Comeback	1.1 [1290]		LVP	Gordon Hayward (UTA): -16.7%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Withey	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.01	0.03	3	90%	0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Joe Ingles	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	4	75%	0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Trey Burke	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	14	46%	0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Trey Lyles	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Raul Neto	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Hood	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.06	11	68%	0.01	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Alec Burks	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	0.05	12	50%	-0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Trevor Booker	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Favors	-0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	0.01	16	47%	-0.01	4	-0.11	4	75%	-0.00
Gordon Hayward	-0.17	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.14	-0.03	-0.01	15	24%	-0.13	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Klay Thompson	0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.13,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.04	-0.01	16	54%	0.13	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.02
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	5	75%	0.08	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	6	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ian Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	0.00	0.04	3	117%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.02	8	53%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	8	56%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
James Michael McAdoo	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Rush	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.02	2	75%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Festus Ezeli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	6	43%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Stephen Curry	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.02	14	50%	0.02	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Draymond Green	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.03	-0.03	0.05	15	50%	-0.04	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	1.7	26.5	15.3	24.5	2.5	25.2	117.9
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +27.2%

GSW +5.5%

GSW +0.5%

GSW +16.6%

GSW +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	GSW	NBA	UTA	GSW	NBA
this game	16.3	13.7	14.9	87.6	108.4	105.1
season	16.3	13.7		104.6	112.3
opponent	15.1	15.0		102.9	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	16.7	19.2	15.6	14.2	16.3
GSW	11.4	15.0	13.2	15.2	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Withey	22	24	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.02	3	-21	24	16.8	16.2	0.59	15.3	13.1	2.19
Trey Lyles	30	30	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.09	1	-19	20	16.1	16.4	-0.27	14.1	13.4	0.70
Raul Neto	29	28	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.04	-4	-14	10	17.1	16.0	1.12	15.6	12.9	2.72
Joe Ingles	41	43	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.07	-5	-13	8	15.5	16.9	-1.48	13.4	13.8	-0.43
Trey Burke	55	55	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.10	-11	-7	-4	15.8	17.0	-1.20	13.3	14.1	-0.82
Alec Burks	55	55	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.07	-11	-7	-4	15.5	17.4	-1.83	13.5	13.8	-0.25
Trevor Booker	39	36	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.01	-9	-9	0	17.7	15.4	2.25	12.5	14.4	-1.90
Rodney Hood	77	73	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.06	-12	-6	-6	16.6	15.3	1.22	13.6	13.7	-0.04
Gordon Hayward	67	64	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	0.06	-20	2	-22	16.5	16.0	0.46	13.6	13.8	-0.28
Derrick Favors	70	67	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	0.10	-22	4	-26	16.3	16.4	-0.07	13.3	14.5	-1.20

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Draymond Green	76	79	0.62	-0.12	0.74	-0.05	23	-5	28	13.0	16.4	-3.46	16.4	15.8	0.60
Stephen Curry	69	70	0.56	-0.06	0.63	-0.05	21	-3	24	13.2	14.9	-1.70	16.6	15.7	0.85
Klay Thompson	67	69	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.02	15	3	12	13.8	13.2	0.57	16.7	15.4	1.35
Andrew Bogut	51	53	0.23	0.27	-0.03	-0.03	9	9	0	14.5	12.6	1.94	16.7	15.9	0.79
Andre Iguodala	58	57	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.12	3	15	-12	13.7	13.6	0.01	16.2	16.4	-0.18
Shaun Livingston	38	39	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.05	8	10	-2	12.4	14.5	-2.10	15.8	16.7	-0.83
Ian Clark	14	15	0.13	0.37	-0.25	-0.05	6	12	-6	15.4	13.4	2.00	14.5	16.7	-2.19
Festus Ezeli	32	31	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.08	1	17	-16	12.3	14.3	-2.02	16.8	16.1	0.67
Leandro Barbosa	31	32	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.01	2	16	-14	14.2	13.4	0.76	15.8	16.6	-0.80
Brandon Rush	27	29	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.05	4	14	-10	14.4	13.3	1.11	15.8	16.5	-0.75
James Michael McAdoo	12	11	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	-0.04	-2	20	-22	18.4	13.0	5.45	16.2	16.3	-0.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.64,0.67,0.56,0.6,0.68,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.82,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.92,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.92,0.98,0.94,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 94, CHA 126	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.57,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.77,0.73,0.77,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.57,0.73,0.73,0.81,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
VAN 90, DAL 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.62,0.59,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.7,0.82,0.81,0.77,0.73,0.73,0.69,0.73,0.72,0.76,0.79,0.87,0.89,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.5%
POR 96, SAS 110	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.57,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.62,0.65,0.76,0.77,0.76,0.74,0.7,0.69,0.73,0.68,0.66,0.78,0.78,0.84,0.84,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.92,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%