NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	91		Excitement	3.7 [1097]		MVP	Mike Conley (MEM): +11.5%
Washington Wizards	100		Comeback	1.5 [636]		LVP	Tony Allen (MEM): -8.3%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Conley	0.12	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.11	0.00	0.00	16	64%	0.12	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jeff Green	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.01	14	58%	0.08	1	-0.01	5	60%	-0.02
JaMychal Green	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	4	80%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Zach Randolph	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	-0.00	0.04	9	67%	0.04	1	-0.01	6	100%	0.02
Courtney Lee	-0.00	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0	0.03	-0.00	0.04	6	57%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Mario Chalmers	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marc Gasol	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.00	0.03	9	46%	-0.03	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.00
Vince Carter	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	0.02	-0.01	5	8%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Matt Barnes	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	0.00	-0.02	6	17%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	2	42%	-0.02	3	-0.06	8	37%	-0.05

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kelly Oubre	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.00	-0.01	6	71%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.00	0.01	7	79%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	11	57%	0.06	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.00	4	80%	0.06	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Garrett Temple	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.02	0.03	17	56%	0.07	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Gary Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.04	-0.02	2	56%	0.05	2	-0.03	5	60%	0.02
DeJuan Blair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	13	46%	0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
John Wall	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.13	0.01	-0.06	18	37%	0.00	4	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.6	2.4	33.4	15.5	24.4	2.4	31.1	130.8
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +25.8%

WAS +6.1%

WAS +21.7%

MEM -4.0%

WAS +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	WAS	NBA	MEM	WAS	NBA
this game	16.2	16.1	14.9	102.2	112.4	105.1
season	15.7	13.8		103.4	104.1
opponent	15.1	14.8		104.6	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	17.3	16.4	15.5	15.6	16.2
WAS	13.2	14.3	16.5	21.5	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vince Carter	24	25	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.04	-4	-5	1	15.7	16.4	-0.68	14.6	16.7	-2.10
Mario Chalmers	9	10	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.06	-8	-1	-7	14.0	16.5	-2.50	15.3	16.2	-0.92
JaMychal Green	32	30	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.07	-4	-5	1	14.3	17.3	-2.97	16.1	16.1	-0.02
Zach Randolph	49	50	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.18	-1	-8	7	14.8	18.0	-3.18	16.3	15.8	0.47
Tony Allen	41	39	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.14	-3	-6	3	15.5	16.9	-1.41	16.8	15.5	1.31
Jeff Green	69	69	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.27	0	-9	9	16.7	14.6	2.06	16.2	15.7	0.53
Marc Gasol	57	59	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.16	-5	-4	-1	17.3	14.3	2.97	16.1	16.1	0.02
Matt Barnes	41	41	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.08	-8	-1	-7	17.9	14.8	3.07	15.8	16.4	-0.57
Mike Conley	74	74	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.26	-2	-7	5	16.6	14.7	1.82	16.2	15.7	0.46
Courtney Lee	49	48	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.03	-10	1	-11	16.5	16.0	0.49	16.2	16.0	0.25

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jared Dudley	56	56	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.07	11	-2	13	16.0	16.3	-0.25	17.6	14.0	3.62
Kelly Oubre	40	39	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.11	16	-7	23	14.8	17.2	-2.38	17.1	15.6	1.43
Marcin Gortat	72	73	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.12	8	1	7	16.0	16.8	-0.81	17.0	12.6	4.42
John Wall	69	68	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.12	8	1	7	16.3	15.5	0.73	16.9	14.0	2.94
Ramon Sessions	54	55	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.15	7	2	5	18.2	12.9	5.32	15.0	18.3	-3.26
Garrett Temple	73	74	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.29	1	8	-7	15.9	17.1	-1.16	16.5	15.1	1.42
DeJuan Blair	17	16	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.11	1	8	-7	16.8	16.0	0.81	12.6	17.0	-4.42
Gary Neal	31	31	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.26	-5	14	-19	14.3	17.1	-2.80	15.4	16.7	-1.37
Kris Humphries	33	33	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.16	-2	11	-13	16.3	16.0	0.25	14.0	17.6	-3.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.53,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.65,0.72,0.85,0.82,0.79,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.87,0.86,0.83,0.82,0.8,0.84,0.77,0.83,0.89,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.88,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 81, LAL 114	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.74,0.77,0.85,0.87,0.89,0.84,0.82,0.86,0.83,0.89,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
CHH 92, CHI 105	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.74,0.76,0.81,0.86,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.85,0.89,0.85,0.82,0.82,0.79,0.86,0.87,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
PHX 109, GSW 138	0.5,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.65,0.72,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.88,0.86,0.91,0.9,0.84,0.79,0.8,0.75,0.74,0.8,0.85,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%