NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	84		Excitement	7.5 [346]		MVP	LeBron James (CLE): +13.7%
Cleveland Cavaliers	91		Comeback	1.6 [918]		LVP	Lance Thomas (NYK): -28.2%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kristaps Porzingis	0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.1,0.13,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.08	0.05	0.00	18	57%	0.17	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Jose Calderon	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.01	0.01	5	91%	0.10	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Lou Amundson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	3	33%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Seraphin	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cleanthony Early	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.05	0.00	6	58%	0.04	2	-0.07	7	100%	0.04
Langston Galloway	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	6	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	9	44%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jerian Grant	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	5	20%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Arron Afflalo	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.15,-0.14	-0.06	-0.09	-0.01	17	42%	-0.03	2	-0.12	4	100%	0.03
Lance Thomas	-0.28	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.14,-0.21,-0.28,-0.28	-0.05	-0.22	0.01	11	36%	-0.18	1	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.05,0,0,0.08,0.15,0.11,0.14	0.14	0.00	0.14	0.00	22	47%	0.18	1	-0.04	7	86%	0.13
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.05	0.02	5	62%	0.09	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Kevin Love	0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	17	56%	0.09	1	-0.03	7	71%	-0.03
Timofey Mozgov	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	6	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Iman Shumpert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	7	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
James Jones	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mo Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Matthew Dellavedova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	8	44%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	7	29%	-0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kyrie Irving	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	-0.01	7	29%	-0.09	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.1	2.8	35.2	15.5	19.3	2.6	34.0	131.5
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +14.0%

CLE +16.4%

NYK -0.9%

CLE +18.1%

CLE +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	CLE	NBA	NYK	CLE	NBA
this game	15.8	17.1	14.9	95.5	104.6	105.1
season	15.6	15.8		103.5	110.3
opponent	14.9	14.8		103.7	106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	16.5	13.2	17.0	17.0	15.8
CLE	16.2	16.8	18.1	17.3	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerian Grant	17	17	0.11	-0.61	0.72	0.02	3	-10	13	14.9	16.1	-1.19	22.1	15.9	6.26
Lou Amundson	14	14	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.01	2	-9	11	16.5	15.7	0.78	23.6	15.8	7.82
Derrick Williams	40	37	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.12	1	-8	9	14.5	16.9	-2.41	18.1	16.3	1.79
Robin Lopez	35	36	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.04	-2	-5	3	16.7	15.2	1.50	16.8	17.3	-0.52
Kevin Seraphin	9	8	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.08	-8	1	-9	17.7	15.6	2.03	14.7	17.3	-2.57
Cleanthony Early	9	10	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.15	-1	-6	5	14.6	16.0	-1.43	22.2	16.4	5.78
Lance Thomas	63	64	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.22	0	-7	7	15.7	16.3	-0.61	16.6	18.4	-1.78
Arron Afflalo	69	68	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.31	0	-7	7	15.8	16.1	-0.27	16.0	21.1	-5.08
Kristaps Porzingis	72	70	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.19	-8	1	-9	16.0	15.1	0.88	16.2	20.8	-4.58
Langston Galloway	47	47	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.29	-9	2	-11	15.7	16.0	-0.30	17.2	16.9	0.33
Jose Calderon	65	64	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	-0.26	-13	6	-19	16.4	14.4	1.96	15.9	20.4	-4.50

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Iman Shumpert	49	49	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.25	15	-8	23	16.5	17.8	-1.35	16.1	15.5	0.64
Matthew Dellavedova	58	59	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.28	9	-2	11	15.6	20.0	-4.43	15.4	16.8	-1.42
LeBron James	69	69	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.32	7	0	7	16.6	19.1	-2.49	15.8	16.1	-0.34
Kevin Love	64	64	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.35	6	1	5	16.5	18.6	-2.08	15.6	16.5	-0.96
Tristan Thompson	51	54	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.30	7	0	7	17.2	17.0	0.18	16.1	15.5	0.56
J.R. Smith	47	47	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.07	1	6	-5	16.3	18.0	-1.66	15.7	16.0	-0.21
Richard Jefferson	7	9	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.01	2	5	-3	16.9	17.1	-0.24	16.1	15.8	0.30
Timofey Mozgov	25	24	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.05	-3	10	-13	18.6	16.5	2.19	16.0	15.8	0.22
James Jones	8	8	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.07	-1	8	-9	19.0	16.9	2.11	15.7	15.8	-0.10
Kyrie Irving	31	32	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.05	-5	12	-17	20.3	15.3	4.99	16.3	15.6	0.79
Mo Williams	26	25	-0.22	0.72	-0.93	-0.13	-3	10	-13	19.6	16.0	3.56	16.1	15.7	0.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.68,0.65,0.7,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.63,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.67,0.7,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.59,0.58,0.55,0.54,0.59,0.48,0.56,0.6,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.58,0.63,0.53,0.6,0.39,0.39,0.63,0.85,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 97, NYK 106	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.76,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.51,0.64,0.59,0.67,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.59,0.48,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.63,0.64,0.59,0.4,0.38,0.78,0.99,1,1	93.0%
NYK 104, BKN 110	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.57,0.64,0.58,0.68,0.74,0.7,0.62,0.54,0.54,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.55,0.52,0.69,0.66,0.6,0.56,0.46,0.57,0.33,0.52,0.63,0.59,0.58,0.4,0.55,0.71,0.77,0.99,1	92.7%
PHI 97, ORL 102	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.6,0.55,0.62,0.7,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.69,0.75,0.67,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.46,0.31,0.46,0.68,0.84,1	92.3%