NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	103		Excitement	9.1 [136]		MVP	Kyle Korver (ATL): +65.8%
Orlando Magic	100		Comeback	2.3 [508]		LVP	Paul Millsap (ATL): -27.3%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Korver	0.66	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.16,0.26,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.66	0.19	0.45	-0.01	8	106%	0.67	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.02
Mike Scott	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.12	0.11	-0.00	10	71%	0.23	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.03
Kent Bazemore	0.17	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.17,0.17	0.04	0.14	0.01	9	62%	0.24	2	-0.07	3	67%	0.04
Thabo Sefolosha	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.02	0.00	4	67%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Tiago Splitter	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Patterson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	15	47%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Schroder	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	3	43%	0.01	4	-0.11	1	100%	0.01
Jeff Teague	-0.23	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.07	-0.17	-0.01	7	64%	-0.02	6	-0.21	8	75%	-0.04
Paul Millsap	-0.27	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.18,-0.27,-0.27	-0.10	-0.18	-0.00	16	36%	-0.23	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.08	0.13	0.00	5	100%	0.25	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Evan Fournier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.13	0.05	0.00	8	77%	0.18	0	0.00	6	100%	0.05
Channing Frye	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.06	0.07	0.00	4	100%	0.21	4	-0.08	5	100%	0.04
Mario Hezonja	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	0.01	19	53%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Nicholson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.00	4	80%	0.14	3	-0.10	7	100%	0.05
Aaron Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	5	20%	-0.06	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Victor Oladipo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17	-0.17	-0.12	-0.05	-0.00	11	18%	-0.10	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Tobias Harris	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.07	-0.12	0.01	9	22%	-0.20	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elfrid Payton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.13,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.05	-0.19	0.00	14	41%	-0.12	2	-0.12	6	33%	-0.08

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	0.6	26.2	15.4	30.9	1.8	31.2	130.6
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +63.1%

ORL -10.0%

ORL -4.5%

ORL -16.8%

ATL +18.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	ORL	NBA	ATL	ORL	NBA
this game	15.5	14.7	14.9	108.4	104.2	105.1
season	14.2	14.6		104.1	103.6
opponent	14.9	15.1		105.2	100.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	17.2	14.3	14.0	16.4	15.5
ORL	13.3	17.7	13.2	14.9	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Millsap	67	69	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.50	-5	8	-13	15.7	14.9	0.84	14.6	15.1	-0.51
Kyle Korver	73	71	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.39	-2	5	-7	15.5	15.5	-0.00	14.5	15.4	-0.88
Mike Scott	34	34	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.01	11	-8	19	15.5	15.4	0.12	15.2	14.4	0.82
Thabo Sefolosha	30	32	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.13	5	-2	7	14.4	16.0	-1.59	13.9	15.1	-1.20
Lamar Patterson	25	24	0.28	0.22	0.05	-0.02	10	-7	17	16.0	15.2	0.80	17.1	13.9	3.17
Kent Bazemore	63	65	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.48	-7	10	-17	15.9	14.6	1.25	14.5	15.2	-0.72
Jeff Teague	53	56	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.30	-1	4	-5	15.2	15.7	-0.51	14.4	15.1	-0.76
Tiago Splitter	25	28	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.04	7	-4	11	14.5	15.8	-1.32	15.5	14.4	1.17
Al Horford	64	61	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.30	-7	10	-17	15.5	15.3	0.24	14.2	15.6	-1.40
Dennis Schroder	41	40	0.07	0.43	-0.35	-0.04	4	-1	5	15.5	15.4	0.15	15.1	14.4	0.76

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Channing Frye	53	52	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.09	5	-8	13	14.2	15.4	-1.20	15.9	14.9	1.04
Aaron Gordon	34	32	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.01	-3	0	-3	15.3	14.4	0.95	15.2	15.6	-0.31
Jason Smith	29	29	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.13	-8	5	-13	15.1	14.5	0.62	15.6	15.4	0.24
Andrew Nicholson	35	36	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.02	-5	2	-7	15.4	14.3	1.04	14.6	16.0	-1.40
Tobias Harris	61	61	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.42	5	-8	13	14.5	15.1	-0.64	15.9	14.7	1.12
Mario Hezonja	13	12	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.11	-15	12	-27	17.2	14.3	2.83	16.1	15.4	0.72
Victor Oladipo	54	55	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.24	-3	0	-3	15.1	14.3	0.79	15.7	15.1	0.65
Nikola Vucevic	67	66	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.54	5	-8	13	14.5	15.1	-0.62	15.4	15.6	-0.24
Evan Fournier	72	71	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.44	0	-3	3	14.2	16.2	-2.06	14.9	17.2	-2.35
Elfrid Payton	62	61	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.56	4	-7	11	14.5	15.1	-0.68	15.6	15.2	0.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.27,0.28,0.31,0.25,0.22,0.29,0.25,0.2,0.33,0.45,0.65,0.59,0.44,0.41,0.56,0.4,0.54,0.62,0.48,0.62,0.38,0.41,0.53,0.4,0.62,0.37,0.43,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 101, OKC 93	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.33,0.25,0.3,0.26,0.33,0.25,0.29,0.27,0.16,0.21,0.25,0.27,0.36,0.45,0.45,0.59,0.48,0.44,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.39,0.38,0.64,0.45,0.26,0	89.9%
MIA 82, PHI 77	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.3,0.32,0.29,0.28,0.33,0.25,0.3,0.29,0.23,0.27,0.39,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.53,0.58,0.47,0.41,0.46,0.4,0.52,0.55,0.15,0.09,0	89.6%
DET 100, PHX 91	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.63,0.55,0.54,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.42,0.39,0.22,0.19,0.21,0.28,0.36,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.62,0.63,0.52,0.61,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.32,0.51,0.6,0.61,0.53,0.45,0.31,0.16,0	89.5%