NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	109		Excitement	8.4 [213]		MVP	Dennis Schroder (ATL): +32.1%
Boston Celtics	101		Comeback	6.1 [147]		LVP	Evan Turner (BOS): -18.7%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dennis Schroder	0.32	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.32,0.32,0.32	0.13	0.21	0.02	15	65%	0.32	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
Paul Millsap	0.25	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.18,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.03	0.23	0.02	13	56%	0.33	3	-0.09	10	80%	-0.03
Thabo Sefolosha	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.09	0.08	0.00	7	79%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	0.10	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1	-0.01	0.10	-0.01	19	52%	0.19	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Kyle Korver	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.05	0.01	9	55%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Mike Scott	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tiago Splitter	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	3	37%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Lamar Patterson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	0.01	6	37%	-0.04	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Kent Bazemore	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	16	41%	-0.08	2	-0.04	5	60%	-0.05

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Isaiah Thomas	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.31,0.31	0.31	0.14	0.16	-0.01	12	74%	0.41	5	-0.10	15	93%	0.12
Jae Crowder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.12,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.14	0.08	-0.01	13	77%	0.35	3	-0.12	5	100%	0.03
RJ Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.07	0.12	-0.00	5	80%	0.19	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Sullinger	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.00	7	50%	0.04	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.08
Amir Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Olynyk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	5	67%	0.05	4	-0.11	2	50%	-0.02
Jonas Jerebko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.04	-0.00	5	0%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.11	-0.04	-0.00	11	27%	-0.10	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Avery Bradley	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.11	-0.05	-0.01	8	24%	-0.11	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.03
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.08	-0.10	-0.00	8	44%	-0.05	4	-0.13	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	2.8	32.0	14.8	28.1	2.3	40.4	142.7
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +33.2%

BOS -8.2%

ATL +5.0%

ATL +23.7%

BOS -3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	BOS	NBA	ATL	BOS	NBA
this game	13.3	14.2	14.9	104.8	96.2	105.1
season	14.2	13.9		104.1	104.5
opponent	15.0	15.1		101.9	100.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	13.3	13.0	13.3	13.7	13.3
BOS	16.0	13.7	13.9	13.5	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dennis Schroder	62	61	0.81	-0.31	1.12	0.22	20	-12	32	13.5	13.1	0.37	14.1	14.4	-0.33
Paul Millsap	70	73	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.37	14	-6	20	12.8	14.3	-1.45	14.5	13.7	0.79
Kent Bazemore	80	79	0.78	-0.28	1.05	0.31	16	-8	24	13.4	13.0	0.47	14.2	14.4	-0.19
Al Horford	79	79	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.32	5	3	2	13.7	12.1	1.63	13.9	15.1	-1.17
Kyle Korver	76	78	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.30	5	3	2	13.1	14.0	-0.89	14.1	14.6	-0.43
Lamar Patterson	11	12	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.01	0	8	-8	13.7	13.3	0.46	14.4	14.2	0.20
Mike Scott	18	19	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.04	-2	10	-12	12.9	13.4	-0.45	13.8	14.3	-0.55
Tiago Splitter	40	38	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	-0.22	1	7	-6	13.4	13.2	0.17	14.7	14.0	0.70
Thabo Sefolosha	42	41	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	-0.04	-7	15	-22	13.5	13.2	0.39	14.2	14.2	0.01
Jeff Teague	42	45	-0.31	0.81	-1.12	0.04	-12	20	-32	13.1	13.5	-0.37	14.6	14.0	0.59

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kelly Olynyk	31	32	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.09	0	-8	8	14.4	14.2	0.26	14.5	12.8	1.75
David Lee	40	39	0.08	-0.58	0.66	0.05	1	-9	10	14.4	14.1	0.30	13.4	13.3	0.15
RJ Hunter	38	37	0.07	-0.57	0.64	0.04	1	-9	10	14.2	14.2	-0.00	14.1	12.9	1.19
Jonas Jerebko	34	35	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.04	-4	-4	0	13.6	14.5	-0.87	13.6	13.2	0.43
Amir Johnson	34	34	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.07	-9	1	-10	15.3	13.7	1.56	13.2	13.4	-0.12
Jared Sullinger	55	52	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.47	3	-11	14	14.1	14.4	-0.27	12.7	13.9	-1.21
Isaiah Thomas	72	72	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.36	-2	-6	4	14.1	14.6	-0.58	13.2	13.5	-0.26
Evan Turner	62	61	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.16	-12	4	-16	14.0	14.7	-0.70	13.4	13.2	0.26
Avery Bradley	78	78	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.25	-11	3	-14	14.2	14.3	-0.08	13.2	13.8	-0.65
Jae Crowder	81	80	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.37	-7	-1	-6	14.4	13.8	0.58	12.9	14.7	-1.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.53,0.55,0.65,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.64,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.59,0.5,0.46,0.4,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.7,0.68,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.68,0.79,0.71,0.78,0.61,0.21,0.16,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 109, LAL 104	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.65,0.65,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.64,0.69,0.6,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.61,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.6,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.56,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.62,0.56,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.73,0.47,0.15,0.03,0.02,0	90.5%
LAL 105, HOU 100	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.59,0.64,0.61,0.57,0.58,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.69,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.57,0.62,0.71,0.68,0.64,0.59,0.65,0.39,0.28,0.15,0.23,0	90.3%
DAL 98, IND 94	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.7,0.65,0.62,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.45,0.36,0.42,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.74,0.6,0.62,0.78,0.7,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.83,0.62,0.46,0.15,0.27,0	90.3%