NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	97		Excitement	6.9 [448]		MVP	Andrea Bargnani (BKN): +14.3%
Indiana Pacers	104		Comeback	4.2 [595]		LVP	Monta Ellis (IND): -14.5%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrea Bargnani	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.06	0.06	-0.03	9	60%	0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jarrett Jack	0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.11	0.00	0.02	15	70%	0.21	3	-0.11	7	100%	0.05
Joe Johnson	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.05	0.01	0.06	0.02	11	50%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Wayne Ellington	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	6	42%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.03	-0.00	15	53%	0.06	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Thaddeus Young	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	14	44%	0.00	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Markel Brown	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willie Reed	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Donald Sloan	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	7	43%	0.01	2	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Bojan Bogdanovic	-0.11	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	7	36%	-0.02	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jordan Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.1,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.05	0.08	-0.00	9	64%	0.16	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.04
Paul George	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	-0.01	0.08	-0.04	15	61%	0.24	7	-0.14	8	87%	0.03
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.06	-0.00	11	52%	0.09	0	0.00	7	71%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.02	0.01	7	71%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	0.00	12	52%	0.08	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.02
Lavoy Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	8	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Hill	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.03	0.05	-0.02	11	41%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chase Budinger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	-0.00	8	44%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Monta Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15	-0.15	-0.11	-0.06	-0.02	8	12%	-0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.5	2.6	29.2	16.5	26.5	2.3	26.7	124.3
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +4.3%

IND +13.9%

IND +14.7%

IND +23.4%

BKN -6.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	IND	NBA	BKN	IND	NBA
this game	15.2	14.5	14.9	101.0	106.1	105.1
season	15.0	14.6		101.9	103.2
opponent	14.9	14.8		101.6	109.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	15.6	16.4	14.2	14.7	15.2
IND	13.8	14.9	13.5	16.0	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wayne Ellington	28	29	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.03	-2	-5	3	15.9	14.9	1.00	15.3	14.2	1.19
Markel Brown	5	5	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.01	-2	-5	3	15.6	15.2	0.44	15.4	14.5	0.94
Donald Sloan	47	48	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.09	1	-8	9	16.0	14.4	1.59	14.7	14.3	0.43
Willie Reed	18	19	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.06	-5	-2	-3	14.8	15.3	-0.50	15.2	14.4	0.80
Thaddeus Young	69	69	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.18	-1	-6	5	14.8	16.1	-1.29	13.9	15.9	-1.92
Andrea Bargnani	41	42	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.14	-4	-3	-1	16.0	14.6	1.46	15.3	13.9	1.44
Joe Johnson	69	69	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.29	-1	-6	5	14.7	16.5	-1.80	13.7	16.6	-2.90
Brook Lopez	64	66	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.21	-4	-3	-1	15.2	15.2	-0.09	14.4	14.7	-0.36
Jarrett Jack	78	80	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.35	-3	-4	1	15.1	15.8	-0.73	14.4	15.1	-0.67
Bojan Bogdanovic	61	63	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.19	-14	7	-21	15.0	15.6	-0.65	15.0	13.7	1.33

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jordan Hill	44	44	0.71	-0.21	0.93	0.36	12	-5	17	15.5	13.7	1.88	15.2	15.2	-0.01
George Hill	71	68	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.24	12	-5	17	15.0	13.3	1.62	15.3	15.0	0.26
Rodney Stuckey	50	50	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.13	9	-2	11	14.6	14.4	0.14	16.1	14.2	1.86
Paul George	74	74	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.25	4	3	1	14.1	15.9	-1.86	14.8	16.5	-1.64
CJ Miles	56	55	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.19	3	4	-1	14.0	15.2	-1.23	14.7	15.8	-1.04
Lavoy Allen	42	41	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.10	4	3	1	15.2	14.0	1.23	15.8	14.7	1.04
Monta Ellis	72	71	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.17	-3	10	-13	14.0	16.0	-2.08	14.6	16.7	-2.07
Chase Budinger	27	25	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.08	-1	8	-9	15.9	14.0	1.95	15.8	15.0	0.88
Ian Mahinmi	54	52	-0.21	0.71	-0.93	-0.07	-5	12	-17	13.7	15.5	-1.88	15.2	15.2	0.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.66,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.51,0.66,0.57,0.67,0.58,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.56,0.34,0.29,0.4,0.3,0.22,0.34,0.43,0.42,0.59,0.85,0.87,0.89,0.96,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 103, LAL 108	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.71,0.73,0.77,0.65,0.7,0.64,0.66,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.59,0.57,0.61,0.64,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.41,0.38,0.26,0.25,0.28,0.37,0.47,0.76,0.9,0.9,0.96,0.85,0.99,1	93.0%
SAS 85, POR 90	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.7,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.46,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.42,0.58,0.71,0.76,0.78,0.85,0.85,0.94,0.99,1	92.7%
UTA 108, GSW 115	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.57,0.56,0.52,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.63,0.7,0.72,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.69,0.59,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.44,0.33,0.52,0.38,0.34,0.25,0.38,0.4,0.47,0.66,0.67,0.97,0.98,0.98,1,1	92.5%