NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	107		Excitement	1.5 [794]		MVP	Terrence Jones (HOU): +16.3%
Los Angeles Lakers	87		Comeback	1.0 [1139]		LVP	D'Angelo Russell (LAL): -16.3%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terrence Jones	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.13,0.15,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.13	0.04	-0.00	7	80%	0.18	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Trevor Ariza	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.08	0.03	-0.01	10	65%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Beverley	0.03	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	12	54%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.06	0.02	-0.07	24	43%	0.07	3	-0.04	10	90%	0.03
Clint Capela	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	6	62%	0.06	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Corey Brewer	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	8	37%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Montrezl Harrell	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
KJ McDaniels	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	10	42%	-0.02	1	-0.02	18	56%	0.00
Donatas Motiejunas	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	7	44%	-0.04	3	-0.04	4	25%	-0.05
Ty Lawson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	3	0%	-0.05	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.00	-0.01	9	67%	0.11	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.02	16	56%	0.06	2	-0.04	7	29%	-0.07
Julius Randle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.00	15	50%	0.05	1	-0.04	6	83%	0.00
Larry Nance Jr.	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.01	0.02	8	61%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Jordan Clarkson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	14	43%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Robert Sacre	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Nick Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	7	29%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
D'Angelo Russell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.19	-0.04	-0.06	9	11%	-0.08	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	3.4	28.6	17.4	28.4	0.2	39.5	142.9
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +7.4%

HOU +14.9%

HOU +19.2%

HOU +8.1%

HOU +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	LAL	NBA	HOU	LAL	NBA
this game	13.9	16.7	14.9	115.1	91.6	105.1
season	14.0	15.2		105.9	100.1
opponent	14.5	15.1		109.9	106.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	13.5	16.1	14.5	12.0	13.9
LAL	17.2	19.8	14.9	15.7	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Harden	69	70	0.73	-0.23	0.95	-0.18	31	-11	42	14.2	13.1	1.08	16.7	16.9	-0.21
Patrick Beverley	56	57	0.59	-0.09	0.68	-0.29	30	-10	40	13.4	14.7	-1.32	17.2	15.9	1.30
Trevor Ariza	70	71	0.56	-0.07	0.63	-0.20	26	-6	32	13.9	13.9	0.02	16.3	17.9	-1.59
Clint Capela	57	57	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.12	19	1	18	12.8	15.6	-2.78	16.3	17.3	-0.98
Dwight Howard	51	52	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.19	19	1	18	13.7	14.1	-0.48	17.1	16.3	0.86
Donatas Motiejunas	36	37	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.01	4	16	-12	14.9	13.3	1.60	15.8	17.3	-1.46
Terrence Jones	38	39	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.22	-5	25	-30	15.3	12.9	2.34	17.1	16.4	0.68
Montrezl Harrell	4	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	17	-14	10.0	14.1	-4.06	20.6	16.5	4.09
KJ McDaniels	4	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	17	-14	10.0	14.1	-4.06	20.6	16.5	4.09
Ty Lawson	37	38	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.20	-10	30	-40	14.7	13.4	1.32	15.9	17.2	-1.30
Corey Brewer	32	33	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.14	-8	28	-36	14.0	13.8	0.18	16.4	16.9	-0.46
Jason Terry	11	11	-0.20	0.69	-0.89	0.16	-12	32	-44	13.2	14.0	-0.79	18.8	16.5	2.37

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Young	32	31	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.10	4	-24	28	16.5	16.8	-0.34	14.1	13.8	0.37
Robert Sacre	45	42	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.28	9	-29	38	16.8	16.7	0.10	14.9	13.1	1.78
D'Angelo Russell	54	52	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.00	-5	-15	10	16.7	16.8	-0.10	13.3	14.6	-1.21
Julius Randle	46	44	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.07	-4	-16	12	17.6	15.9	1.75	13.7	14.1	-0.42
Larry Nance Jr.	56	55	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.24	-19	-1	-18	16.4	17.2	-0.86	14.0	13.7	0.38
Lou Williams	59	58	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.04	-12	-8	-4	16.7	16.7	-0.04	15.1	11.9	3.15
Jordan Clarkson	77	76	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.21	-23	3	-26	16.8	16.6	0.21	13.3	16.3	-2.95
Roy Hibbert	43	45	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.28	-26	6	-32	16.2	17.2	-1.03	13.0	14.7	-1.71
Kobe Bryant	63	62	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	0.19	-24	4	-28	16.8	16.5	0.34	13.8	14.1	-0.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.28,0.3,0.32,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.29,0.34,0.28,0.25,0.22,0.16,0.14,0.23,0.24,0.19,0.21,0.16,0.2,0.19,0.23,0.19,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.21,0.24,0.16,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 107, MEM 101	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.26,0.3,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.23,0.16,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.22,0.3,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.3,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.17,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	94.4%
SAS 108, SAC 102	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.33,0.29,0.35,0.29,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.16,0.2,0.12,0.14,0.11,0.17,0.24,0.21,0.22,0.25,0.15,0.11,0.18,0.29,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0	94.1%
IND 112, DET 101	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.35,0.3,0.27,0.22,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.33,0.27,0.33,0.2,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.19,0.29,0.32,0.2,0.19,0.24,0.2,0.21,0.15,0.19,0.21,0.11,0.07,0.08,0.03,0.07,0.03,0,0,0,0	94.0%