inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Milwaukee Bucks 95 Excitement3.8 [1089] MVPKobe Bryant (LAL): +7.4%
Los Angeles Lakers 113 Comeback1.3 [523] LVPMichael Carter-Williams (MIL): -9.6%


Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Giannis Antetokounmpo0.040,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.000.011158%0.061-0.03475%0.01
Jabari Parker0.020,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.01950%0.0200.00667%-0.01
Rashad Vaughn0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Tyler Ennis0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Damien Inglis0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Johnny O'Bryant-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.01-0.000.01560%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Chris Copeland-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.04-0.01-0.0210%-0.0210.0000%0.00
Miles Plumlee-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.03-0.010.04762%0.001-0.0320%-0.01
John Henson-0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.01550%0.002-0.0420%-0.02
Khris Middleton-0.050,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.050.00-0.000.051647%-0.031-0.022100%0.00
O.J. Mayo-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.09-0.02-0.051137%0.013-0.07250%-0.00
Michael Carter-Williams-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.10.02-0.020.091850%-0.081-0.02250%-0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kobe Bryant0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.10-0.010.011563%0.112-0.045100%0.01
Larry Nance Jr.0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.010.002100%0.0400.0000%0.00
Roy Hibbert0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.050.010.02957%0.0400.00367%-0.01
Lou Williams0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.060.000.04964%0.072-0.057100%0.02
Nick Young0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.04-0.000.03856%0.0100.00250%0.00
Julius Randle0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.040.01-0.041254%0.034-0.032100%0.01
Brandon Bass0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Marcelo Huertas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.040.00-0.0410%0.0010.0000%0.00
Robert Sacre0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.030.00-0.02540%-0.001-0.0000%0.00
D'Angelo Russell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.080.000.101363%0.001-0.02475%0.00
Jordan Clarkson0,0,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.090.00-0.031440%-0.003-0.05250%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game21.02.528.515.725.32.025.4120.3
league avg24.52.329.515.826.72.333.5136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
LAL +23.6%
LAL +8.9%
LAL +11.3%
LAL +3.5%
LAL +2.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMILLALNBAMILLALNBA
this game14.516.114.9101.1120.2105.1
season14.815.2102.8100.1
opponent14.515.3109.9107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIL15.915.113.513.714.5
LAL15.416.216.516.316.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Rashad Vaughn10100.05-0.550.60-0.043-212416.314.31.9919.915.74.23
Damien Inglis330.00-0.500.50-0.062-202214.014.5-0.5418.016.11.95
Tyler Ennis67-0.00-0.500.500.03-1-171616.714.42.2916.316.10.18
Miles Plumlee4848-0.10-0.400.31-0.01-3-151214.115.0-0.8516.216.00.14
Chris Copeland1414-0.14-0.360.22-0.05-3-151214.114.6-0.5313.416.6-3.16
Johnny O'Bryant3940-0.15-0.350.20-0.00-5-13814.214.7-0.5416.116.1-0.07
Michael Carter-Williams6463-0.26-0.24-0.010.01-9-9014.614.30.3315.617.2-1.65
O.J. Mayo5454-0.29-0.21-0.07-0.02-9-9013.715.6-1.8316.315.90.38
Jabari Parker5050-0.30-0.20-0.090.11-14-4-1015.213.71.4516.216.00.22
John Henson4646-0.40-0.10-0.310.04-15-3-1215.014.10.8516.016.2-0.14
Giannis Antetokounmpo6868-0.41-0.09-0.310.15-191-2014.913.51.4616.515.01.49
Khris Middleton6867-0.520.02-0.53-0.02-17-1-1614.015.9-1.9415.916.6-0.67

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Lou Williams64630.57-0.070.65-0.1023-52814.918.6-3.7014.714.10.68
Kobe Bryant54540.51-0.010.51-0.0820-22215.916.4-0.5814.614.40.21
Roy Hibbert48480.50-0.000.51-0.1422-42615.317.0-1.7315.014.00.98
Larry Nance Jr.46470.470.030.45-0.1722-42615.316.9-1.5515.113.91.17
Jordan Clarkson63640.320.180.14-0.00117417.213.93.2514.215.1-0.90
D'Angelo Russell58580.110.39-0.29-0.01414-1016.216.10.1014.614.40.26
Julius Randle48470.030.47-0.450.14-422-2616.915.31.5513.915.1-1.17
Brandon Bass330.000.50-0.500.06-220-2218.016.11.9514.014.5-0.54
Marcelo Huertas330.000.50-0.500.06-220-2218.016.11.9514.014.5-0.54
Robert Sacre4343-0.000.50-0.510.05-220-2216.915.41.5014.014.9-0.92
Nick Young4040-0.010.51-0.510.05-220-2216.415.90.5814.414.6-0.21


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.75,0.79,0.82,0.9,0.93,0.86,0.89,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
LAC 74, DET 920.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.59,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.8,0.82,0.86,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.4%
MIN 95, HOU 1120.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.64,0.69,0.72,0.84,0.83,0.9,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.3%
NOP 107, GSW 1250.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.84,0.87,0.91,0.86,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.3%