inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 91 Excitement4.7 [891] MVPKawhi Leonard (SAS): +20.1%
Denver Nuggets 80 Comeback2.7 [852] LVPDarrell Arthur (DEN): -10.5%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kawhi Leonard0.200,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.20.130.06-0.021868%0.262-0.061100%0.00
Tony Parker0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.060.010.01781%0.102-0.0520%-0.04
Kyle Anderson0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.010.02-0.02350%0.0210.00475%0.01
Boban Marjanovic0.010,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.020.000.010100%0.0100.002100%0.01
Jonathon Simmons0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.030.02-0.02863%0.085-0.073100%0.01
Boris Diaw0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.01-0.000.00560%0.001-0.0000%0.00
Rasual Butler0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Matt Bonner0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ray McCallum0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Patty Mills-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.01-0.000.02764%0.042-0.0500%0.00
Danny Green-0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.010.01950%-0.002-0.0300%0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge-0.090,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.05-0.030.011136%-0.061-0.0300%0.00
David West-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.08-0.03-0.02420%-0.042-0.062100%0.01

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
JJ Hickson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.030.01-0.01656%0.0500.00475%0.01
Kostas Papanikolaou0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.00-0.0210%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Jameer Nelson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.04-0.020.031060%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Gary Harris0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.01462%0.042-0.0500%0.00
Randy Foye0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.000.03475%0.002-0.0300%0.00
Danilo Gallinari0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.050.03-0.010.061547%-0.0500.004100%0.01
Nikola Jokic0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.02-0.03-0.00475%0.023-0.0700%0.00
Will Barton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.07-0.02-0.031055%0.055-0.10250%-0.01
Mike Miller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.05-0.04-0.02350%0.013-0.0800%0.00
Emmanuel Mudiay0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.11-0.02-0.031429%-0.052-0.063100%0.01
Darrell Arthur0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.06-0.030.01617%-0.1000.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.41.828.215.626.42.428.5128.1
league avg24.52.329.515.826.72.333.5136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +42.3%
SAS +0.8%
SAS +0.8%
SAS +6.8%
DEN -0.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASDENNBASASDENNBA
this game16.614.514.998.986.0105.1
season15.714.9109.0104.3
opponent14.914.7107.897.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS18.616.614.417.416.6
DEN17.412.914.413.914.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kyle Anderson55550.68-0.180.850.1219-82715.917.7-1.8314.714.30.42
Kawhi Leonard61620.52-0.020.54-0.0118-72516.417.0-0.5915.213.31.87
Jonathon Simmons52530.50-0.000.500.1512-11316.416.9-0.5612.916.7-3.79
Patty Mills43420.290.210.090.00101915.217.8-2.6314.914.30.63
David West38380.270.230.040.0483515.617.3-1.6614.814.40.38
Boris Diaw44470.190.31-0.12-0.10101915.617.6-1.9914.115.0-0.87
Tony Parker47490.150.35-0.20-0.0365117.715.52.1514.015.1-1.05
Ray McCallum10110.070.43-0.360.16-314-1718.416.42.0114.614.50.11
Rasual Butler660.000.50-0.500.18-617-2320.016.43.6311.314.8-3.43
Matt Bonner660.000.50-0.500.18-617-2320.016.43.6311.314.8-3.43
LaMarcus Aldridge3434-0.040.54-0.570.02-213-1517.616.11.5115.913.72.21
Danny Green5453-0.040.54-0.590.13-617-2316.616.60.1014.914.10.77
Boban Marjanovic109-0.090.59-0.680.06-516-2123.215.87.4018.114.23.96

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Randy Foye42420.07-0.570.64-0.2812-233512.716.1-3.3716.616.6-0.02
Kostas Papanikolaou66-0.00-0.500.50-0.186-172311.314.8-3.4320.016.43.63
Nikola Jokic2121-0.08-0.420.33-0.235-162115.714.21.5220.215.54.64
Jameer Nelson4544-0.08-0.420.330.03-4-7313.715.3-1.5615.617.5-1.91
Mike Miller4140-0.16-0.340.19-0.07-3-8513.515.4-1.9215.917.1-1.21
Darrell Arthur4646-0.23-0.270.03-0.06-6-5-115.613.52.0817.415.81.52
JJ Hickson3534-0.27-0.23-0.030.06-110-1113.914.9-1.0915.417.3-1.95
Will Barton5958-0.36-0.14-0.220.02-132-1514.115.3-1.1515.818.0-2.16
Gary Harris4948-0.41-0.09-0.32-0.00-143-1715.913.12.7916.516.7-0.23
Emmanuel Mudiay5454-0.42-0.08-0.35-0.04-132-1515.213.61.6317.115.91.17
Danilo Gallinari6767-0.550.05-0.60-0.14-143-1715.312.62.7216.716.30.45


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.62,0.59,0.69,0.67,0.54,0.42,0.37,0.28,0.36,0.36,0.45,0.52,0.41,0.41,0.23,0.23,0.13,0.1,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
DET 92, CHI 750.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.51,0.5,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.17,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,095.0%
DAL 103, WAS 850.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.59,0.6,0.56,0.49,0.37,0.29,0.28,0.2,0.27,0.33,0.38,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.22,0.14,0.15,0.1,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,093.4%
SAC 107, ORL 900.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.64,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.64,0.74,0.64,0.59,0.5,0.38,0.26,0.23,0.33,0.38,0.35,0.28,0.25,0.17,0.14,0.13,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,093.4%