NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	102		Excitement	5.5 [731]		MVP	Kyle Lowry (TOR): +20.8%
Los Angeles Lakers	91		Comeback	2.5 [694]		LVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): -12.3%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Lowry	0.21	0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.19,0.16,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.16	0.04	-0.01	16	69%	0.24	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Terrence Ross	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.04	0.00	6	67%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Johnson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.05	-0.00	2	125%	0.11	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Cory Joseph	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.00	0.02	-0.03	8	50%	0.07	1	-0.02	6	83%	-0.01
Patrick Patterson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.02	7	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	12	56%	0.07	3	-0.06	8	87%	0.04
Bismack Biyombo	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Jonas Valanciunas	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	37%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Luis Scola	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,0,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	11	50%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
DeMarre Carroll	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	0.00	0.04	12	50%	0.01	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Julius Randle	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.11	0.03	0.02	9	75%	0.14	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.03
Nick Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.00	6	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.01	0.02	3	70%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.02
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	4	40%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Roy Hibbert	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	5	67%	0.06	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Jordan Clarkson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	13	50%	0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
D'Angelo Russell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	16	53%	0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Larry Nance Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.00	6	40%	-0.01	2	-0.05	3	33%	-0.04
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	0.00	13	38%	-0.05	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.9	1.7	26.9	14.8	27.6	1.7	28.5	124.1
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +26.1%

TOR +11.0%

TOR +9.3%

TOR +5.3%

LAL -1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	LAL	NBA	TOR	LAL	NBA
this game	16.6	14.9	14.9	112.1	98.9	105.1
season	16.1	15.2		107.2	100.1
opponent	14.5	14.8		109.9	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	16.3	13.5	17.0	20.2	16.6
LAL	14.4	14.7	17.3	13.5	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patrick Patterson	48	49	0.89	-0.39	1.29	0.28	21	-10	31	16.5	16.6	-0.11	16.2	13.5	2.67
Cory Joseph	42	45	0.71	-0.21	0.91	0.09	21	-10	31	16.2	16.9	-0.62	14.9	14.9	0.04
Terrence Ross	26	26	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.07	14	-3	17	17.5	16.2	1.25	14.5	15.1	-0.58
James Johnson	29	29	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.17	10	1	9	17.8	16.0	1.74	15.3	14.7	0.63
Kyle Lowry	70	70	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.05	14	-3	17	15.8	19.1	-3.34	15.1	14.4	0.66
Bismack Biyombo	29	30	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.06	4	7	-3	14.9	17.4	-2.51	17.5	13.7	3.84
DeMar DeRozan	64	65	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.14	-6	17	-23	16.5	16.6	-0.08	14.7	15.4	-0.75
DeMarre Carroll	63	63	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.07	-5	16	-21	17.8	13.8	3.97	14.4	16.0	-1.54
Jonas Valanciunas	36	35	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.07	-5	16	-21	15.6	17.2	-1.63	13.8	15.6	-1.84
Luis Scola	48	48	-0.38	0.88	-1.26	0.00	-13	24	-37	17.0	16.0	1.00	13.5	16.5	-2.95

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Julius Randle	56	57	0.26	-0.76	1.03	-0.18	15	-26	41	14.0	16.3	-2.24	17.3	15.3	1.99
Jordan Clarkson	60	62	0.18	-0.68	0.86	-0.17	12	-23	35	14.3	16.1	-1.76	16.9	15.9	0.94
Roy Hibbert	50	51	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.03	4	-15	19	15.4	14.3	1.15	16.1	17.2	-1.17
D'Angelo Russell	63	64	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.19	9	-20	29	14.7	15.5	-0.83	16.9	15.8	1.08
Kobe Bryant	71	69	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.10	-1	-10	9	15.1	14.4	0.69	16.9	15.5	1.41
Metta World Peace	31	31	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.24	-5	-6	1	13.9	15.4	-1.57	18.1	15.8	2.36
Brandon Bass	31	30	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.02	-19	8	-27	14.8	15.0	-0.21	15.5	17.1	-1.65
Nick Young	29	27	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	0.01	-20	9	-29	15.5	14.7	0.83	15.8	16.9	-1.08
Lou Williams	32	29	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.01	-23	12	-35	16.1	14.3	1.76	15.9	16.9	-0.94
Larry Nance Jr.	37	35	-0.76	0.26	-1.03	0.03	-27	16	-43	16.2	14.0	2.18	15.0	17.6	-2.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.53,0.51,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.35,0.39,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.52,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.65,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.36,0.19,0.22,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 97, DET 87	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.37,0.44,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.4,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.43,0.58,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.74,0.62,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.38,0.15,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0	93.1%
TOR 127, MIL 109	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.47,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.44,0.36,0.5,0.42,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.55,0.55,0.44,0.41,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.13,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.0%
ORL 103, CHI 83	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.63,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.36,0.26,0.22,0.15,0.2,0.12,0.08,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	92.9%