NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	97		Excitement	4.9 [872]		MVP	Stephen Jackson (CHA): +31.4%
Detroit Pistons	87		Comeback	3.2 [248]		LVP	Boris Diaw (CHA): -10.1%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Jackson	0.31	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.26,0.29,0.27,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.31,0.31	0.17	0.14	0.00	26	63%	0.33	3	-0.02	10	80%	-0.00
Kwame Brown	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.02	0.00	9	64%	0.09	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Shaun Livingston	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.00	0.02	-0.03	5	45%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Sherron Collins	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Henderson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.03	-0.01	9	47%	0.06	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Gerald Wallace	0.01	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	8	56%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Nazr Mohammed	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	4	75%	0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.02	6	53%	0.02	2	-0.02	7	86%	0.03
Derrick Brown	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.04	0.01	9	60%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Ben Gordon	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.01	0.03	18	54%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Greg Monroe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.03	0.05	6	67%	0.06	2	-0.05	3	67%	0.01
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	4	78%	0.10	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.01
Austin Daye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	9	55%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Charlie Villanueva	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	5	27%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	17	46%	-0.01	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.02
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	1	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.06
Will Bynum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	0.01	9	36%	-0.06	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.8	29.2	16.5	24.2	2.8	32.2	133.9
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +25.9%

CHA +18.0%

CHA +10.4%

DET -0.4%

DET -3.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	DET	NBA	CHA	DET	NBA
this game	15.9	15.9	15.5	106.6	96.7	105.7
season	16.2	16.7		102.3	106.4
opponent	15.2	15.5		110.1	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	15.5	15.7	15.5	16.8	15.9
DET	15.1	18.6	16.4	13.7	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Boris Diaw	68	67	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.09	15	-5	20	16.0	15.5	0.52	15.8	16.3	-0.47
Stephen Jackson	78	78	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.22	9	1	8	16.3	13.5	2.77	16.4	12.4	4.03
Gerald Henderson	47	45	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.20	6	4	2	15.5	16.3	-0.79	14.9	16.9	-2.00
Shaun Livingston	35	34	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.24	3	7	-4	17.5	14.9	2.56	15.8	16.0	-0.24
Nazr Mohammed	26	27	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.16	5	5	0	17.0	15.5	1.58	16.0	15.9	0.13
Gerald Wallace	73	71	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.18	0	10	-10	15.5	17.5	-1.98	15.6	17.1	-1.45
Kwame Brown	57	56	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.05	4	6	-2	15.7	16.3	-0.66	16.4	15.0	1.42
Sherron Collins	13	13	0.15	0.35	-0.19	-0.11	9	1	8	13.2	16.4	-3.13	17.2	15.7	1.54
D.J. Augustin	43	43	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.08	-2	12	-14	15.4	16.3	-0.89	15.6	16.2	-0.54
Derrick Brown	15	16	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.06	1	9	-8	15.3	16.0	-0.69	15.9	15.9	0.03

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tracy McGrady	53	54	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.02	3	-13	16	17.0	14.3	2.69	15.5	16.5	-1.06
Chris Wilcox	34	35	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.03	-1	-9	8	16.3	15.7	0.66	16.9	15.3	1.54
Tayshaun Prince	78	79	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.24	5	-15	20	15.3	19.6	-4.24	15.6	18.2	-2.60
Greg Monroe	67	68	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.16	2	-12	14	15.8	16.2	-0.35	15.3	17.8	-2.56
Charlie Villanueva	28	28	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.02	-13	3	-16	16.2	15.8	0.49	16.9	15.5	1.37
Austin Daye	48	48	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.16	-7	-3	-4	15.5	16.4	-0.97	16.7	15.1	1.60
Ben Gordon	73	75	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.20	-10	0	-10	16.6	13.1	3.52	15.9	15.9	0.05
Ben Wallace	32	31	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.06	-16	6	-22	15.9	15.9	-0.01	15.1	16.3	-1.24
Will Bynum	37	37	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.19	-13	3	-16	14.3	17.0	-2.69	16.5	15.5	1.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.37,0.44,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.4,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.43,0.58,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.74,0.62,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.38,0.15,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 123, PHX 113	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.4,0.46,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.38,0.32,0.36,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.49,0.41,0.51,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.09,0.17,0.15,0.06,0.01,0.03,0.14,0.04,0,0,0	93.2%
LAC 118, LAL 107	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.36,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.79,0.77,0.69,0.62,0.63,0.74,0.44,0.42,0.26,0.06,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0	93.2%
TOR 102, LAL 91	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.53,0.51,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.35,0.39,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.52,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.65,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.36,0.19,0.22,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0	93.1%