NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	93		Excitement	3.5 [1126]		MVP	Tobias Harris (ORL): +11.8%
Orlando Magic	102		Comeback	1.0 [698]		LVP	Chris Johnson (UTA): -7.6%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Withey	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	7	57%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trey Burke	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.03	12	57%	0.01	1	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03
Elijah Millsap	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	3	67%	0.01	1	-0.01	6	83%	0.00
Derrick Favors	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	56%	0.03	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Tibor Pleiss	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joe Ingles	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.06	-0.00	0.08	2	150%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.02	14	50%	0.03	3	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Raul Neto	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	5	50%	-0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Booker	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	0.00	-0.04	9	33%	-0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Trey Lyles	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	0.02	7	43%	-0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alec Burks	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	13	34%	-0.05	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.01
Chris Johnson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.11	-0.01	-0.04	8	22%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tobias Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.02	0.00	9	73%	0.14	2	-0.02	8	100%	0.03
Evan Fournier	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.09	0.00	0.03	15	60%	0.08	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.02
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	14	57%	0.05	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Elfrid Payton	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	8	62%	0.07	5	-0.06	10	80%	0.01
Mario Hezonja	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	4	67%	0.05	3	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Aaron Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	9	43%	0.01	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Channing Frye	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	7	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Devyn Marble	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Nicholson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shabazz Napier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.11	-0.00	-0.09	4	25%	0.02	4	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dewayne Dedmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	5	40%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	2.4	27.4	14.8	27.2	2.4	28.4	126.6
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +35.3%

ORL +11.3%

ORL +6.0%

UTA -3.6%

ORL +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	ORL	NBA	UTA	ORL	NBA
this game	14.8	14.2	14.9	94.9	102.0	105.1
season	16.3	14.6		104.6	103.6
opponent	14.9	15.0		105.2	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	16.0	13.8	17.6	12.6	14.8
ORL	14.7	13.4	14.4	14.6	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Johnson	39	39	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.55	18	-27	45	15.3	14.5	0.77	14.9	13.9	1.02
Jeff Withey	49	51	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.37	11	-20	31	15.1	14.6	0.51	14.1	14.4	-0.23
Joe Ingles	18	20	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.14	1	-10	11	11.4	15.6	-4.24	13.6	14.4	-0.75
Trey Burke	41	44	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.11	-2	-7	5	15.4	14.4	0.98	14.4	14.2	0.20
Trey Lyles	37	36	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.31	3	-12	15	13.2	15.9	-2.66	14.4	14.2	0.17
Tibor Pleiss	21	21	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.06	-6	-3	-3	11.5	15.8	-4.23	14.9	14.1	0.83
Elijah Millsap	35	35	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.04	-7	-2	-5	12.9	16.0	-3.10	14.5	14.1	0.45
Trevor Booker	51	53	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.08	-11	2	-13	15.9	13.7	2.16	14.1	14.4	-0.33
Derrick Favors	38	39	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.18	-15	6	-21	16.6	13.7	2.83	14.2	14.3	-0.16
Raul Neto	50	50	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.13	-5	-4	-1	14.5	15.2	-0.63	14.4	14.1	0.38
Gordon Hayward	59	59	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.17	-17	8	-25	16.0	13.2	2.81	14.2	14.3	-0.07
Alec Burks	52	53	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.07	-15	6	-21	15.6	14.0	1.64	13.6	15.0	-1.42

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nikola Vucevic	61	60	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.06	20	-11	31	14.0	14.6	-0.56	15.0	14.6	0.44
Channing Frye	47	45	0.50	-0.00	0.51	-0.17	23	-14	37	14.0	14.5	-0.55	16.1	13.8	2.26
Evan Fournier	76	75	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.00	14	-5	19	14.2	14.5	-0.27	15.2	13.8	1.33
Elfrid Payton	72	73	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.04	15	-6	21	14.4	13.9	0.55	15.7	12.4	3.28
Tobias Harris	81	80	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.11	10	-1	11	14.5	13.1	1.41	14.9	14.4	0.56
Shabazz Napier	41	38	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.27	-4	13	-17	13.6	14.7	-1.09	14.6	15.0	-0.48
Aaron Gordon	58	58	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.39	-11	20	-31	14.6	13.8	0.80	14.0	16.1	-2.12
Mario Hezonja	22	20	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.24	-6	15	-21	13.8	14.4	-0.55	11.9	15.6	-3.64
Andrew Nicholson	6	6	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.26	-9	18	-27	17.3	14.1	3.28	9.0	15.2	-6.23
Devyn Marble	3	3	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	14	-19	15.0	14.2	0.77	5.3	15.1	-9.81
Dewayne Dedmon	33	32	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.04	-2	11	-13	14.1	14.3	-0.24	15.6	14.5	1.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.73,0.75,0.8,0.8,0.82,0.82,0.89,0.87,0.87,0.83,0.76,0.76,0.7,0.8,0.84,0.81,0.79,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.85,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 75, HOU 93	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.72,0.77,0.82,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.79,0.77,0.76,0.8,0.79,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.84,0.9,0.88,0.91,0.92,0.88,0.86,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
MIL 80, SEA 103	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.62,0.69,0.72,0.72,0.78,0.83,0.82,0.87,0.85,0.82,0.81,0.8,0.84,0.79,0.82,0.81,0.81,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.78,0.85,0.86,0.87,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
NOH 84, IND 91	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.8,0.83,0.83,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.88,0.82,0.81,0.8,0.78,0.85,0.8,0.8,0.84,0.84,0.89,0.85,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,0.97,0.99,1,1	96.3%