NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	111		Excitement	4.8 [876]		MVP	Doug McDermott (CHI): +7.0%
Philadelphia 76ers	88		Comeback	1.4 [1144]		LVP	TJ McConnell (PHI): -14.8%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Doug McDermott	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	0.02	0.05	15	58%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Nikola Mirotic	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	-0.00	0.00	11	69%	0.13	4	-0.08	7	71%	-0.02
Pau Gasol	0.03	0,0,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.02	-0.02	17	44%	0.03	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Taj Gibson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	5	50%	0.03	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.01
Tony Snell	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.00	0.02	7	62%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Cameron Bairstow	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cristiano Felicio	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Brooks	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.00	0.02	8	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
E'Twaun Moore	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	0.00	0.04	8	56%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Portis	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Rose	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	14	41%	0.01	2	-0.06	1	0%	-0.01
Jimmy Butler	-0.09	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.01	6	50%	-0.01	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Phil Pressey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	6	79%	0.05	3	-0.04	2	50%	0.00
Hollis Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.06	8	31%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Richaun Holmes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0.02	9	48%	-0.00	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.02
Isaiah Canaan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	5	30%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Christian Wood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	10	41%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Jerami Grant	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	12	39%	-0.01	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
JaKarr Sampson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	0.04	4	60%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Jahlil Okafor	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.17,-0.12,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.1,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	25	36%	-0.05	1	-0.02	8	37%	-0.03
Nik Stauskas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.13	-0.02	-0.02	13	19%	-0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
TJ McConnell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.06	-0.04	0.05	8	37%	-0.09	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.9	1.7	28.0	14.8	25.1	2.5	29.8	125.8
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +41.4%

CHI +9.9%

PHI -8.1%

CHI +7.4%

PHI -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	PHI	NBA	CHI	PHI	NBA
this game	12.9	14.4	14.9	106.7	82.2	105.1
season	14.8	14.8		103.7	97.7
opponent	14.2	14.9		108.0	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	12.7	11.4	12.7	14.7	12.9
PHI	13.9	16.3	14.4	13.0	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jimmy Butler	55	58	0.70	-0.20	0.89	-0.15	29	-6	35	11.3	14.7	-3.34	15.8	12.8	2.98
Nikola Mirotic	60	63	0.60	-0.10	0.70	-0.05	22	1	21	12.1	14.0	-1.85	15.2	13.3	1.86
Derrick Rose	61	61	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.01	14	9	5	11.7	14.5	-2.81	15.8	12.5	3.24
Pau Gasol	64	66	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.34	25	-2	27	12.0	14.3	-2.38	16.2	11.5	4.67
Tony Snell	44	44	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.18	18	5	13	13.0	12.8	0.12	13.5	15.0	-1.55
Doug McDermott	60	63	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.00	5	18	-13	12.8	13.0	-0.12	15.0	13.5	1.55
Aaron Brooks	40	42	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.18	9	14	-5	14.5	11.9	2.58	13.2	15.2	-1.94
Taj Gibson	50	49	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.09	5	18	-13	14.3	11.5	2.80	13.9	14.8	-0.91
Cameron Bairstow	10	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	23	-23	12.5	12.9	-0.43	10.4	14.9	-4.49
Cristiano Felicio	3	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	23	-23	15.3	12.8	2.52	5.5	14.7	-9.24
Bobby Portis	23	25	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.11	-6	29	-35	15.0	12.3	2.77	10.5	15.6	-5.11
E'Twaun Moore	50	49	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	-0.00	-6	29	-35	14.4	11.5	2.84	12.8	15.8	-2.98

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Phil Pressey	31	30	0.07	-0.57	0.65	-0.04	4	-27	31	10.9	15.8	-4.91	14.1	12.4	1.66
Richaun Holmes	63	59	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.10	5	-28	33	13.3	15.9	-2.58	13.6	11.9	1.72
Hollis Thompson	46	44	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.11	1	-24	25	12.0	16.2	-4.20	14.4	11.8	2.60
Isaiah Canaan	44	44	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.14	-9	-14	5	13.5	15.0	-1.55	14.3	11.8	2.45
Christian Wood	50	48	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.06	-9	-14	5	14.6	14.2	0.46	11.6	14.0	-2.38
Jahlil Okafor	70	68	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.25	-22	-1	-21	15.1	13.0	2.09	12.7	13.2	-0.43
TJ McConnell	64	62	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.13	-18	-5	-13	16.0	12.0	4.00	12.5	13.5	-1.03
JaKarr Sampson	31	30	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.12	-18	-5	-13	13.3	14.9	-1.60	11.6	13.4	-1.81
Nik Stauskas	72	71	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.25	-23	0	-23	15.7	11.7	3.98	12.8	13.1	-0.26
Jerami Grant	64	64	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.28	-26	3	-29	16.0	12.0	3.92	11.9	14.5	-2.67

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.5,0.47,0.56,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.31,0.23,0.27,0.32,0.37,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.54,0.56,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.34,0.25,0.35,0.25,0.36,0.36,0.19,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.07,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 91, ORL 81	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.33,0.22,0.26,0.23,0.25,0.3,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.16,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.1%
LAC 119, MIN 105	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.39,0.37,0.31,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.44,0.48,0.36,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.23,0.27,0.3,0.21,0.18,0.15,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.5%
MEM 104, PHI 90	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.32,0.34,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.44,0.48,0.53,0.48,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.33,0.37,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.16,0.13,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.1,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.5%