NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	99		Excitement	9.4 [105]		MVP	Bradley Beal (WAS): +45.8%
Washington Wizards	102		Comeback	5.8 [148]		LVP	LaMarcus Aldridge (SAS): -40.9%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Parker	0.25	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.09,0.09,-0.01,-0.05,0.25	0.04	0.20	-0.01	11	63%	0.54	3	-0.29	5	80%	-0.01
Manu Ginobili	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.09	0.07	-0.00	7	75%	0.16	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Rasual Butler	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.06	0.00	4	75%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Anderson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	67%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
David West	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Danny Green	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	10	52%	0.10	4	-0.10	3	100%	0.02
Boris Diaw	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	1	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Tim Duncan	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.11,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	5	67%	0.18	4	-0.19	2	100%	0.04
Patty Mills	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kawhi Leonard	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.04,0.09,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,-0.2	0.03	-0.24	-0.00	22	50%	-0.16	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
LaMarcus Aldridge	-0.41	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.41	-0.16	-0.25	-0.00	14	33%	-0.18	5	-0.23	2	100%	0.01

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bradley Beal	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.46	0.46	0.08	0.36	-0.01	22	57%	0.48	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
John Wall	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.24	0.24	0.00	0.22	-0.02	16	46%	0.28	1	-0.04	5	80%	-0.00
Otto Porter	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.15	0.00	0.01	10	86%	0.18	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Gary Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.03	-0.00	6	75%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	-0.01	-0.02	7	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Garrett Temple	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	5	42%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	0.00	3	67%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	9	50%	0.04	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Nene	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	5	46%	0.00	2	-0.04	3	0%	-0.07
Drew Gooden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	1.8	25.3	15.5	26.7	1.8	37.2	132.6
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +33.7%

SAS -7.6%

SAS -42.8%

WAS +69.4%

SAS -2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	WAS	NBA	SAS	WAS	NBA
this game	16.0	13.0	14.9	100.0	102.0	105.1
season	15.7	13.8		109.0	104.1
opponent	15.1	14.7		104.6	97.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	17.6	15.3	16.6	14.5	16.0
WAS	11.9	15.3	13.4	11.7	13.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Boris Diaw	32	30	0.38	-0.88	1.27	-0.15	18	-21	39	15.5	16.2	-0.74	13.9	12.6	1.25
Patty Mills	43	44	0.32	-0.82	1.14	-0.09	14	-17	31	15.0	16.7	-1.71	13.9	12.2	1.68
Kyle Anderson	9	9	0.24	-0.74	0.98	-0.08	11	-14	25	16.1	16.0	0.16	15.3	12.8	2.58
Rasual Butler	18	18	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.05	-1	-2	1	14.7	16.3	-1.59	14.2	12.7	1.50
David West	25	26	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.02	-4	1	-5	15.0	16.3	-1.24	13.4	12.8	0.59
Manu Ginobili	48	46	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.60	9	-12	21	15.0	16.9	-1.96	12.8	13.2	-0.42
Tim Duncan	54	55	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.07	-12	9	-21	17.2	14.5	2.76	12.6	13.5	-0.95
LaMarcus Aldridge	72	73	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.39	-3	0	-3	16.1	15.6	0.52	12.8	13.4	-0.62
Danny Green	60	62	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.04	-17	14	-31	16.5	15.1	1.47	12.7	13.4	-0.70
Kawhi Leonard	73	73	-0.73	0.23	-0.95	-0.37	-12	9	-21	16.1	15.7	0.38	12.6	14.1	-1.54
Tony Parker	61	64	-0.86	0.36	-1.23	-0.34	-18	15	-33	16.5	15.1	1.36	12.5	13.8	-1.27

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jared Dudley	37	37	0.84	-0.34	1.17	0.43	14	-11	25	12.0	13.6	-1.53	14.9	16.6	-1.72
John Wall	75	72	0.77	-0.27	1.05	0.36	14	-11	25	12.8	13.6	-0.87	16.3	15.0	1.33
Otto Porter	77	76	0.73	-0.23	0.95	0.37	12	-9	21	12.8	13.8	-1.03	16.5	14.3	2.17
Bradley Beal	76	75	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.41	10	-7	17	12.7	14.0	-1.33	16.1	15.6	0.46
Marcin Gortat	58	59	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.39	4	-1	5	13.3	12.6	0.64	15.9	16.0	-0.13
Kris Humphries	46	44	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.17	6	-3	9	13.6	12.4	1.19	17.2	15.0	2.18
Nene	42	40	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.02	-1	4	-5	12.6	13.3	-0.64	16.0	15.9	0.13
Garrett Temple	6	6	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.06	-7	10	-17	16.5	12.8	3.73	14.5	16.1	-1.56
Gary Neal	33	33	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	0.04	-10	13	-23	13.5	12.7	0.83	15.1	16.4	-1.32
Ramon Sessions	33	35	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	-0.01	-10	13	-23	13.6	12.7	0.87	15.0	16.5	-1.54
Drew Gooden	17	18	-0.34	0.84	-1.18	0.16	-17	20	-37	13.4	12.9	0.44	15.2	16.1	-0.91

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.76,0.72,0.68,0.67,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.44,0.36,0.26,0.27,0.35,0.42,0.35,0.28,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.32,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.24,0.32,0.21,0.24,0.27,0.31,0.55,0.77,0.59,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 104, WAS 106	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.68,0.65,0.6,0.53,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.37,0.26,0.34,0.33,0.19,0.33,0.23,0.29,0.31,0.37,0.52,0.36,0.34,0.22,0.14,0.2,0.28,0.17,0.15,0.28,0.47,0.69,0.57,0.42,1	90.6%
NOH 95, DAL 98	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.29,0.16,0.15,0.22,0.18,0.22,0.16,0.38,0.24,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.17,0.24,0.45,0.84,0.73,1	90.4%
DET 87, MIA 88	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.3,0.36,0.42,0.39,0.49,0.46,0.37,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.33,0.45,0.35,0.28,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.34,0.22,0.25,0.38,0.27,0.3,0.2,0.27,0.46,0.54,0.68,0.42,1	90.3%