NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	87		Excitement	5.9 [638]		MVP	Pau Gasol (CHI): +8.0%
Chicago Bulls	92		Comeback	1.3 [1121]		LVP	Derrick Rose (CHI): -13.0%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shabazz Napier	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.05	0.02	5	58%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Evan Fournier	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05	0.07	-0.00	0.01	15	59%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
CJ Watson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Victor Oladipo	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03	0.02	-0.04	0.01	13	46%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Channing Frye	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	17%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Mario Hezonja	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Smith	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07	0.02	-0.07	0.02	7	50%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Andrew Nicholson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.04	0.01	12	56%	0.01	5	-0.10	3	100%	0.01
Aaron Gordon	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.03	-0.03	7	29%	-0.01	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Elfrid Payton	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.01	-0.00	7	29%	-0.04	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Tobias Harris	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	-0.00	14	37%	-0.05	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.07	0.01	14	53%	0.09	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Doug McDermott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.01	-0.02	10	60%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tony Snell	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.00	6	67%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	75%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Joakim Noah	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	6	57%	0.06	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Nikola Mirotic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.02	12	53%	0.07	2	-0.05	6	83%	-0.02
Jimmy Butler	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.01	10	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	8	75%	0.00
Aaron Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.09	0.00	-0.04	11	27%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
E'Twaun Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.13	-0.01	-0.01	7	0%	-0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Rose	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.04	-0.00	8	33%	-0.05	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	2.6	26.0	15.4	24.7	2.3	35.3	129.8
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +21.8%

CHI +13.2%

CHI +0.3%

CHI +13.4%

CHI +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	CHI	NBA	ORL	CHI	NBA
this game	14.2	15.1	14.9	87.9	93.9	105.1
season	14.6	14.8		103.6	103.7
opponent	14.9	14.9		105.1	105.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	14.3	14.3	16.2	12.2	14.2
CHI	13.9	13.9	17.3	15.5	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew Nicholson	8	9	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.16	6	-11	17	11.1	14.4	-3.31	17.2	14.9	2.37
Mario Hezonja	11	12	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.01	-1	-4	3	14.4	14.1	0.22	12.0	15.5	-3.50
Shabazz Napier	35	33	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.29	7	-12	19	12.8	14.9	-2.08	14.9	15.2	-0.29
Tobias Harris	43	43	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.03	-2	-3	1	15.1	13.5	1.59	15.5	14.8	0.70
Jason Smith	28	29	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.35	7	-12	19	13.0	14.6	-1.58	16.4	14.5	1.86
Channing Frye	20	20	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.00	-5	0	-5	15.5	13.8	1.73	12.9	15.6	-2.67
Victor Oladipo	80	79	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.36	5	-10	15	14.5	12.9	1.58	15.1	14.8	0.35
CJ Watson	29	27	-0.28	-0.21	-0.07	0.01	-10	5	-15	13.9	14.3	-0.44	15.6	14.9	0.72
Elfrid Payton	46	48	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.03	-11	6	-17	14.5	13.9	0.57	14.7	15.4	-0.75
Nikola Vucevic	71	69	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.28	-2	-3	1	14.1	14.3	-0.16	15.4	14.3	1.13
Aaron Gordon	52	51	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.24	-4	-1	-3	13.8	14.6	-0.73	15.0	15.2	-0.23
Evan Fournier	72	70	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.09	-15	10	-25	14.5	13.2	1.36	15.0	15.3	-0.35

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick Rose	67	67	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.23	6	-1	7	14.9	15.5	-0.70	13.8	15.0	-1.18
Jimmy Butler	67	68	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.21	4	1	3	15.0	15.3	-0.32	13.7	15.1	-1.39
Pau Gasol	48	49	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.05	8	-3	11	15.5	14.7	0.80	13.5	14.8	-1.27
Nikola Mirotic	58	57	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.11	5	0	5	15.7	14.2	1.43	13.9	14.6	-0.69
E'Twaun Moore	38	37	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.17	3	2	1	15.2	15.0	0.14	15.0	13.7	1.32
Tony Snell	53	55	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.24	0	5	-5	15.6	14.5	1.08	13.8	14.6	-0.80
Taj Gibson	40	41	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.23	0	5	-5	14.2	15.7	-1.43	14.8	13.7	1.12
Joakim Noah	50	51	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.32	-3	8	-11	14.7	15.5	-0.80	14.6	13.7	0.86
Doug McDermott	38	38	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.09	3	2	1	14.5	15.4	-0.98	14.7	13.9	0.79
Aaron Brooks	31	32	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.12	-1	6	-7	15.5	14.9	0.70	15.0	13.8	1.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.82,0.86,0.79,0.8,0.8,0.74,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.82,0.87,0.86,0.87,0.92,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.94,0.87,0.75,0.72,0.91,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 77, CLE 80	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.62,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.69,0.69,0.76,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.74,0.82,0.87,0.86,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.86,0.9,0.89,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.76,0.71,0.94,0.87,1	94.4%
CHH 89, MIN 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.62,0.71,0.72,0.68,0.64,0.59,0.65,0.67,0.76,0.83,0.81,0.77,0.73,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.83,0.85,0.82,0.87,0.78,0.84,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.92,0.91,0.88,0.91,0.76,0.71,0.83,0.92,1	94.1%
NYK 91, BOS 100	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.48,0.55,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.71,0.74,0.76,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.78,0.85,0.87,0.79,0.88,0.86,0.85,0.86,0.93,0.92,0.87,0.96,0.93,0.91,0.86,0.94,0.87,0.86,0.89,0.99,1,1	94.0%