NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	111		Excitement	7.7 [318]		MVP	Blake Griffin (LAC): +18.9%
Sacramento Kings	104		Comeback	1.6 [721]		LVP	DeMarcus Cousins (SAC): -23.0%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Blake Griffin	0.19	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.17,0.2,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.18	0.03	0.02	20	70%	0.24	2	-0.05	7	71%	0.03
Paul Pierce	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.04	0.14	-0.00	8	60%	0.20	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0.09	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09	0.01	0.06	-0.02	6	53%	0.10	1	-0.01	3	0%	-0.03
JJ Redick	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09	0.04	0.05	0.00	11	60%	0.15	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Wesley Johnson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	2	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	9	55%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Lance Stephenson	0.03	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	5	70%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Cole Aldrich	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Rivers	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	30%	-0.02	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Chris Paul	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.16,-0.06	0.01	-0.07	0.00	14	53%	0.05	2	-0.11	6	83%	0.00
Josh Smith	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.01	-0.01	2	17%	-0.03	5	-0.11	2	50%	-0.02

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darren Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.02	-0.03	12	45%	0.06	1	-0.02	5	40%	-0.03
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.02	0.01	6	83%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Caron Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	7	57%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben McLemore	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willie Cauley-Stein	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Omri Casspi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.03	-0.01	5	50%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
James Anderson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	0.02	16	47%	0.00	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	12	37%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	0.01	-0.02	8	25%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
DeMarcus Cousins	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.16,-0.08,-0.08,-0.2,-0.23	-0.23	0.00	-0.20	0.04	21	60%	0.16	8	-0.39	11	73%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.7	31.2	15.6	28.0	1.8	34.9	139.4
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +34.8%

LAC +13.9%

SAC -21.8%

LAC +20.0%

LAC +3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	SAC	NBA	LAC	SAC	NBA
this game	13.9	13.8	14.9	107.8	99.0	105.1
season	14.8	13.9		106.6	104.8
opponent	14.6	14.9		107.1	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	15.1	13.0	11.9	15.7	13.9
SAC	15.6	12.8	14.2	13.1	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Blake Griffin	83	84	0.71	-0.21	0.93	0.25	16	-9	25	13.7	14.6	-0.99	13.8	14.0	-0.20
Chris Paul	79	81	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.23	15	-8	23	13.6	14.5	-0.90	13.6	14.6	-0.97
JJ Redick	66	68	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.14	17	-10	27	14.0	13.7	0.28	13.5	14.4	-0.92
DeAndre Jordan	58	60	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.16	15	-8	23	14.1	13.5	0.65	13.6	14.2	-0.56
Lance Stephenson	42	41	0.25	0.25	-0.01	-0.08	11	-4	15	14.2	13.6	0.57	13.8	13.9	-0.05
Paul Pierce	48	49	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.21	-4	11	-15	14.9	13.0	1.87	14.1	13.6	0.57
Cole Aldrich	0	1	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	7	-7	0.0	13.9	-13.85	3.0	13.9	-10.94
Austin Rivers	36	37	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.23	-8	15	-23	13.0	14.3	-1.31	13.5	14.0	-0.46
Jamal Crawford	45	47	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.14	-5	12	-17	13.4	14.2	-0.77	14.1	13.6	0.49
Wesley Johnson	22	23	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.03	-8	15	-23	14.1	13.8	0.36	14.6	13.6	0.99
Josh Smith	36	34	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	0.15	-14	21	-35	13.6	14.0	-0.37	14.9	13.3	1.54

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Omri Casspi	41	41	0.23	-0.73	0.96	-0.01	8	-15	23	14.2	13.6	0.67	15.1	13.0	2.02
Willie Cauley-Stein	15	15	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.02	1	-8	9	16.2	13.4	2.76	15.2	13.6	1.57
James Anderson	7	7	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.04	-1	-6	5	14.1	13.8	0.33	12.1	14.0	-1.84
Caron Butler	28	28	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.07	-2	-5	3	15.8	13.1	2.66	11.7	14.6	-2.89
Rudy Gay	69	68	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.24	-2	-5	3	13.3	14.8	-1.51	14.1	13.3	0.77
Darren Collison	67	65	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.33	1	-8	9	13.9	13.8	0.12	13.6	14.3	-0.77
Kosta Koufos	49	48	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.01	-10	3	-13	13.9	13.8	0.04	14.1	13.7	0.39
Ben McLemore	46	45	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.11	-14	7	-21	13.1	14.4	-1.30	13.6	14.0	-0.37
Marco Belinelli	70	69	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.38	-1	-6	5	13.9	13.7	0.14	13.4	14.7	-1.27
DeMarcus Cousins	77	75	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.22	-7	0	-7	13.4	15.1	-1.73	14.0	13.6	0.39
Rajon Rondo	56	54	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.27	-8	1	-9	13.6	14.1	-0.42	14.3	13.4	0.85

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.38,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.25,0.23,0.22,0.23,0.25,0.3,0.22,0.29,0.21,0.25,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.19,0.14,0.15,0.22,0.18,0.1,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.16,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.53,0.45,0.33,0.1,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 95, POR 87	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.29,0.3,0.3,0.35,0.4,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.26,0.21,0.23,0.28,0.23,0.34,0.29,0.19,0.25,0.22,0.25,0.26,0.18,0.2,0.17,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.28,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.11,0.1,0.17,0.23,0.41,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.33,0.18,0	93.9%
POR 88, PHI 82	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.34,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.29,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.29,0.37,0.36,0.29,0.34,0.33,0.27,0.27,0.21,0.19,0.14,0.17,0.21,0.18,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.19,0.25,0.26,0.23,0.21,0.24,0.32,0.41,0.4,0.47,0.38,0.29,0.24,0.04,0	91.9%
SEA 107, GSW 105	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.3,0.28,0.26,0.27,0.32,0.32,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.23,0.22,0.23,0.27,0.28,0.3,0.21,0.26,0.22,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.17,0.16,0.18,0.26,0.15,0.19,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.19,0.17,0.25,0.28,0.38,0.54,0.17,0.08,0	91.6%