NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	91		Excitement	4.0 [1017]		MVP	Tim Duncan (SAS): +13.9%
San Antonio Spurs	107		Comeback	1.1 [1297]		LVP	PJ Tucker (PHX): -6.9%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Green	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	-0.01	0.01	16	59%	0.10	1	-0.02	7	71%	-0.00
Eric Bledsoe	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.01	0.02	13	62%	0.08	1	-0.01	6	100%	0.02
TJ Warren	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerel McNeal	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Barron	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	7	31%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Marcus Morris	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.04	11	36%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Markieff Morris	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	0.00	0.05	10	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Archie Goodwin	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.10	-0.00	-0.05	15	34%	-0.02	3	-0.03	2	50%	0.01
PJ Tucker	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	0.01	0.04	8	44%	-0.04	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Duncan	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.13	0.02	0.01	11	71%	0.16	1	-0.02	9	89%	0.02
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.02	-0.02	8	68%	0.14	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Cory Joseph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.02	0.02	7	81%	0.09	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Danny Green	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.01	7	71%	0.08	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Aron Baynes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.08	0.01	0.07	12	62%	0.04	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.01
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	56%	0.02	1	-0.01	10	60%	-0.04
Kyle Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Ayres	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	0	0%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0.02	10	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.02	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	4.3	31.8	15.4	26.7	2.5	27.6	131.9
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +44.5%

SAS +7.7%

PHX -3.3%

SAS +4.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	SAS	NBA	PHX	SAS	NBA
this game	15.3	15.5	15.1	97.8	113.8	104.2
season	14.4	15.4		103.7	106.9
opponent	14.9	15.0		101.1	104.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	14.1	16.8	16.1	14.3	15.3
SAS	14.1	16.0	15.9	16.3	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerel McNeal	5	6	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.03	3	-19	22	12.4	15.4	-3.03	9.7	15.9	-6.27
TJ Warren	52	53	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.17	3	-19	22	14.8	15.9	-1.13	15.4	15.7	-0.31
Gerald Green	50	51	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.06	-3	-13	10	15.2	15.3	-0.06	15.4	15.7	-0.31
Earl Barron	40	39	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.19	-2	-14	12	15.4	15.1	0.32	13.9	16.7	-2.71
Marcus Morris	59	60	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.06	-11	-5	-6	15.0	15.7	-0.64	14.9	16.7	-1.79
Markieff Morris	50	51	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.25	-20	4	-24	15.7	14.7	0.98	16.5	14.4	2.09
Archie Goodwin	56	55	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.17	-21	5	-26	15.4	15.0	0.45	15.9	15.0	0.87
Eric Bledsoe	79	79	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.06	-15	-1	-14	15.5	13.9	1.58	16.1	12.5	3.57
PJ Tucker	74	76	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.12	-14	-2	-12	15.2	15.4	-0.19	16.0	13.5	2.51

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danny Green	63	62	0.48	0.02	0.47	-0.25	25	-9	34	15.0	16.7	-1.76	15.5	14.9	0.60
Kawhi Leonard	65	66	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.22	21	-5	26	16.1	14.3	1.82	15.9	13.8	2.10
Tim Duncan	49	48	0.35	0.15	0.21	-0.20	19	-3	22	17.0	13.9	3.11	15.7	14.8	0.82
Cory Joseph	38	36	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.11	8	8	0	15.7	15.4	0.30	15.9	14.8	1.10
Marco Belinelli	45	43	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.11	8	8	0	15.7	15.4	0.34	16.2	14.5	1.75
Boris Diaw	47	48	0.34	0.16	0.17	-0.16	17	-1	18	15.5	15.6	-0.04	15.2	15.3	-0.12
Tony Parker	50	52	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.11	11	5	6	16.1	14.9	1.21	15.1	15.5	-0.44
Aron Baynes	33	33	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.09	2	14	-12	14.4	16.2	-1.80	15.7	15.0	0.62
Kyle Anderson	14	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	20	-24	15.7	15.5	0.21	12.2	15.8	-3.53
Jeff Ayres	9	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	21	-26	14.0	15.7	-1.69	11.7	15.7	-3.99
Reggie Williams	9	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	21	-26	14.0	15.7	-1.69	11.7	15.7	-3.99
Patty Mills	13	12	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.18	-8	24	-32	12.0	16.1	-4.10	12.4	15.7	-3.27
Manu Ginobili	35	34	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.20	-9	25	-34	15.4	15.6	-0.26	15.3	15.2	0.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.71,0.79,0.82,0.84,0.82,0.84,0.86,0.91,0.87,0.86,0.82,0.8,0.87,0.85,0.83,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.95,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
VAN 89, MIL 105	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.72,0.78,0.77,0.76,0.78,0.73,0.78,0.8,0.86,0.86,0.91,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.92,0.86,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
MEM 87, PHX 105	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.78,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.77,0.82,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.87,0.83,0.81,0.89,0.85,0.84,0.86,0.86,0.91,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
NYK 82, LAL 106	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.72,0.74,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.79,0.82,0.93,0.92,0.9,0.91,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.8,0.81,0.87,0.87,0.9,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%