NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	101		Excitement	6.5 [504]		MVP	Zach LaVine (MIN): +26.7%
Golden State Warriors	110		Comeback	1.8 [1291]		LVP	Andrew Wiggins (MIN): -20.8%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach LaVine	0.27	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.16,0.18,0.34,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.25	0.08	0.07	21	79%	0.34	3	-0.07	5	100%	0.02
Chase Budinger	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.05	-0.00	12	50%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Arinze Onuaku	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Martin	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	11	43%	-0.00	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Justin Hamilton	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.01	7	60%	0.05	2	-0.07	6	83%	0.01
Adreian Payne	-0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.01	4	50%	0.00	3	-0.10	4	50%	-0.02
Lorenzo Brown	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.04	0.01	8	28%	-0.09	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Andrew Wiggins	-0.21	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.09	-0.13	-0.01	16	49%	0.01	6	-0.22	3	67%	-0.01

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Curry	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.18	0.01	0.04	21	68%	0.22	3	-0.07	8	87%	0.01
Klay Thompson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.06,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,0,0.09,0.09,0.1	0.10	0.00	0.11	0.02	25	46%	0.13	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.02	-0.01	9	65%	0.09	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.02
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	3	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	12	48%	0.06	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Festus Ezeli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.02	2	70%	0.02	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.04
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	6	42%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Justin Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	5	40%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.08	-0.06	0.02	8	39%	-0.07	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.6	2.5	24.9	15.7	25.5	2.4	29.5	128.0
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +7.1%

GSW +2.4%

GSW +20.3%

GSW +18.2%

GSW +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	GSW	NBA	MIN	GSW	NBA
this game	15.1	14.0	15.1	102.0	111.1	104.2
season	15.0	13.6		101.2	109.2
opponent	15.5	15.0		99.7	110.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	14.3	16.6	16.9	12.7	15.1
GSW	13.4	15.4	11.2	16.0	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Arinze Onuaku	0	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-11	13	0.0	15.1	-15.10	2.0	14.1	-12.11
Lorenzo Brown	51	51	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.20	3	-12	15	13.3	17.1	-3.81	14.3	13.6	0.67
Adreian Payne	60	60	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.15	-3	-6	3	15.9	13.9	1.99	13.9	14.2	-0.31
Chase Budinger	74	74	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.21	-2	-7	5	14.3	17.5	-3.24	14.6	12.0	2.61
Kevin Martin	66	64	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.00	-12	3	-15	16.0	13.4	2.61	13.2	15.3	-2.09
Andrew Wiggins	88	89	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.29	-6	-3	-3	15.3	13.5	1.85	14.5	9.5	4.99
Justin Hamilton	64	63	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.06	-15	6	-21	15.3	14.7	0.60	13.5	14.8	-1.28
Zach LaVine	92	93	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.23	-12	3	-15	15.3	12.4	2.88	13.8	16.3	-2.49

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Harrison Barnes	61	60	0.74	-0.24	0.98	-0.08	28	-19	47	13.1	15.4	-2.37	16.3	13.3	3.04
Klay Thompson	76	76	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.14	19	-10	29	14.0	14.0	-0.01	15.8	12.9	2.91
Stephen Curry	72	75	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.01	17	-8	25	13.4	15.5	-2.10	15.1	15.2	-0.14
Andrew Bogut	50	50	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.16	6	3	3	14.1	13.9	0.18	15.5	14.7	0.77
Draymond Green	75	75	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.27	2	7	-5	14.3	13.0	1.25	15.2	14.9	0.24
Andre Iguodala	65	64	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.21	-1	10	-11	14.4	13.3	1.10	14.2	16.8	-2.63
Shaun Livingston	32	30	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.16	-4	13	-17	16.2	12.9	3.34	16.1	14.7	1.43
Festus Ezeli	25	24	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	14	-19	13.6	14.1	-0.47	14.5	15.3	-0.74
Marreese Speights	12	14	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.02	-5	14	-19	13.0	14.1	-1.13	12.1	15.6	-3.45
Justin Holiday	27	27	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	0.14	-12	21	-33	13.7	14.1	-0.34	12.9	15.9	-3.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.4,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.83,0.88,0.88,0.87,0.93,0.98,0.96,0.88,0.8,0.85,0.86,0.81,0.88,0.62,0.94,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 87, WAS 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.66,0.6,0.73,0.64,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.82,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.87,0.85,0.75,0.86,0.85,0.89,0.85,0.93,0.85,0.93,0.98,1,1	93.5%
PHI 107, NJN 112	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.64,0.67,0.72,0.64,0.7,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.8,0.85,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.9,0.92,0.86,0.87,0.93,0.93,0.91,0.96,0.86,0.89,0.97,1,1	93.4%
CHA 82, NYK 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.63,0.71,0.66,0.67,0.76,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.98,0.97,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.83,0.64,0.89,0.9,0.99,1	93.2%