inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Toronto Raptors 101 Excitement10.6 [54] MVPLou Williams (TOR): +36.5%
Orlando Magic 99 Comeback7.9 [225] LVPPatrick Patterson (TOR): -11.6%


Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Lou Williams0.370,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.05,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.37-0.020.37-0.011543%0.391-0.0200%0.00
DeMar DeRozan0.240,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.17,0.06,0.06,-0.13,-0.13,0.240.130.130.012160%0.291-0.066100%0.03
Tyler Hansbrough0.200,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.2,0.20.080.10-0.011259%0.2000.00367%-0.00
Charles Hayes0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.020.020.001100%0.0400.0000%0.00
Jonas Valanciunas0.010,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.050.04-0.01750%0.073-0.062100%0.01
Greivis Vasquez-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.02-0.020.01943%-0.011-0.043100%0.02
Kyle Lowry-0.060,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.090.01-0.021240%0.064-0.121100%0.01
Terrence Ross-0.070,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.04-0.030.00844%-0.032-0.0500%0.00
Patrick Patterson-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.08,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.08-0.08-0.04939%-0.003-0.1100%0.00

Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Victor Oladipo0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.350.35-0.000.34-0.011853%0.443-0.0900%0.00
Aaron Gordon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.070.08-0.00868%0.191-0.033100%0.02
Nikola Vucevic0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.070.07-0.040.110.001842%0.091-0.022100%0.01
Andrew Nicholson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.000.00450%0.0100.0000%0.00
Willie Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.040.00-0.01642%0.032-0.0600%0.00
Evan Fournier0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.07,-0.07-0.070.08-0.140.011078%0.143-0.213100%0.02
Dewayne Dedmon0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.07-0.02-0.01333%-0.033-0.0500%0.00
Tobias Harris0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.01,0.07,-0.01,-0.1-0.100.01-0.110.001553%0.022-0.1200%0.00
Elfrid Payton0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.04-0.08-0.00737%-0.081-0.042100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.02.525.915.725.52.433.5130.5
league avg24.62.329.616.026.92.333.6136.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
TOR +15.2%
TOR +6.3%
TOR +5.9%
TOR +15.9%
TOR +6.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsTORORLNBATORORLNBA
this game16.413.515.1104.1103.1104.2
season15.614.9109.1100.4
opponent15.315.0105.9106.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
TOR14.318.815.616.916.4
ORL14.512.012.715.013.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
DeMar DeRozan72730.68-0.180.870.3611-92016.914.82.0413.812.41.43
Greivis Vasquez51500.60-0.100.700.72-46-1016.915.81.0813.313.6-0.29
Patrick Patterson49490.54-0.040.580.4820215.717.1-1.4113.913.00.86
Kyle Lowry71700.350.150.200.3502-215.518.8-3.3613.214.3-1.19
Terrence Ross41410.260.240.03-0.0611-92016.516.20.3213.613.40.19
Lou Williams56550.240.26-0.030.50-911-2016.216.5-0.3213.413.6-0.19
Jonas Valanciunas58570.030.47-0.430.09-24-616.715.80.8913.313.7-0.36
Charles Hayes1613-0.040.54-0.580.02-24-616.316.4-0.0515.313.22.11
Tyler Hansbrough7172-0.170.67-0.84-0.263-1416.515.80.7413.014.8-1.75

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Andrew Nicholson20220.15-0.650.80-0.098-101813.213.6-0.3517.316.11.25
Willie Green33320.05-0.550.60-0.105-71213.013.7-0.7815.516.8-1.22
Evan Fournier50530.01-0.510.52-0.228-101813.313.7-0.3316.116.7-0.61
Dewayne Dedmon4039-0.14-0.360.21-0.03-42-613.613.40.2514.517.6-3.03
Victor Oladipo8888-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.424-61013.117.7-4.6616.415.90.51
Aaron Gordon4950-0.32-0.18-0.13-0.320-2213.513.50.0216.016.7-0.64
Tobias Harris6361-0.580.08-0.66-0.29-108-1813.413.6-0.1516.915.51.40
Elfrid Payton6669-0.680.18-0.86-0.39-108-1814.012.21.8116.715.51.25
Nikola Vucevic7171-0.680.18-0.86-0.36-119-2013.812.51.3017.014.62.37


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.35,0.26,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.6,0.52,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.38,0.32,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.56,0.5,0.3,0.37,0.43,0.58,0.47,0.29,0.33,0.52,0.63,0.78,0.42,0
GameSimilarity Score
SAC 91, UTA 890.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.32,0.27,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.38,0.42,0.39,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.25,0.3,0.34,0.43,0.38,0.53,0.47,0.29,0.34,0.55,0.52,0.57,0.42,091.8%
MEM 99, MIN 980.5,0.49,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.31,0.25,0.26,0.24,0.23,0.24,0.29,0.34,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.26,0.25,0.48,0.42,0.59,0.46,0.33,0.55,0.71,0.85,0.58,091.3%
NJN 95, CHA 940.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.41,0.36,0.3,0.33,0.28,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.3,0.31,0.28,0.24,0.32,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.38,0.34,0.43,0.52,0.63,0.59,0.55,0.34,0.31,0.45,0.55,0.58,090.5%