NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	119		Excitement	2.9 [1188]		MVP	Robert Covington (PHI): +21.1%
Philadelphia 76ers	90		Comeback	1.0 [1161]		LVP	Ish Smith (PHI): -9.1%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bradley Beal	0.13	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.15	0.00	0.02	9	91%	0.17	3	-0.04	5	80%	0.01
Marcin Gortat	0.12	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.00	0.00	9	90%	0.14	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Ramon Sessions	0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.01	0.00	7	83%	0.14	4	-0.05	9	78%	-0.00
Kevin Seraphin	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.00	-0.01	8	75%	0.08	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.10	0.00	0.04	6	80%	0.06	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Paul Pierce	0.04	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	7	71%	0.05	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasual Butler	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	7	64%	0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Drew Gooden	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Otto Porter	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Will Bynum	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	11	45%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Martell Webster	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeJuan Blair	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Robert Covington	0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.25	0.00	0.04	11	90%	0.22	1	-0.01	8	87%	0.02
Jason Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.17	0.00	0.07	7	113%	0.11	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Thomas Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	12	42%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Furkan Aldemir	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glenn Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Henry Sims	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.03	3	60%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
JaKarr Sampson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.09	0.00	-0.08	7	12%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Hollis Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	7	29%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	10	35%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Nerlens Noel	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	8	28%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Jerami Grant	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.11	0.00	-0.05	9	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	6	67%	0.01
Ish Smith	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.17	0.01	-0.06	9	15%	-0.03	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.6	2.4	33.6	16.6	25.2	2.4	29.2	136.2
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +48.5%

PHI -0.3%

WAS +0.7%

WAS +1.1%

PHI -0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	PHI	NBA	WAS	PHI	NBA
this game	15.1	16.0	15.1	126.6	98.9	104.2
season	15.1	14.9		102.9	94.3
opponent	14.8	15.3		103.4	101.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	14.2	16.0	16.3	14.1	15.1
PHI	17.9	14.0	15.0	17.3	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ramon Sessions	56	54	0.53	-0.03	0.56	-0.12	22	7	15	16.0	13.9	2.02	15.6	16.5	-0.87
Drew Gooden	47	47	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.21	24	5	19	15.9	14.4	1.45	16.0	16.0	-0.09
Bradley Beal	48	48	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.23	24	5	19	15.5	14.7	0.80	14.5	17.7	-3.13
Paul Pierce	43	44	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.21	22	7	15	16.2	14.2	2.00	15.5	16.5	-0.97
Marcin Gortat	51	50	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.16	20	9	11	15.1	15.2	-0.15	16.3	15.7	0.62
Kevin Seraphin	43	41	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.19	9	20	-11	15.2	15.1	0.15	15.7	16.3	-0.62
Otto Porter	45	42	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.03	3	26	-23	15.1	15.2	-0.16	17.1	15.0	2.12
Rasual Butler	44	41	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.15	6	23	-17	14.3	15.9	-1.60	17.4	14.8	2.57
Kris Humphries	39	37	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.05	2	27	-25	14.9	15.3	-0.43	16.4	15.7	0.68
Martell Webster	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	26	-23	12.1	15.4	-3.31	14.1	16.2	-2.01
DeJuan Blair	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	26	-23	12.1	15.4	-3.31	14.1	16.2	-2.01
Will Bynum	38	37	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.23	7	22	-15	13.9	16.0	-2.02	16.5	15.6	0.87

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Glenn Robinson	15	18	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.20	-7	-22	15	14.5	16.3	-1.84	13.9	15.4	-1.56
Thomas Robinson	41	41	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.08	-7	-22	15	17.2	15.0	2.22	14.6	15.6	-0.96
Henry Sims	24	25	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.09	-8	-21	13	14.8	16.4	-1.64	15.3	15.1	0.23
Luc Mbah a Moute	41	43	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.15	-11	-18	7	16.5	15.6	0.93	16.5	14.0	2.47
Hollis Thompson	27	29	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.08	-9	-20	11	18.2	15.1	3.11	16.7	14.4	2.28
Jason Richardson	35	38	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.19	-13	-16	3	17.2	15.2	1.95	16.2	14.5	1.69
JaKarr Sampson	39	41	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.29	-17	-12	-5	17.4	14.9	2.47	15.8	14.6	1.16
Furkan Aldemir	26	28	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.23	-17	-12	-5	15.7	16.1	-0.48	14.4	15.5	-1.13
Ish Smith	52	53	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.06	-12	-17	5	14.9	17.4	-2.47	14.6	15.8	-1.16
Nerlens Noel	49	49	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.17	-16	-13	-3	15.2	17.0	-1.77	14.8	15.6	-0.78
Robert Covington	50	49	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.04	-12	-17	5	15.4	16.7	-1.29	14.7	15.6	-0.95
Jerami Grant	56	56	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.16	-16	-13	-3	15.2	17.2	-1.95	14.5	16.2	-1.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.34,0.29,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.28,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.31,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.16,0.17,0.14,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 107, NOH 93	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.29,0.24,0.2,0.24,0.28,0.26,0.32,0.31,0.27,0.28,0.2,0.21,0.22,0.2,0.12,0.14,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	96.8%
CLE 94, CHA 74	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.34,0.32,0.29,0.27,0.24,0.22,0.2,0.26,0.27,0.25,0.31,0.31,0.26,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.13,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.7%
UTA 104, DEN 82	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.26,0.27,0.23,0.3,0.28,0.21,0.26,0.25,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.1,0.15,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.7%