NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	100		Excitement	9.1 [130]		MVP	Anthony Davis (NOP): +43.1%
New Orleans Pelicans	103		Comeback	6.1 [101]		LVP	Klay Thompson (GSW): -18.5%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Curry	0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.06,0.09	0.12	-0.03	0.00	18	66%	0.27	2	-0.19	2	100%	0.02
Marreese Speights	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.05	-0.00	7	57%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.26,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.06,0.06	0.11	-0.05	-0.01	18	63%	0.20	1	-0.14	2	50%	0.00
Harrison Barnes	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	7	44%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
David Lee	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	-0.03	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.02	0.01	8	50%	0.04	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	8	37%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	10	32%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Klay Thompson	-0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.06,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.13	-0.07	-0.01	10	32%	0.01	4	-0.20	2	100%	0.01

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Davis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.39,0.43	0.43	0.11	0.30	-0.02	21	54%	0.43	0	0.00	12	75%	0.05
Quincy Pondexter	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.14	0.12	0.02	7	105%	0.35	4	-0.10	5	80%	-0.05
Tyreke Evans	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1	0.10	-0.01	0.09	-0.01	8	57%	0.16	3	-0.07	5	80%	-0.04
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.02	0.00	3	62%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Alexis Ajinca	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Toney Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	12	44%	0.06	1	-0.10	1	100%	0.00
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	15	40%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Omer Asik	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	5	46%	0.01	2	-0.11	3	67%	-0.01
Norris Cole	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	0.01	7	25%	-0.09	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	1.8	25.1	15.7	24.2	2.5	39.3	135.6
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +4.5%

NOP +33.7%

GSW -11.7%

NOP +23.0%

NOP +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	NOP	NBA	GSW	NOP	NBA
this game	14.4	14.7	15.1	101.0	104.0	104.2
season	13.6	15.8		109.2	106.3
opponent	15.2	15.5		106.1	99.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	13.6	15.6	13.7	14.8	14.4
NOP	14.7	14.4	14.5	15.2	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew Bogut	57	56	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.24	8	-11	19	14.9	13.8	1.07	14.9	14.4	0.56
Marreese Speights	30	31	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.13	0	-3	3	13.3	14.9	-1.63	13.5	15.2	-1.75
Stephen Curry	73	74	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.28	4	-7	11	13.5	17.0	-3.57	14.6	14.8	-0.20
Leandro Barbosa	36	35	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.15	-1	-2	1	15.2	13.9	1.29	15.0	14.5	0.44
David Lee	21	20	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.04	-7	4	-11	17.1	13.7	3.42	14.6	14.7	-0.11
Shaun Livingston	37	37	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.20	-2	-1	-1	16.4	13.2	3.24	14.4	14.9	-0.49
Klay Thompson	63	64	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.26	-2	-1	-1	13.9	15.2	-1.29	14.5	15.0	-0.44
Andre Iguodala	59	58	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.44	3	-6	9	14.1	14.8	-0.66	15.2	14.0	1.13
Draymond Green	73	72	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.25	-6	3	-9	13.8	16.0	-2.16	15.1	13.6	1.45
Harrison Barnes	46	48	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.07	-12	9	-21	14.5	14.4	0.10	14.4	15.0	-0.61

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Anderson	62	61	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.49	10	-7	17	15.0	14.1	0.88	14.9	13.6	1.38
Anthony Davis	84	84	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.36	4	-1	5	14.7	14.9	-0.21	13.9	17.3	-3.45
Dante Cunningham	37	36	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.33	1	2	-1	14.4	14.9	-0.49	15.4	13.8	1.59
Tyreke Evans	57	59	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.18	6	-3	9	14.9	14.4	0.49	13.3	16.0	-2.72
Eric Gordon	70	71	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.28	0	3	-3	14.6	14.9	-0.30	13.8	16.0	-2.18
Quincy Pondexter	71	73	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.16	3	0	3	14.5	15.2	-0.79	13.7	16.3	-2.58
Norris Cole	44	41	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.25	-2	5	-7	14.4	14.9	-0.50	15.8	13.4	2.43
Toney Douglas	22	22	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.15	-1	4	-5	15.4	14.5	0.93	15.8	14.0	1.82
Alexis Ajinca	11	12	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	-0.03	-1	4	-5	14.9	14.7	0.25	16.0	14.2	1.82
Omer Asik	37	36	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	-0.11	-5	8	-13	14.6	14.7	-0.10	15.1	14.0	1.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.46,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.36,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.34,0.41,0.39,0.23,0.14,0.18,0.21,0.34,0.42,0.33,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.41,0.34,0.48,0.56,0.54,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.79,0.88,0.78,0.8,0.28,0.55,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 109, MIN 115	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.41,0.34,0.31,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.35,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.65,0.48,0.37,0.52,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.62,0.77,0.92,0.88,0.73,0.53,0.37,0.69,0.84,1	90.9%
ATL 107, DET 115	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.33,0.32,0.31,0.27,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.2,0.31,0.33,0.27,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.76,0.68,0.74,0.59,0.67,0.74,0.55,0.57,0.98,1	90.1%
ORL 93, NJN 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.31,0.34,0.3,0.27,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.15,0.27,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.22,0.34,0.44,0.52,0.46,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.81,0.73,0.75,0.55,0.86,0.95,1	89.8%