NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	110		Excitement	8.1 [238]		MVP	Andre Iguodala (GSW): +18.2%
Los Angeles Clippers	106		Comeback	6.2 [132]		LVP	JJ Redick (LAC): -16.2%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Iguodala	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.18,0.18	-0.00	0.18	-0.01	3	40%	0.18	0	0.00	9	67%	0.03
Stephen Curry	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.13	0.15	-0.00	0.01	15	73%	0.22	3	-0.10	7	100%	0.06
David Lee	0.12	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.04	0.02	12	65%	0.12	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.04
Klay Thompson	0.12	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.01,0.05,0,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.12	0.05	0.07	0.01	21	51%	0.19	1	-0.07	7	86%	0.04
Marreese Speights	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.01,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.05	0.00	9	59%	0.11	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Festus Ezeli	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.00	3	100%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	6	58%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	0.03	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.05	0.01	5	55%	0.06	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
James Michael McAdoo	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	3	25%	-0.02	2	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Harrison Barnes	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.04	-0.01	7	6%	-0.14	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Blake Griffin	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.11,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.25,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.32,0.24,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.19	-0.00	0.01	25	69%	0.33	3	-0.15	8	100%	0.08
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.13,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.03	0.01	17	59%	0.12	2	-0.02	12	100%	0.14
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.04	0.06	-0.01	5	31%	0.03	0	0.00	6	50%	0.01
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	62%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	9	44%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glen Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	3	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Austin Rivers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	6	50%	0.03	2	-0.09	2	0%	-0.03
JJ Redick	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.04	-0.11	0.01	12	48%	-0.01	3	-0.15	5	100%	0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	2.8	38.2	17.7	29.2	3.5	49.4	165.9
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +41.5%

LAC -7.4%

GSW +1.6%

GSW +16.9%

LAC -2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	LAC	NBA	GSW	LAC	NBA
this game	14.3	15.3	15.1	112.2	109.3	104.2
season	13.6	14.6		109.2	110.5
opponent	15.3	15.5		104.6	99.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	14.5	12.7	16.0	13.8	14.3
LAC	13.7	18.7	14.7	14.4	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Lee	59	58	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.53	1	3	-2	14.4	14.0	0.47	15.7	14.7	1.04
Harrison Barnes	50	52	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.08	14	-10	24	13.1	15.5	-2.36	16.9	13.4	3.44
Klay Thompson	72	70	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.36	2	2	0	13.7	15.7	-1.96	15.2	15.6	-0.42
Stephen Curry	73	72	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.43	-1	5	-6	14.2	14.5	-0.30	15.7	14.2	1.41
Andre Iguodala	59	58	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.43	-2	6	-8	15.3	12.7	2.64	14.1	17.1	-2.99
Andrew Bogut	61	59	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.16	2	2	0	14.4	14.0	0.41	16.0	14.2	1.86
Leandro Barbosa	23	24	0.15	0.35	-0.19	-0.05	7	-3	10	15.2	14.0	1.26	15.3	15.3	0.00
Marreese Speights	32	30	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.10	0	4	-4	14.3	14.2	0.13	14.9	15.4	-0.51
Shaun Livingston	35	34	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.06	5	-1	6	13.5	14.7	-1.24	13.7	16.1	-2.39
James Michael McAdoo	3	3	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.05	-5	9	-14	19.3	14.1	5.24	18.0	15.2	2.80
Festus Ezeli	23	25	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	-0.11	-3	7	-10	14.5	14.2	0.35	13.6	15.9	-2.33

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dahntay Jones	2	1	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.05	-2	-2	0	2.0	15.6	-13.57	0.0	14.4	-14.40
Austin Rivers	31	31	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.01	-2	-2	0	13.8	16.0	-2.23	15.1	13.9	1.23
Blake Griffin	86	87	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.34	7	-11	18	15.4	14.7	0.63	14.4	12.7	1.72
Spencer Hawes	9	8	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.02	-6	2	-8	15.4	15.3	0.17	13.9	14.3	-0.41
Chris Paul	80	81	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.31	4	-8	12	15.2	15.6	-0.43	14.3	14.2	0.02
Glen Davis	19	20	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.00	-7	3	-10	13.8	15.7	-1.86	14.3	14.2	0.06
Matt Barnes	79	81	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.29	2	-6	8	14.9	17.2	-2.31	14.0	15.4	-1.40
Hedo Turkoglu	18	17	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.09	-6	2	-8	17.2	14.9	2.31	15.4	14.0	1.40
DeAndre Jordan	80	81	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.45	-2	-2	0	15.5	14.1	1.49	14.1	15.1	-1.04
JJ Redick	81	83	-0.72	0.22	-0.95	-0.49	-8	4	-12	16.3	10.3	5.96	14.1	15.1	-0.96

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.71,0.76,0.74,0.74,0.76,0.71,0.69,0.76,0.82,0.85,0.76,0.74,0.73,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.66,0.55,0.48,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.62,0.48,0.38,0.53,0.64,0.54,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.24,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 101, NOH 93	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.74,0.75,0.72,0.72,0.78,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.73,0.64,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.66,0.6,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.65,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.6,0.75,0.74,0.57,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.47,0.65,0.4,0.15,0.21,0.03,0,0	91.2%
DAL 91, PHX 83	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.76,0.75,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.59,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.52,0.33,0.51,0.41,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.36,0.43,0.08,0	91.2%
DEN 109, TOR 100	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.59,0.57,0.63,0.7,0.76,0.78,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.69,0.6,0.67,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.76,0.76,0.71,0.68,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.38,0.43,0.37,0.53,0.53,0.67,0.39,0.54,0.43,0,0	90.8%