NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	91		Excitement	4.8 [860]		MVP	Stephen Curry (GSW): +18.7%
Golden State Warriors	106		Comeback	1.2 [1130]		LVP	Rudy Gobert (UTA): -8.7%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trey Burke	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.08	0.04	-0.01	16	59%	0.15	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Rodney Hood	0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.10	0.00	0.01	14	68%	0.10	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Favors	0.03	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	-0.02	0.01	15	60%	0.09	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.01
Trevor Booker	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	5	60%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Bryce Cotton	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jack Cooley	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	0	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Elijah Millsap	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	3	50%	0.03	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Joe Ingles	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	1	150%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	0.01	-0.00	13	37%	-0.02	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Dante Exum	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	0.01	5	31%	-0.06	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Curry	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.12	0.05	-0.01	18	59%	0.19	0	0.00	5	100%	0.01
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.15	0.02	0.00	10	86%	0.18	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Andrew Bogut	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.04	-0.00	5	80%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	-0.00	-0.01	10	60%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Justin Holiday	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	3	117%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Festus Ezeli	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	0.01	0.04	7	65%	0.04	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.00
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	7	29%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	-0.00	-0.04	8	25%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	10	45%	-0.00	2	-0.05	13	85%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.1	1.7	24.0	15.5	27.5	2.4	33.5	126.8
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +27.8%

GSW +2.1%

GSW +11.6%

GSW +8.4%

GSW +0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	GSW	NBA	UTA	GSW	NBA
this game	18.6	13.1	15.1	101.1	115.2	104.2
season	16.2	13.6		103.8	109.2
opponent	15.5	15.3		99.7	103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	20.4	20.0	16.7	17.3	18.6
GSW	10.9	13.6	12.8	15.4	13.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bryce Cotton	2	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-13	11	16.0	18.6	-2.63	20.0	12.9	7.09
Jack Cooley	5	7	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.13	-9	-6	-3	15.0	18.8	-3.78	13.6	13.1	0.47
Dante Exum	36	33	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.07	-9	-6	-3	19.7	17.8	1.93	12.0	13.8	-1.83
Elijah Millsap	36	37	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.06	-5	-10	5	18.4	18.7	-0.30	13.8	12.7	1.07
Joe Ingles	25	26	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.09	-10	-5	-5	19.9	18.1	1.82	12.2	13.5	-1.27
Derrick Favors	66	65	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.11	-4	-11	7	19.1	17.2	1.91	12.6	14.4	-1.74
Gordon Hayward	66	65	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.14	-4	-11	7	18.2	19.7	-1.56	13.1	13.3	-0.22
Trevor Booker	39	42	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.02	-9	-6	-3	18.0	19.0	-1.00	13.6	12.7	0.92
Trey Burke	52	56	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.18	-4	-11	7	17.9	19.5	-1.66	13.5	12.6	0.83
Rodney Hood	58	61	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.07	-9	-6	-3	18.7	18.3	0.35	13.4	12.6	0.80
Rudy Gobert	65	65	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.07	-10	-5	-5	18.6	18.6	0.01	13.1	13.3	-0.17

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Draymond Green	64	63	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.01	15	0	15	12.4	14.7	-2.31	18.0	19.9	-1.94
Stephen Curry	64	63	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.03	12	3	9	12.3	15.1	-2.83	18.0	20.0	-2.05
Leandro Barbosa	52	49	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.14	6	9	-3	13.7	12.4	1.31	19.0	18.1	0.91
Andre Iguodala	59	57	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.14	6	9	-3	13.5	12.5	0.93	18.6	18.5	0.08
Andrew Bogut	57	58	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.01	10	5	5	13.1	13.3	-0.19	18.0	19.5	-1.50
Shaun Livingston	44	43	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.00	8	7	1	14.5	11.9	2.60	18.7	18.5	0.16
Marreese Speights	25	24	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.06	4	11	-7	11.9	13.6	-1.68	19.7	18.1	1.61
Justin Holiday	35	36	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.04	7	8	-1	12.4	13.6	-1.15	18.6	18.6	0.03
Harrison Barnes	53	51	0.15	0.35	-0.21	-0.09	8	7	1	13.8	12.2	1.63	19.4	17.4	2.00
Festus Ezeli	7	6	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.05	-1	16	-17	15.1	13.0	2.17	19.8	18.5	1.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.62,0.69,0.7,0.66,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.75,0.76,0.69,0.75,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.77,0.72,0.79,0.87,0.87,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.9,0.85,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 95, ORL 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.67,0.61,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.76,0.83,0.9,0.85,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.97,1,1	95.3%
ATL 91, CHI 105	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.8,0.71,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.79,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.9,0.93,0.91,0.83,0.88,0.9,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%
BOS 111, GSW 114	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.53,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.64,0.73,0.79,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.73,0.84,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,1,1,1	94.9%