NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	112		Excitement	3.9 [1034]		MVP	Devin Harris (DAL): +12.4%
Dallas Mavericks	101		Comeback	1.2 [531]		LVP	Rajon Rondo (DAL): -8.0%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Beno Udrih	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.00	-0.05	8	63%	0.09	2	-0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Kosta Koufos	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.02	-0.03	4	75%	0.07	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marc Gasol	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.00	10	65%	0.09	3	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Zach Randolph	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.08	0.00	0.05	13	66%	0.08	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.00
Vince Carter	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	10	55%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	8	54%	0.04	1	-0.02	8	37%	-0.01
Courtney Lee	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	42%	0.01	1	-0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Jeff Green	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0	0.06	-0.00	0.06	11	60%	0.02	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.00
JaMychal Green	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Adams	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	0.02	9	61%	0.04	3	-0.07	5	80%	-0.01

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.17	0.01	0.05	6	100%	0.12	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Charlie Villanueva	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.07,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.06	-0.02	0.04	9	67%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bernard James	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	4	75%	0.06	4	-0.08	4	25%	-0.04
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.02	14	44%	-0.02	0	0.00	8	87%	0.01
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	-0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.04	8	30%	-0.03	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.01
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	2	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Monta Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	0.03	9	50%	-0.05	3	-0.03	6	83%	0.00
Chandler Parsons	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	11	43%	-0.05	2	-0.03	6	50%	-0.01
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	8	56%	0.03	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.5	30.2	17.5	29.5	2.5	41.3	149.0
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +39.4%

MEM +1.6%

MEM +1.2%

MEM +5.5%

MEM +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	DAL	NBA	MEM	DAL	NBA
this game	15.9	12.6	15.1	110.9	100.0	104.2
season	15.9	14.6		103.8	107.6
opponent	15.0	15.2		105.0	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	16.1	14.2	17.8	15.6	15.9
DAL	12.7	14.6	12.9	10.4	12.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Courtney Lee	67	67	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.04	16	-5	21	16.3	15.1	1.25	12.5	12.9	-0.39
Zach Randolph	70	68	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.01	14	-3	17	16.2	15.2	0.96	13.0	11.8	1.24
Kosta Koufos	39	40	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.12	9	2	7	15.9	15.9	0.01	12.6	12.6	0.04
Tony Allen	65	64	0.37	0.13	0.25	-0.10	16	-5	21	15.9	15.9	0.00	13.5	11.2	2.31
Beno Udrih	49	51	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.32	1	10	-9	14.9	16.8	-1.93	12.2	13.1	-0.86
Vince Carter	47	48	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.19	3	8	-5	15.5	16.2	-0.67	12.0	13.2	-1.27
Mike Conley	56	54	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.12	9	2	7	16.2	15.4	0.81	12.9	12.3	0.57
Marc Gasol	50	50	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.03	4	7	-3	17.1	14.7	2.39	13.3	11.9	1.38
Jeff Green	58	59	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.28	-9	20	-29	15.0	17.1	-2.13	11.9	13.6	-1.74
JaMychal Green	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	15	-19	13.0	15.9	-2.95	6.0	12.8	-6.76
Jordan Adams	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	15	-19	13.0	15.9	-2.95	6.0	12.8	-6.76

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charlie Villanueva	24	23	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.17	8	-19	27	10.8	13.2	-2.35	16.3	15.8	0.59
Bernard James	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-15	19	7.0	12.8	-5.80	17.0	15.9	1.14
Raymond Felton	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-15	19	7.0	12.8	-5.80	17.0	15.9	1.14
Al-Farouq Aminu	41	40	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.24	6	-17	23	11.3	13.5	-2.24	15.5	16.1	-0.65
Jose Juan Barea	36	33	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.16	3	-14	17	11.6	13.2	-1.57	15.1	16.3	-1.19
Devin Harris	48	47	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.08	-8	-3	-5	12.4	12.9	-0.51	14.6	17.1	-2.50
Amar'e Stoudemire	15	15	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.17	-14	3	-17	12.8	12.6	0.21	14.6	16.1	-1.52
Chandler Parsons	70	73	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.14	-7	-4	-3	13.1	11.5	1.60	16.0	15.6	0.34
Monta Ellis	68	71	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.05	-10	-1	-9	13.1	11.6	1.56	16.3	14.9	1.36
Tyson Chandler	71	73	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.02	-13	2	-15	13.2	11.2	2.03	16.6	14.0	2.62
Rajon Rondo	62	62	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.25	-6	-5	-1	13.1	11.9	1.14	16.1	15.6	0.53
Dirk Nowitzki	64	62	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	0.08	-22	11	-33	13.2	11.6	1.67	16.0	15.7	0.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.34,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.3,0.29,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 102, PHX 81	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.31,0.25,0.15,0.17,0.1,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.7%
LAL 113, LAC 95	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.28,0.32,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.33,0.27,0.24,0.21,0.2,0.17,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%
POR 104, MIL 95	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.28,0.26,0.32,0.29,0.4,0.41,0.49,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.3,0.29,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0	95.5%