NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	113		Excitement	3.7 [1045]		MVP	Pau Gasol (LAL): +19.4%
Los Angeles Clippers	95		Comeback	1.1 [1227]		LVP	Dan Dickau (LAC): -10.1%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pau Gasol	0.19	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.16	0.04	0.00	12	66%	0.21	1	-0.02	11	82%	0.01
Lamar Odom	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.12	0.01	0.04	11	62%	0.09	0	0.00	10	60%	-0.00
Jordan Farmar	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.01	-0.02	11	58%	0.07	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.11	0.02	0.06	12	68%	0.06	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Kobe Bryant	0.05	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.04	0.02	-0.07	11	55%	0.10	5	-0.05	9	78%	0.01
Coby Karl	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	-0.01	0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.03	11	55%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	9	44%	0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronny Turiaf	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	4	20%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brevin Knight	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	-0.00	-0.02	8	58%	0.06	1	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Quinton Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.02	6	67%	0.05	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Thomas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	0.01	0.03	15	59%	0.05	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Al Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.08	0.00	-0.08	11	50%	0.04	5	-0.03	6	100%	0.02
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.05	0.00	0.08	16	57%	0.02	2	-0.04	8	87%	0.01
Josh Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	5	28%	-0.06	0	0.00	8	37%	-0.05
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	0.03	12	50%	-0.02	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Dan Dickau	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.13	-0.02	-0.04	4	0%	-0.02	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.1	1.8	32.0	15.5	28.5	2.6	28.0	136.5
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +30.8%

LAL +10.9%

LAC -1.1%

LAL +9.6%

LAC -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	LAC	NBA	LAL	LAC	NBA
this game	13.7	15.2	15.4	111.9	96.9	105.7
season	14.6	15.6		110.6	99.5
opponent	15.1	15.2		106.8	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	12.3	13.3	14.4	15.1	13.7
LAC	16.0	15.0	13.8	16.2	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pau Gasol	72	69	0.58	-0.08	0.67	-0.24	28	-10	38	13.3	14.9	-1.57	14.8	16.1	-1.30
Kobe Bryant	89	85	0.55	-0.05	0.60	-0.18	25	-7	32	13.5	15.7	-2.28	15.4	13.9	1.50
Lamar Odom	87	84	0.54	-0.04	0.57	-0.08	21	-3	24	13.6	14.9	-1.29	14.8	17.6	-2.74
Derek Fisher	42	41	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.11	14	4	10	13.4	14.0	-0.62	15.1	15.3	-0.22
Luke Walton	57	56	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.06	8	10	-2	14.2	13.1	1.15	15.3	15.1	0.14
Jordan Farmar	59	57	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.08	4	14	-10	14.0	13.4	0.62	15.3	15.1	0.22
Sasha Vujacic	49	48	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.08	0	18	-18	14.2	13.3	0.82	15.5	14.9	0.62
Vladimir Radmanovic	18	18	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.03	2	16	-14	12.5	14.0	-1.51	15.9	15.1	0.81
Coby Karl	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	20	-22	18.0	13.6	4.39	10.3	15.4	-5.05
Ronny Turiaf	29	29	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.21	-10	28	-38	14.9	13.3	1.57	16.1	14.8	1.30

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quinton Ross	33	34	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.03	4	-22	26	16.2	14.7	1.49	14.5	13.4	1.14
Dan Dickau	44	46	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.18	2	-20	22	15.5	15.0	0.42	14.2	13.3	0.91
Al Thornton	68	70	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.05	-7	-11	4	14.9	16.0	-1.17	14.2	12.8	1.40
Aaron Williams	28	30	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.14	-14	-4	-10	15.9	15.0	0.94	13.0	14.1	-1.10
Josh Powell	33	34	-0.28	-0.21	-0.07	-0.11	-6	-12	6	13.8	16.0	-2.21	13.8	13.7	0.03
Tim Thomas	82	83	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.02	-13	-5	-8	15.7	12.9	2.73	13.6	14.4	-0.85
Brevin Knight	54	55	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.20	-20	2	-22	15.0	15.5	-0.42	13.3	14.2	-0.91
Corey Maggette	78	81	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.08	-18	0	-18	14.8	16.9	-2.11	13.5	14.8	-1.38
Cuttino Mobley	70	72	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	0.05	-18	0	-18	15.5	14.6	0.91	13.8	13.7	0.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.28,0.32,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.33,0.27,0.24,0.21,0.2,0.17,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 104, MIL 95	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.28,0.26,0.32,0.29,0.4,0.41,0.49,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.3,0.29,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0	95.9%
HOU 117, MIL 103	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.26,0.2,0.18,0.12,0.08,0.16,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%
MEM 112, DAL 101	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.34,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.3,0.29,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0	95.6%