NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	85		Excitement	8.6 [176]		MVP	Derrick Favors (UTA): +31.3%
Utah Jazz	88		Comeback	1.8 [841]		LVP	Jodie Meeks (DET): -15.8%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tayshaun Prince	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.03	0.11	-0.00	6	67%	0.19	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Greg Monroe	0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.08,0.02,0.13	-0.01	0.13	-0.00	15	48%	0.19	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01
Joel Anthony	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.05	0.00	9	53%	0.09	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Anthony Tolliver	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.04	-0.01	12	52%	0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.03
Andre Drummond	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	4	40%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Caron Butler	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Dinwiddie	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.06,-0.06,0.09,-0.12	0.01	-0.12	0.00	9	43%	-0.12	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	-0.00	5	8%	-0.10	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Reggie Jackson	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.04	-0.01	11	45%	0.04	5	-0.17	0	0%	0.00
Jodie Meeks	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.03	-0.13	0.00	9	42%	-0.10	1	-0.06	8	75%	0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick Favors	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.31	0.13	0.19	0.00	14	63%	0.34	1	-0.02	13	77%	0.03
Rodney Hood	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.06	0.18	-0.00	10	60%	0.25	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trey Burke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.12	0.12	0.03	0.09	0.00	6	60%	0.16	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Dante Exum	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.04	-0.00	5	80%	0.12	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Booker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Elijah Millsap	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	6	42%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.18,-0.04	-0.04	-0.09	0.04	-0.00	8	55%	0.13	6	-0.18	6	67%	-0.01
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	8	56%	0.02	2	-0.07	2	0%	-0.03
Joe Ingles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.11	-0.04	-0.00	6	0%	-0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.3	29.7	16.3	24.9	2.6	36.4	137.5
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +62.1%

UTA +11.7%

DET -21.6%

DET -2.3%

UTA +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	UTA	NBA	DET	UTA	NBA
this game	16.9	15.8	15.1	96.6	100.0	104.2
season	15.7	16.2		104.0	103.8
opponent	15.3	15.3		103.7	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	16.0	17.3	17.1	17.0	16.9
UTA	16.0	14.0	18.0	15.7	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Tolliver	49	51	0.27	-0.77	1.04	-0.17	15	-18	33	16.5	17.4	-0.85	16.9	14.3	2.62
Joel Anthony	38	37	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.08	5	-8	13	16.8	16.9	-0.08	16.5	15.4	1.16
Spencer Dinwiddie	37	36	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.30	10	-13	23	15.4	17.9	-2.51	16.6	15.3	1.35
Andre Drummond	20	21	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.01	-4	1	-5	17.3	16.7	0.60	15.6	15.9	-0.35
Caron Butler	24	24	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.02	-4	1	-5	16.6	17.0	-0.36	16.1	15.7	0.33
Tayshaun Prince	47	46	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.23	2	-5	7	17.0	16.7	0.34	15.7	16.0	-0.30
Jodie Meeks	61	61	-0.47	-0.04	-0.43	-0.38	-3	0	-3	16.7	17.2	-0.48	15.6	16.3	-0.71
Reggie Jackson	51	52	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.11	-13	10	-23	17.9	15.4	2.51	15.3	16.6	-1.35
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	52	52	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.30	-8	5	-13	16.5	17.4	-0.94	15.2	16.8	-1.68
Greg Monroe	61	60	-0.93	0.43	-1.36	-0.49	-15	12	-27	17.5	15.4	2.08	15.4	16.7	-1.33

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gordon Hayward	66	67	0.87	-0.37	1.24	0.43	15	-12	27	15.6	16.6	-1.06	17.3	15.4	1.91
Dante Exum	58	58	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.42	11	-8	19	15.3	16.8	-1.46	17.7	15.4	2.26
Rudy Gobert	72	71	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.42	11	-8	19	15.7	16.5	-0.81	16.6	18.0	-1.38
Rodney Hood	60	64	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.40	7	-4	11	15.7	16.1	-0.34	16.9	16.9	0.02
Derrick Favors	64	64	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.36	-2	5	-7	15.9	15.7	0.24	17.6	15.0	2.59
Trey Burke	30	31	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.06	-6	9	-15	16.8	15.3	1.46	15.2	17.8	-2.56
Joe Ingles	33	31	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	-0.05	-4	7	-11	14.9	16.4	-1.54	16.2	17.2	-1.02
Elijah Millsap	24	22	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.06	-8	11	-19	17.2	15.3	1.88	15.6	17.3	-1.73
Trevor Booker	33	32	-0.30	0.80	-1.11	-0.04	-9	12	-21	16.7	15.3	1.42	16.8	16.9	-0.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.51,0.59,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.37,0.44,0.36,0.48,0.46,0.56,0.59,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.64,0.61,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.72,0.69,0.72,0.72,0.78,0.74,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.41,0.65,0.86,0.81,0.71,0.84,0.63,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 110, DAL 114	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.4,0.31,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.48,0.56,0.69,0.59,0.58,0.6,0.49,0.61,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.63,0.75,0.81,0.67,0.71,0.67,0.73,0.69,0.76,0.87,0.81,0.72,0.78,0.58,1	91.3%
OKC 94, GSW 100	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.49,0.48,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.59,0.73,0.63,0.68,0.81,0.78,0.79,0.62,0.47,0.59,0.71,0.78,0.75,0.64,0.9,0.73,1	90.9%
DET 84, NJN 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.5,0.62,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.37,0.44,0.47,0.39,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.61,0.61,0.68,0.73,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.7,0.78,0.7,0.62,0.73,0.8,0.71,0.87,0.8,0.83,0.85,0.74,1	90.9%