NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	84		Excitement	8.8 [157]		MVP	Tyler Zeller (BOS): +74.8%
Boston Celtics	85		Comeback	5.2 [236]		LVP	Trey Burke (UTA): -22.8%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gordon Hayward	0.42	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.08,0.42	-0.02	0.44	0.00	11	54%	0.53	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Derrick Favors	0.16	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.07	0.08	-0.01	10	70%	0.20	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Trevor Booker	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	7	61%	0.09	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Jeremy Evans	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	3	57%	0.05	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.03
Rodney Hood	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	7	57%	0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Joe Ingles	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	5	27%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Dante Exum	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elijah Millsap	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	9	42%	-0.05	2	-0.04	6	67%	-0.04
Trey Burke	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.23	-0.06	-0.15	0.02	17	42%	-0.14	2	-0.09	4	50%	-0.02

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyler Zeller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0.75	0.75	-0.02	0.77	-0.01	8	44%	0.78	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.04
Isaiah Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.2,0.22,0.28,0.19	0.19	0.11	0.09	0.00	12	66%	0.22	1	-0.03	8	87%	0.04
Jonas Jerebko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.06	-0.00	5	50%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Avery Bradley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	13	50%	0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	6	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
James Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Olynyk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jae Crowder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,-0.08	-0.08	0.02	-0.08	0.01	17	46%	-0.08	0	0.00	5	20%	-0.07
Evan Turner	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	8	12%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Smart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.02	0.02	14	24%	-0.13	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.6	2.3	26.6	15.0	28.3	2.4	35.9	132.2
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +21.7%

UTA -1.6%

UTA -7.8%

BOS +32.8%

BOS +5.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	BOS	NBA	UTA	BOS	NBA
this game	17.5	16.2	15.1	97.7	100.0	104.2
season	16.2	14.3		103.8	103.1
opponent	15.4	15.3		103.3	103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	17.4	19.4	17.2	16.2	17.5
BOS	14.5	16.6	14.9	19.0	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trey Burke	56	55	0.49	-0.99	1.49	0.35	5	-6	11	17.7	17.1	0.58	16.3	15.9	0.46
Trevor Booker	39	39	0.15	-0.65	0.80	-0.11	9	-10	19	18.3	16.9	1.46	16.8	15.6	1.21
Elijah Millsap	19	19	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-2	3	19.0	17.1	1.91	15.6	16.3	-0.69
Jeremy Evans	13	13	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.03	-7	6	-13	19.3	17.2	2.12	16.2	16.2	0.08
Gordon Hayward	67	66	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.39	3	-4	7	16.9	19.5	-2.59	15.9	17.2	-1.35
Joe Ingles	43	43	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.12	-7	6	-13	18.2	16.8	1.35	16.5	15.8	0.75
Derrick Favors	52	52	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.41	0	-1	1	17.3	17.8	-0.52	17.4	14.2	3.29
Rodney Hood	39	38	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.38	-2	1	-3	16.8	18.1	-1.36	16.1	16.2	-0.11
Rudy Gobert	68	66	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.39	-4	3	-7	16.9	19.9	-3.08	14.8	21.1	-6.30
Dante Exum	34	34	-0.92	0.42	-1.35	-0.84	-3	2	-5	17.5	17.5	-0.07	16.4	16.0	0.36

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Isaiah Thomas	46	49	1.03	-0.53	1.55	0.82	7	-6	13	15.5	16.9	-1.45	17.6	17.4	0.19
Jae Crowder	59	59	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.30	8	-7	15	15.4	17.9	-2.53	17.4	17.7	-0.23
Marcus Smart	69	69	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.55	-1	2	-3	16.9	13.1	3.74	17.4	17.9	-0.46
Tyler Zeller	58	58	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.42	0	1	-1	14.6	19.6	-5.02	16.5	19.7	-3.21
Avery Bradley	65	66	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.37	-4	5	-9	16.0	16.7	-0.70	16.9	19.6	-2.79
Evan Turner	47	48	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.07	6	-5	11	15.3	17.2	-1.89	17.0	18.1	-1.11
Jonas Jerebko	29	29	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.09	3	-2	5	17.7	15.4	2.26	19.6	16.5	3.13
Kelly Olynyk	10	11	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.01	1	0	1	19.5	15.7	3.78	20.8	17.0	3.79
James Young	11	10	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.01	-1	2	-3	21.0	15.4	5.55	21.5	17.0	4.51
Brandon Bass	31	31	-0.67	1.17	-1.84	-0.26	-14	15	-29	17.5	15.4	2.08	17.4	17.6	-0.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.36,0.36,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.58,0.72,0.64,0.7,0.61,0.65,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.71,0.74,0.82,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.79,0.71,0.83,0.81,0.93,0.96,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 105, LAL 108	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.55,0.52,0.44,0.6,0.64,0.74,0.82,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.83,0.84,0.72,0.81,0.95,0.96,0.92,1	93.2%
SAC 90, MIN 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.54,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.39,0.36,0.46,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.69,0.58,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.72,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.83,0.81,0.69,0.71,0.86,0.95,0.97,1,1,1	92.9%
PHI 96, CHH 103	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.46,0.41,0.4,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.4,0.42,0.53,0.52,0.4,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.65,0.52,0.6,0.68,0.78,0.7,0.79,0.76,0.68,0.74,0.88,0.87,0.85,0.84,0.95,0.93,1	92.8%