inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Golden State Warriors 106 Excitement8.0 [250] MVPStephen Curry (GSW): +27.7%
Boston Celtics 101 Comeback23.8 [189] LVPJae Crowder (BOS): -34.7%


Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Stephen Curry0.280,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.18,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.2,0.280.190.130.042277%0.425-0.144100%0.05
Andre Iguodala0.180,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.180.040.140.00475%0.1800.0000%0.00
Harrison Barnes0.130,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.13,0.130.050.110.031457%0.141-0.012100%0.01
Draymond Green0.080,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08-0.020.08-0.021344%0.091-0.01667%-0.03
Leandro Barbosa-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
David Lee-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.050.00-0.00430%-0.031-0.02250%-0.01
Shaun Livingston-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.01-0.040.00554%0.062-0.113100%0.01
Andrew Bogut-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.06-0.00-0.01617%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Justin Holiday-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.03-0.040.0020%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Klay Thompson-0.160,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.00-0.120.032343%-0.1600.0000%0.00

Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tyler Zeller0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.060.03-0.001359%0.111-0.013100%0.01
Marcus Smart0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.09,0.090.090.010.08-0.001145%0.0900.0000%0.00
Jonas Jerebko0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.040.000.021150%0.0200.0000%0.00
James Young0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.000.00536%-0.0300.00450%-0.03
Isaiah Thomas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04-0.040.01-0.06-0.012147%0.061-0.091100%0.00
Avery Bradley0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11-0.11-0.09-0.06-0.041732%-0.051-0.06367%-0.00
Brandon Bass0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0,0,-0.12,-0.12-0.120.02-0.15-0.011254%-0.051-0.07475%0.00
Evan Turner0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.07-0.08-0.031238%-0.092-0.032100%0.01
Jae Crowder0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.35-0.35-0.15-0.24-0.041726%-0.252-0.1000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game21.11.826.814.824.21.732.0122.3
league avg24.62.329.616.026.92.333.6136.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
GSW +69.3%
GSW +5.4%
BOS -31.0%
GSW +7.2%
BOS -1.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsGSWBOSNBAGSWBOSNBA
this game14.015.415.1108.2103.1104.2
season13.614.3109.2103.1
opponent15.415.5103.399.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
GSW14.013.015.214.114.0
BOS12.116.418.215.315.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Draymond Green88890.68-0.180.860.1518-133114.014.6-0.6515.711.93.83
Andre Iguodala67660.67-0.170.830.3112-71913.315.5-2.1416.014.01.98
Klay Thompson77770.67-0.170.830.1717-122913.814.9-1.0615.913.62.29
Stephen Curry78790.51-0.010.510.278-31113.914.5-0.6015.116.3-1.18
Harrison Barnes61630.320.180.140.38-27-914.014.1-0.1414.916.1-1.21
Shaun Livingston39380.170.33-0.150.1514-314.913.41.5415.315.4-0.17
Justin Holiday14130.170.33-0.15-0.037-2914.414.00.4814.415.5-1.13
Leandro Barbosa1111-0.200.70-0.910.18-1318-3114.813.90.9014.315.5-1.23
David Lee1817-0.240.74-0.970.17-1419-3313.714.1-0.4313.215.8-2.58
Andrew Bogut3737-0.240.74-0.990.02-914-2315.013.41.6215.315.4-0.07

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tyler Zeller57590.47-0.971.430.1112-172914.017.3-3.3113.714.4-0.69
Jonas Jerebko26260.01-0.510.52-0.114-91315.015.5-0.5514.613.80.81
James Young3029-0.13-0.370.23-0.02-4-1-316.414.91.4414.214.00.22
Evan Turner5859-0.16-0.340.18-0.13-1-4314.816.2-1.4513.814.4-0.60
Marcus Smart7472-0.30-0.20-0.09-0.383-81115.315.7-0.4015.011.23.80
Avery Bradley6969-0.46-0.04-0.42-0.34-4-1-315.215.8-0.6513.914.2-0.26
Isaiah Thomas5860-0.520.02-0.54-0.23-105-1516.114.41.6813.015.6-2.59
Brandon Bass6360-0.680.18-0.86-0.39-105-1516.513.33.2414.513.31.24
Jae Crowder5556-0.720.22-0.94-0.28-1510-2515.415.30.0713.614.6-1.05


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.59,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.87,0.78,0.81,0.87,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.82,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.59,0.65,0.67,0.55,0.28,0.32,0.42,0
GameSimilarity Score
PHX 103, DEN 990.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.66,0.71,0.66,0.74,0.78,0.77,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.86,0.89,0.86,0.8,0.85,0.88,0.87,0.94,0.95,0.92,0.83,0.87,0.87,0.78,0.79,0.75,0.58,0.64,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.23,0.17,091.9%
IND 79, PHI 780.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.79,0.83,0.83,0.85,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.86,0.86,0.87,0.78,0.82,0.75,0.72,0.58,0.69,0.6,0.39,0.62,0.31,0.43,0.74,090.7%
CHA 116, DET 1060.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.86,0.8,0.81,0.88,0.82,0.85,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.92,0.79,0.8,0.68,0.74,0.65,0.73,0.47,0.29,0.03,0,090.6%