inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Dallas Mavericks 87 Excitement4.4 [944] MVPKyle Korver (ATL): +11.0%
Atlanta Hawks 104 Comeback3.5 [625] LVPAl-Farouq Aminu (DAL): -20.3%


Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Monta Ellis0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.08-0.020.011468%0.112-0.0600%0.00
Bernard James0.030,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.02-0.00-0.01370%0.051-0.02475%-0.00
Devin Harris0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.000.02-0.01750%0.051-0.036100%0.03
Charlie Villanueva0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.000.00757%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Raymond Felton-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.02533%-0.0000.002100%0.00
Dwight Powell-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.050.00-0.05743%-0.002-0.0000%0.00
Greg Smith-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.030.000.03357%-0.0000.0010%0.00
Jose Juan Barea-0.020,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.01-0.020.011065%0.083-0.1000%0.00
Dirk Nowitzki-0.030,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.04-0.00-0.01729%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Richard Jefferson-0.030,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.011040%-0.011-0.03560%-0.02
Al-Farouq Aminu-0.200,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2-0.16-0.06-0.02714%-0.084-0.1300%0.00

Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kyle Korver0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.110.050.041267%0.1100.0000%0.00
DeMarre Carroll0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.060.010.01965%0.081-0.03250%-0.01
Dennis Schroder0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.050.010.001557%0.091-0.0300%0.00
Mike Scott0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.030.00-0.02462%0.0500.0000%0.00
Paul Millsap0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.000.02-0.011262%0.114-0.0900%0.00
Shelvin Mack0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.050.000.05570%0.0000.0000%0.00
Mike Muscala0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
John Jenkins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.020100%0.0000.002100%0.00
Pero Antic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.070.00-0.0630%-0.011-0.0000%0.00
Jeff Teague0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.02-0.01950%0.012-0.044100%0.01
Kent Bazemore0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.010.01550%0.001-0.04475%-0.01
Al Horford0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.02-0.010.041046%-0.041-0.02475%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game29.42.631.416.428.80.226.3135.0
league avg24.62.329.616.026.92.333.6136.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ATL +23.3%
DAL -4.9%
ATL +15.4%
ATL +15.3%
ATL +0.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDALATLNBADALATLNBA
this game16.515.315.195.6115.6104.2
season14.614.9107.6106.7
opponent15.415.0101.8105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DAL14.517.716.517.516.5
ATL15.514.316.215.215.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dwight Powell1616-0.00-0.500.49-0.124-212517.516.31.1816.914.91.93
Raymond Felton1616-0.00-0.500.49-0.124-212517.516.31.1816.914.91.93
Greg Smith1616-0.00-0.500.49-0.124-212517.516.31.1816.914.91.93
Al-Farouq Aminu5249-0.01-0.490.47-0.010-171716.217.0-0.7815.615.00.62
Charlie Villanueva4242-0.15-0.350.210.12-9-8-115.517.4-1.8616.014.61.38
Devin Harris3836-0.23-0.270.040.15-13-4-916.616.50.0915.415.20.26
Monta Ellis5557-0.30-0.20-0.11-0.16-5-12716.516.6-0.0915.714.61.13
Bernard James5151-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.09-8-9117.215.61.6114.516.4-1.93
Dirk Nowitzki5047-0.46-0.04-0.420.16-214-2516.117.1-0.9914.815.9-1.09
Jose Juan Barea6260-0.46-0.04-0.420.16-214-2516.017.7-1.6614.217.4-3.12
Richard Jefferson5760-0.550.05-0.590.04-203-2317.115.61.5014.916.0-1.02

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kyle Korver66670.63-0.130.77-0.1928-113914.717.0-2.3916.018.0-1.94
Al Horford52520.450.050.40-0.051701715.315.3-0.0516.716.30.43
Paul Millsap63620.360.140.230.04116514.816.5-1.7616.516.6-0.09
Jeff Teague51500.330.170.160.01116514.716.1-1.3516.816.20.65
DeMarre Carroll51500.210.29-0.070.18116-1515.714.71.0516.316.8-0.46
Dennis Schroder38390.170.33-0.16-0.12107315.615.10.4616.816.30.56
Kent Bazemore42440.150.35-0.19-0.02611-515.415.20.2616.216.9-0.71
Pero Antic31320.140.36-0.230.02413-916.314.81.5316.116.8-0.72
Mike Scott32330.050.45-0.400.05017-1715.415.20.1316.516.50.03
Shelvin Mack12120.000.50-0.500.03-118-1916.415.11.3019.216.13.14
Mike Muscala560.000.50-0.500.00017-1717.815.12.6616.816.50.33
John Jenkins780.000.50-0.500.06-219-2116.315.21.0817.216.50.79


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.38,0.41,0.36,0.32,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.26,0.22,0.27,0.29,0.31,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.31,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.48,0.64,0.77,0.65,0.79,0.74,0.81,0.75,0.85,0.91,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
CHI 91, CHA 1010.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.35,0.37,0.31,0.31,0.29,0.22,0.2,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.25,0.24,0.28,0.3,0.29,0.39,0.31,0.36,0.27,0.26,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.76,0.83,0.82,0.78,0.82,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,0.98,193.6%
BOS 101, WAS 1130.5,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.29,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.33,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.47,0.34,0.36,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.45,0.55,0.61,0.7,0.59,0.62,0.69,0.74,0.72,0.78,0.85,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,193.6%
DEN 98, ATL 1060.5,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.34,0.29,0.31,0.24,0.27,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.35,0.31,0.32,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.4,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.65,0.69,0.77,0.87,0.85,0.91,0.96,0.99,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,193.4%