NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	110		Excitement	4.2 [974]		MVP	Danilo Gallinari (DEN): +16.8%
Denver Nuggets	82		Comeback	1.9 [598]		LVP	Joffrey Lauvergne (DEN): -11.9%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alan Anderson	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.00	0.00	9	72%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mason Plumlee	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.01	0.00	6	82%	0.12	2	-0.03	5	80%	0.01
Cory Jefferson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	4	70%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Thaddeus Young	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	-0.00	-0.02	11	62%	0.07	3	-0.03	2	100%	-0.00
Deron Williams	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	15	47%	0.04	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Joe Johnson	0.01	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	13	46%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sergey Karasev	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	17	45%	-0.02	0	0.00	8	87%	0.00
Darius Morris	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	4	50%	-0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Markel Brown	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	0.01	12	38%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.18	0.00	0.02	12	76%	0.17	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Will Barton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	11	58%	0.04	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.01
Randy Foye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.06	8	28%	0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Erick Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.07	6	25%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
JJ Hickson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenneth Faried	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	4	33%	-0.00	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.02
Gary Harris	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	12	37%	-0.03	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.02
Jameer Nelson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Arthur	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	15	33%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jusuf Nurkic	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	10	32%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Ty Lawson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.11	-0.02	-0.03	7	37%	-0.00	4	-0.09	2	0%	-0.03
Joffrey Lauvergne	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.16	-0.02	-0.06	6	0%	-0.07	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.1	2.7	33.3	15.7	25.3	2.3	26.7	128.0
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +26.3%

BKN +8.5%

BKN +6.4%

BKN +8.4%

BKN +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	DEN	NBA	BKN	DEN	NBA
this game	14.3	14.9	15.1	111.1	83.7	104.2
season	15.3	14.6		102.9	103.4
opponent	15.3	15.3		106.6	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	12.8	15.7	13.8	15.3	14.3
DEN	14.4	13.7	15.0	16.7	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brook Lopez	63	64	0.50	-0.00	0.50	-0.29	27	1	26	14.4	14.3	0.09	14.7	15.4	-0.68
Markel Brown	94	93	0.40	0.10	0.31	-0.27	23	5	18	14.3	15.0	-0.70	14.8	17.8	-3.05
Deron Williams	69	70	0.37	0.13	0.25	-0.15	18	10	8	13.8	15.6	-1.87	14.7	15.4	-0.73
Joe Johnson	61	60	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.07	12	16	-4	14.2	14.5	-0.23	14.0	16.4	-2.43
Cory Jefferson	18	18	0.26	0.24	0.03	-0.15	14	14	0	13.9	14.4	-0.48	14.9	14.9	-0.02
Thaddeus Young	46	45	0.25	0.25	0.00	-0.36	21	7	14	15.0	13.8	1.16	16.3	13.7	2.55
Sergey Karasev	19	20	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.13	10	18	-8	12.6	14.7	-2.17	16.5	14.5	2.06
Alan Anderson	59	58	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.02	4	24	-20	14.7	13.8	0.85	14.5	15.5	-1.00
Darius Morris	30	28	0.13	0.37	-0.25	-0.17	10	18	-8	15.6	13.8	1.87	15.4	14.7	0.73
Mason Plumlee	36	34	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	27	-26	14.3	14.4	-0.09	15.4	14.7	0.68

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
JJ Hickson	5	4	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.01	3	-31	34	16.4	14.8	1.57	17.5	14.2	3.30
Jusuf Nurkic	51	53	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.07	-4	-24	20	14.2	15.7	-1.53	15.1	13.5	1.60
Jameer Nelson	21	22	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.02	-1	-27	26	15.3	14.8	0.48	16.9	13.6	3.25
Erick Green	28	29	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.34	-14	-14	0	16.0	14.5	1.58	15.1	14.0	1.09
Will Barton	43	44	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.03	-5	-23	18	14.5	15.2	-0.67	15.3	13.6	1.73
Kenneth Faried	25	26	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.09	-9	-19	10	15.8	14.6	1.20	14.8	14.2	0.59
Randy Foye	40	39	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.31	-18	-10	-8	15.3	14.6	0.66	14.6	14.2	0.42
Gary Harris	54	54	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.13	-13	-15	2	14.9	14.9	0.04	13.9	14.8	-0.90
Darrell Arthur	49	49	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.21	-16	-12	-4	14.4	15.4	-1.08	14.2	14.5	-0.30
Danilo Gallinari	64	64	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.10	-17	-11	-6	14.9	14.9	0.04	14.0	14.9	-0.81
Ty Lawson	68	69	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	0.17	-22	-6	-16	14.7	15.3	-0.52	13.2	16.9	-3.68
Joffrey Lauvergne	42	42	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	0.17	-24	-4	-20	15.0	14.8	0.16	12.7	15.5	-2.85

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.6,0.61,0.65,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.43,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.25,0.22,0.14,0.11,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 112, BKN 86	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.6,0.59,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.55,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.39,0.33,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%
CHI 107, NOP 72	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.31,0.25,0.19,0.18,0.09,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%
UTA 120, SAC 105	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.68,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.28,0.33,0.36,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.11,0.07,0.1,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.2%