NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	98		Excitement	8.2 [215]		MVP	Rodney Stuckey (IND): +34.7%
Indiana Pacers	104		Comeback	3.0 [133]		LVP	Draymond Green (GSW): -16.7%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Klay Thompson	0.27	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.24,0.24,0.19,0.24,0.41,0.27	0.15	0.15	0.03	28	59%	0.31	2	-0.05	10	100%	0.10
Andre Iguodala	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.04	-0.01	11	54%	0.10	0	0.00	4	100%	0.05
Justin Holiday	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Rush	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.03	-0.00	9	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	6	50%	0.05	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Marreese Speights	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	4	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Andrew Bogut	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	6	33%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Harrison Barnes	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	11	27%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.01	-0.07	0.00	6	67%	-0.00	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	-0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.06	-0.11	-0.00	6	37%	-0.07	2	-0.10	4	75%	-0.02

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.29,0.26,0.35,0.35	0.35	0.20	0.16	0.02	17	73%	0.38	1	-0.04	7	86%	0.01
CJ Miles	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.15	0.15	0.05	0.12	0.02	11	59%	0.22	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Damjan Rudez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.00	2	100%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
CJ Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	-0.02	0.01	6	75%	0.10	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
Luis Scola	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	8	61%	0.06	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Solomon Hill	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	6	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Roy Hibbert	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	6	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
David West	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.11	0.04	-0.00	6	33%	0.04	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	6	31%	0.01	2	-0.07	1	0%	-0.02
George Hill	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,0.06,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.05	0.01	13	41%	-0.05	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	2.3	32.4	16.5	24.6	0.7	39.1	141.1
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +70.3%

GSW -12.6%

IND +0.9%

GSW -13.6%

IND +5.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	IND	NBA	GSW	IND	NBA
this game	14.3	15.8	15.1	102.1	109.5	104.2
season	13.6	16.0		109.2	102.3
opponent	15.0	15.5		102.0	99.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	14.0	14.4	15.6	13.4	14.3
IND	14.8	14.4	17.1	17.3	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marreese Speights	8	7	0.08	-0.58	0.66	0.02	2	-8	10	12.7	14.5	-1.72	12.9	16.1	-3.22
Shaun Livingston	50	50	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.29	6	-12	18	14.5	14.1	0.45	17.4	14.1	3.33
Brandon Rush	10	10	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.10	-8	2	-10	14.3	14.3	-0.03	16.6	15.8	0.85
Justin Holiday	14	13	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.04	-4	-2	-2	13.6	14.5	-0.88	14.2	16.1	-1.96
Draymond Green	66	67	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.33	6	-12	18	14.4	14.1	0.32	16.2	14.9	1.30
David Lee	40	39	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.05	-8	2	-10	13.3	15.1	-1.75	14.0	17.1	-3.13
Klay Thompson	75	75	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.36	4	-10	14	14.0	15.5	-1.48	15.7	16.2	-0.52
Andrew Bogut	50	50	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.37	1	-7	8	15.2	13.3	1.87	17.4	14.1	3.29
Leandro Barbosa	44	42	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.07	-10	4	-14	14.6	14.1	0.58	14.5	16.9	-2.41
Andre Iguodala	67	65	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.26	-6	0	-6	13.7	15.9	-2.21	15.5	16.5	-0.96
Harrison Barnes	56	57	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.10	-13	7	-20	15.3	12.9	2.44	16.0	15.6	0.39

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rodney Stuckey	58	60	0.81	-0.31	1.11	0.37	15	-9	24	15.0	17.2	-2.25	13.8	15.2	-1.48
Ian Mahinmi	49	49	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.06	14	-8	22	14.5	17.3	-2.75	14.7	13.9	0.80
David West	59	59	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.48	-4	10	-14	16.3	15.1	1.27	14.4	14.2	0.13
George Hill	57	57	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.34	0	6	-6	16.9	14.3	2.59	14.9	13.5	1.32
Damjan Rudez	22	23	0.26	0.24	0.01	-0.01	9	-3	12	15.0	16.1	-1.10	15.3	14.0	1.29
CJ Miles	58	60	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.31	-4	10	-14	16.0	15.6	0.45	13.7	15.3	-1.53
Luis Scola	36	38	0.15	0.35	-0.21	-0.18	11	-5	16	15.1	16.3	-1.27	14.0	14.6	-0.58
Roy Hibbert	46	46	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.28	-9	15	-24	17.3	14.5	2.75	14.1	14.5	-0.37
Solomon Hill	35	34	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.06	-3	9	-12	16.7	15.3	1.38	15.6	13.6	2.00
CJ Watson	55	54	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.10	1	5	-4	15.3	16.6	-1.31	13.8	15.0	-1.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.31,0.28,0.34,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.32,0.32,0.35,0.39,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.48,0.48,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.79,0.76,0.73,0.79,0.71,0.47,0.47,0.77,0.78,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 102, SEA 104	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.33,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.4,0.46,0.53,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.52,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.71,0.79,0.73,0.59,0.61,0.77,0.56,0.64,0.77,0.58,1	91.6%
NJN 105, MIA 106	0.5,0.51,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.33,0.3,0.31,0.32,0.32,0.26,0.27,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.62,0.55,0.66,0.52,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.75,0.8,0.77,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.62,0.72,0.85,0.96,1	90.3%
SEA 93, DET 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.39,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.48,0.63,0.56,0.62,0.71,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.74,0.71,0.67,0.75,0.63,0.84,0.72,1	90.0%