NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	96		Excitement	4.3 [950]		MVP	Hollis Thompson (PHI): +17.0%
Boston Celtics	107		Comeback	1.0 [1138]		LVP	Tim Frazier (PHI): -14.0%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hollis Thompson	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.10	0.10	0.03	11	73%	0.19	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
KJ McDaniels	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.04	-0.01	9	65%	0.13	3	-0.04	5	80%	-0.00
Henry Sims	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	10	55%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02
JaKarr Sampson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	4	45%	-0.00	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.01
Luc Mbah a Moute	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.07	-0.06	0.06	14	58%	-0.04	1	-0.01	3	33%	-0.04
Robert Covington	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.05	-0.01	0.10	13	59%	-0.03	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Jerami Grant	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.12	-0.01	-0.03	4	8%	-0.06	2	-0.03	4	25%	-0.01
Nerlens Noel	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.01	0.02	5	44%	-0.05	4	-0.07	8	75%	-0.01
Tim Frazier	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.13	-0.02	-0.00	9	22%	-0.11	2	-0.03	5	20%	-0.05

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcus Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.06	0.11	0.02	14	53%	0.15	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jared Sullinger	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.00	0.00	18	56%	0.08	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.00
Jae Crowder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.04	0.03	6	69%	0.07	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.03
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.00	0.02	7	72%	0.07	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Avery Bradley	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.08	0.00	0.04	15	56%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Phil Pressey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	6	43%	0.01	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
James Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Zeller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	0.05	10	62%	-0.00	3	-0.05	6	67%	-0.02
Marcus Smart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.10	0.01	-0.03	6	21%	-0.03	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	2.4	28.5	15.4	27.4	2.4	27.5	126.7
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +20.3%

BOS +7.2%

BOS +13.6%

BOS +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	BOS	NBA	PHI	BOS	NBA
this game	14.8	14.6	15.1	99.0	108.1	104.2
season	14.9	14.3		94.3	103.1
opponent	15.4	14.8		103.3	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	16.0	15.7	13.2	14.3	14.8
BOS	13.4	13.1	16.8	15.1	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Henry Sims	40	42	0.08	-0.58	0.65	-0.01	3	-14	17	13.9	15.5	-1.56	14.1	14.9	-0.83
Jerami Grant	38	42	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.26	6	-17	23	14.5	15.0	-0.47	13.5	15.4	-1.95
KJ McDaniels	48	51	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.03	-4	-7	3	14.7	14.9	-0.17	13.3	15.9	-2.60
JaKarr Sampson	22	25	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.04	-7	-4	-3	16.4	14.3	2.06	15.7	14.2	1.48
Luc Mbah a Moute	69	68	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.10	-8	-3	-5	14.9	14.6	0.24	15.5	12.6	2.81
Tim Frazier	74	73	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.11	-9	-2	-7	14.2	16.7	-2.47	14.3	15.2	-0.89
Hollis Thompson	78	78	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.26	-5	-6	1	14.6	15.8	-1.28	14.4	15.3	-0.90
Robert Covington	64	65	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.17	-13	2	-15	15.3	13.9	1.37	15.6	12.6	2.94
Nerlens Noel	52	51	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.05	-18	7	-25	15.7	13.8	1.85	14.8	14.4	0.43

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jared Sullinger	58	58	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.15	12	-1	13	15.9	12.6	3.31	15.3	14.1	1.23
Marcus Smart	76	75	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.03	15	-4	19	14.4	15.2	-0.84	14.8	15.0	-0.18
Jae Crowder	64	63	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.15	6	5	1	13.9	15.8	-1.85	14.4	15.6	-1.15
Tyler Zeller	57	55	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.12	7	4	3	13.5	16.1	-2.60	14.1	15.7	-1.55
Brandon Bass	53	52	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.04	7	4	3	15.2	13.8	1.36	15.6	13.9	1.73
Avery Bradley	59	57	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.04	7	4	3	15.4	13.3	2.06	15.4	13.9	1.51
Marcus Thornton	43	42	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.17	1	10	-9	14.0	15.0	-1.06	13.7	15.7	-1.98
Evan Turner	56	54	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.08	4	7	-3	15.6	13.3	2.33	15.4	14.1	1.25
Phil Pressey	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	14	-17	14.5	14.6	-0.08	14.0	14.8	-0.83
James Young	27	27	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.01	-1	12	-13	11.9	15.6	-3.75	14.0	15.1	-1.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.62,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.72,0.75,0.79,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.83,0.87,0.91,0.95,0.93,0.91,0.91,0.89,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.9,0.97,0.93,0.92,0.89,0.86,0.85,0.74,0.87,0.86,0.76,0.68,0.82,0.88,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 102, DEN 111	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.72,0.74,0.76,0.76,0.82,0.88,0.9,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.96,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.93,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.89,0.92,0.87,0.9,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.81,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%
SEA 111, DEN 122	0.5,0.49,0.58,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.71,0.76,0.8,0.85,0.85,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.91,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.75,0.74,0.82,0.79,0.67,0.63,0.83,0.8,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.7%
MEM 82, SAS 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.73,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.79,0.8,0.84,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.94,0.91,0.93,0.9,0.94,0.88,0.84,0.9,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.87,0.89,0.7,0.67,0.81,0.83,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.4%