NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	93		Excitement	7.1 [392]		MVP	Arron Afflalo (DEN): +25.5%
New Orleans Pelicans	85		Comeback	1.4 [402]		LVP	Ty Lawson (DEN): -9.2%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Arron Afflalo	0.26	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.12	0.17	0.04	13	71%	0.29	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.03
Danilo Gallinari	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.08	0.09	0.00	8	69%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenneth Faried	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.07,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.06	0.09	-0.00	11	56%	0.16	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Randy Foye	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jameer Nelson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.04	-0.01	5	20%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jusuf Nurkic	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.01	9	75%	0.09	4	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
JJ Hickson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.04	-0.00	10	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wilson Chandler	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	8	56%	0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Arthur	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.00	7	29%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ty Lawson	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09	-0.12	-0.01	-0.03	12	21%	-0.04	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Davis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.11	-0.02	0.03	15	60%	0.06	0	0.00	10	80%	0.01
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.10	0.10	-0.02	15	34%	0.08	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	10	44%	0.05	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.04
Nate Wolters	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Pondexter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	5	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	0.02	7	43%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jimmer Fredette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Omer Asik	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	0.00	0.01	3	40%	-0.01	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.04
Tyreke Evans	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	-0.08	0.01	22	53%	0.05	4	-0.14	3	67%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.5	29.5	15.4	29.5	2.4	31.4	133.0
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +71.9%

NOP -12.1%

NOP -22.6%

DEN +8.7%

DEN +4.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	NOP	NBA	DEN	NOP	NBA
this game	16.5	17.2	15.1	109.4	98.8	104.2
season	14.6	15.8		103.4	106.3
opponent	15.2	15.3		106.1	106.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	15.7	16.2	15.3	19.1	16.5
NOP	17.0	15.1	17.4	19.9	17.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Arron Afflalo	68	70	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.26	9	-1	10	16.8	15.4	1.41	17.2	17.1	0.17
Kenneth Faried	58	59	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.14	8	0	8	16.1	17.3	-1.19	16.6	18.6	-1.98
Ty Lawson	57	60	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.10	8	0	8	16.2	17.1	-0.88	16.8	18.2	-1.37
Wilson Chandler	50	52	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.08	7	1	6	16.6	16.4	0.19	16.1	18.8	-2.69
Danilo Gallinari	36	35	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.17	3	5	-2	16.5	16.4	0.08	18.3	16.5	1.83
Jusuf Nurkic	51	52	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.11	5	3	2	16.5	16.4	0.07	16.4	18.4	-2.06
JJ Hickson	33	33	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.17	1	7	-6	16.3	16.6	-0.34	19.0	16.1	2.92
Jameer Nelson	29	26	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.14	0	8	-8	17.2	16.1	1.15	18.2	16.8	1.37
Darrell Arthur	31	32	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.15	-2	10	-12	16.8	16.3	0.51	18.8	16.3	2.52
Randy Foye	12	11	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.00	1	7	-6	15.4	16.7	-1.24	15.7	17.4	-1.69

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Omer Asik	53	50	0.16	-0.66	0.82	0.04	4	-12	16	16.7	18.0	-1.35	16.2	16.9	-0.64
Jimmer Fredette	13	13	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.03	1	-9	10	17.6	17.1	0.49	15.2	16.7	-1.48
Nate Wolters	6	5	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.01	-2	-6	4	17.3	17.2	0.15	15.6	16.5	-0.94
Quincy Pondexter	30	27	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.02	-6	-2	-4	17.3	17.1	0.21	15.6	16.9	-1.30
Anthony Davis	66	67	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.28	-4	-4	0	17.2	17.3	-0.20	16.7	15.5	1.25
Tyreke Evans	68	68	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.29	-4	-4	0	17.7	15.3	2.36	16.6	15.9	0.68
Dante Cunningham	70	70	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.26	-6	-2	-4	16.6	19.8	-3.21	16.6	15.7	0.91
Eric Gordon	73	75	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.28	-7	-1	-6	17.2	17.2	0.05	16.7	14.8	1.91
Ryan Anderson	51	50	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.24	-16	8	-24	17.7	16.4	1.35	16.5	16.4	0.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.33,0.31,0.29,0.27,0.28,0.24,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.18,0.27,0.29,0.25,0.24,0.28,0.25,0.22,0.32,0.28,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.58,0.41,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.4,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.33,0.32,0.41,0.29,0.22,0.1,0.22,0.15,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 115, HOU 107	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.47,0.43,0.41,0.35,0.35,0.33,0.3,0.28,0.24,0.32,0.27,0.25,0.24,0.3,0.3,0.31,0.34,0.39,0.25,0.22,0.29,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.54,0.57,0.48,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.29,0.22,0.1,0.28,0.31,0.27,0	92.7%
ATL 101, IND 96	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.43,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.35,0.34,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.29,0.3,0.26,0.33,0.25,0.33,0.42,0.34,0.31,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.21,0.15,0.12,0.15,0.16,0.07,0.08,0	92.2%
SAC 113, SEA 104	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.54,0.47,0.39,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.31,0.28,0.17,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.52,0.45,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.38,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.28,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.01,0	92.1%