inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Washington Wizards 117 Excitement11.3 [39] MVPTy Lawson (DEN): +33.7%
Denver Nuggets 115 Comeback6.6 [195] LVPArron Afflalo (DEN): -33.3%


Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kris Humphries0.330,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.29,0.29,0.3,0.35,0.35,0.33,0.330.140.220.021370%0.371-0.04475%-0.01
Kevin Seraphin0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.010.07-0.00956%0.111-0.0200%0.00
Martell Webster0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.020.030.00367%0.0500.0000%0.00
Bradley Beal0.030,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.010.011161%0.133-0.111100%0.01
Nene0.000,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14,-0.26,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0,00.000.00-0.00978%0.305-0.3000%0.00
Otto Porter-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
John Wall-0.030,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.22,-0.22,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.030.03-0.06-0.001656%0.202-0.232100%0.01
Andre Miller-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.050.01-0.00425%0.011-0.0500%0.00
Rasual Butler-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.050.00-0.050.00844%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Marcin Gortat-0.050,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.010.00744%-0.002-0.05250%-0.01
Paul Pierce-0.090,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.090.04-0.13-0.00959%-0.022-0.061471%-0.04

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ty Lawson0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.18,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.2,0.2,0.29,0.340.340.140.230.032065%0.442-0.108100%0.09
Danilo Gallinari0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.020.11-0.01550%0.1400.004100%0.04
Jameer Nelson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.08-0.010.004112%0.101-0.0300%0.00
Jusuf Nurkic0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.020.03-0.00643%0.031-0.022100%0.02
Randy Foye00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
JJ Hickson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.010.010.00556%0.052-0.05850%-0.05
Darrell Arthur0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.06-0.06-0.02-0.05-0.011540%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Wilson Chandler0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11-0.110.05-0.130.021953%-0.091-0.0200%0.00
Kenneth Faried0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.04-0.100.011037%-0.1400.00425%-0.43
Arron Afflalo0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.23,-0.23,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.33-0.33-0.13-0.21-0.001731%-0.232-0.102100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game24.22.527.915.525.41.833.31.716.6148.8
league avg24.62.329.616.026.92.333.62.017.8136.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
WAS +96.2%
DEN -11.0%
WAS +16.7%
DEN -56.4%
WAS +4.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsWASDENNBAWASDENNBA
this game15.314.515.1108.3109.5104.2
season15.114.6102.9103.4
opponent15.315.3106.6101.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
WAS13.815.814.617.115.515.3
DEN15.013.516.814.311.514.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kris Humphries67620.61-0.110.720.6102-216.413.62.7214.414.7-0.29
Rasual Butler58560.480.020.470.258-61415.914.61.2714.015.1-1.16
John Wall89860.390.110.280.245-3814.419.5-5.0414.514.50.06
Nene62620.380.120.250.293-1414.516.4-1.8614.814.20.61
Marcin Gortat58560.230.27-0.05-0.1011-92014.016.9-2.8615.313.61.67
Martell Webster28270.220.28-0.070.133-1416.914.82.0715.114.30.79
Paul Pierce68660.150.35-0.210.35-79-1614.716.3-1.6314.714.20.47
Bradley Beal57580.110.39-0.270.0620214.915.8-0.9114.814.20.56
Andre Miller20190.100.40-0.300.13-13-418.714.64.1414.514.5-0.06
Otto Porter66-0.030.53-0.560.11-57-1211.015.6-4.587.315.0-7.63
Kevin Seraphin2727-0.140.64-0.770.13-911-2018.414.34.0613.814.8-1.00

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Randy Foye13140.12-0.610.73-0.035-71214.614.50.1017.215.02.17
Wilson Chandler78810.04-0.540.59-0.3413-152814.315.3-1.0414.717.2-2.48
Jusuf Nurkic38400.01-0.510.520.010-2215.813.81.9413.516.4-2.86
JJ Hickson3737-0.22-0.280.07-0.01-75-1214.314.7-0.3917.614.23.41
Ty Lawson8488-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.332-4614.714.00.6514.717.9-3.16
Darrell Arthur5758-0.29-0.21-0.07-0.5810-122213.815.4-1.6116.613.92.65
Arron Afflalo8688-0.39-0.11-0.29-0.390-2214.315.4-1.0315.415.10.21
Jameer Nelson2726-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.13-119-2014.714.50.1916.215.11.09
Kenneth Faried7881-0.510.01-0.51-0.30-75-1214.614.40.2114.318.4-4.06
Danilo Gallinari2727-0.540.04-0.59-0.10-1513-2815.314.31.0417.214.72.48


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.38,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.62,0.6,0.52,0.46,0.39,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.54,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.74,0.65,0.69,0.76,0.71,0.6,0.54,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.32,0.26,0.35,0.28,0.53,0.63,0.78,0.58,0.5,0.39,0.08,0.15,0.16,0
GameSimilarity Score
OKC 118, MIN 1170.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.43,0.42,0.49,0.57,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.75,0.7,0.79,0.65,0.59,0.52,0.6,0.56,0.34,0.26,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.31,0.35,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.67,0.58,0.46,0.31,0.28,0.23,0.15,090.0%
CLE 104, HOU 1020.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.59,0.57,0.58,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.42,0.38,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.61,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.81,0.89,0.8,0.8,0.82,0.62,0.48,0.43,0.38,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.39,0.37,0.14,0.09,089.4%
NOP 96, CHI 900.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.6,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.52,0.59,0.64,0.61,0.74,0.77,0.76,0.79,0.7,0.82,0.78,0.7,0.57,0.56,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.22,0.31,0.36,0.78,0.42,0.54,0.23,0.21,0.1,0.02,089.0%