NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	71		Excitement	8.1 [240]		MVP	Tim Hardaway Jr. (NYK): +26.7%
Charlotte Hornets	76		Comeback	3.3 [745]		LVP	Lance Thomas (NYK): -17.0%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.36,0.32,0.27	0.15	0.12	0.00	17	69%	0.29	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.03
Quincy Acy	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pablo Prigioni	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Wear	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	4	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	5	8%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Lou Amundson	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.05	0.01	5	39%	-0.07	1	-0.04	8	37%	-0.11
Jason Smith	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	8	28%	-0.09	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Shane Larkin	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.04	-0.02	5	20%	-0.05	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Langston Galloway	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.05	-0.10	-0.00	13	42%	-0.04	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Cole Aldrich	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.15	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	5	20%	-0.06	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Lance Thomas	-0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.17	-0.08	-0.09	0.00	14	50%	-0.02	5	-0.15	4	50%	-0.04

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
PJ Hairston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.04	0.08	0.00	3	83%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Roberts	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.05	0.01	9	71%	0.23	4	-0.16	6	100%	0.03
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.02	0.00	2	37%	0.00	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
Cody Zeller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.01	0.02	5	53%	0.00	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Gerald Henderson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.01	12	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	10	34%	-0.03	0	0.00	9	67%	-0.02
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	3	40%	-0.02	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.04
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.17,-0.17,-0.07,-0.08	-0.08	-0.12	0.03	-0.00	14	28%	-0.06	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.12
Lance Stephenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	10	29%	-0.04	2	-0.07	1	0%	-0.03
Gary Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	6	0%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	0.2	30.9	15.5	25.5	2.7	37.3	135.4
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +9.0%

CHA +18.0%

NYK -14.8%

CHA +36.3%

CHA +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	CHA	NBA	NYK	CHA	NBA
this game	16.4	15.6	15.1	78.0	85.4	104.2
season	16.1	15.6		98.5	98.9
opponent	15.1	15.0		102.6	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	14.8	15.8	16.5	18.6	16.4
CHA	17.3	14.2	15.5	15.7	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lou Amundson	40	41	0.22	-0.72	0.94	0.04	6	-11	17	17.0	15.8	1.25	15.8	15.5	0.26
Quincy Acy	16	16	0.16	-0.66	0.82	-0.05	7	-12	19	16.2	16.4	-0.20	17.5	15.2	2.27
Pablo Prigioni	19	19	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.09	-1	-4	3	17.7	16.0	1.75	15.7	15.6	0.12
Tim Hardaway Jr.	66	65	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.21	0	-5	5	15.8	17.9	-2.16	15.6	15.7	-0.09
Travis Wear	16	16	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.05	-6	1	-7	18.2	15.9	2.30	17.0	15.3	1.66
Jason Smith	61	62	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.18	-2	-3	1	16.1	16.9	-0.82	15.1	16.8	-1.63
Shane Larkin	37	34	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.17	-4	-1	-3	16.1	16.5	-0.46	16.1	15.4	0.72
Langston Galloway	60	60	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.24	-5	0	-5	16.7	15.6	1.12	15.4	16.2	-0.79
Amar'e Stoudemire	25	21	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.12	-9	4	-13	16.8	16.2	0.56	15.0	15.9	-0.90
Lance Thomas	81	78	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.31	-5	0	-5	16.1	18.1	-1.96	15.4	17.6	-2.28
Cole Aldrich	34	33	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.39	-6	1	-7	15.4	16.9	-1.50	15.9	15.5	0.48

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Roberts	63	64	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.21	8	-3	11	15.0	17.2	-2.19	16.3	16.4	-0.13
Lance Stephenson	50	52	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.38	0	5	-5	16.5	14.5	2.01	17.4	14.9	2.54
Jason Maxiell	19	21	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.11	8	-3	11	15.3	15.7	-0.41	17.7	16.0	1.71
PJ Hairston	20	22	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.08	9	-4	13	15.3	15.7	-0.44	14.9	16.8	-1.90
Cody Zeller	58	58	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.23	3	2	1	15.7	15.6	0.04	17.0	15.2	1.74
Al Jefferson	58	59	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.32	-3	8	-11	15.6	15.8	-0.21	15.9	17.2	-1.29
Gerald Henderson	54	55	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.22	-1	6	-7	15.6	15.7	-0.17	16.4	16.2	0.17
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	60	58	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.11	2	3	-1	15.1	16.8	-1.71	16.3	16.5	-0.16
Gary Neal	26	28	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.11	1	4	-3	17.2	15.0	2.19	15.9	16.6	-0.71
Marvin Williams	25	25	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.02	1	4	-3	15.1	15.8	-0.72	14.2	17.2	-2.97
Bismack Biyombo	12	13	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.01	-3	8	-11	17.5	15.4	2.15	16.9	16.3	0.67

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.29,0.27,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.31,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.5,0.43,0.37,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.32,0.41,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.8,0.77,0.74,0.65,0.66,0.76,0.72,0.78,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 93, ATL 103	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.45,0.34,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.39,0.29,0.26,0.31,0.33,0.44,0.49,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.35,0.41,0.48,0.6,0.52,0.66,0.62,0.66,0.76,0.72,0.63,0.76,0.67,0.81,0.71,0.94,0.99,1	93.0%
DAL 94, DET 100	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.33,0.31,0.26,0.29,0.31,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.5,0.62,0.7,0.83,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.67,0.8,0.77,0.97,0.99,1	92.8%
DAL 101, POR 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.43,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.41,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.36,0.26,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.7,0.62,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.76,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.69,0.92,1	92.3%